New-England vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 October 2026

28 February 2026 New York Red Bulls beat New England Revolution 1-0 at home in MLS. The hosts had 65% possession and had 12 shots to their opponents' five, though the only goal came after the break.

📊 Across 49 official meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 22, New England Revolution 18, with nine draws. The home advantage factor is particularly notable: New England have won 14 of their 23 home matches in this fixture, while New York have won 17 of their 24.

New England Revolution have gone unbeaten at home in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head meetings with New York Red Bulls, which speaks to their consistency in these fixtures. This season they have also put together a solid home record: 10 wins and 3 defeats. We're backing New England Revolution not to lose (1X) at odds of 1.33*.

In 10 of the last 11 head-to-head matches at New England Revolution, the total goals have been under 4.5, pointing to a tendency for relatively low scoring in their home meetings with New York Red Bulls. New York Red Bulls also have a run of 22 consecutive matches with total goals under 5.5. Both teams average 1.65 and 1.32 goals per game respectively this season, which further suggests a very high-scoring result is unlikely. We're backing Total Goals - Under 4.5 at odds of 1.31*.

In 6 of their last 7 matches, the total corners in New England Revolution games has exceeded 10.5, pointing to a high volume of set pieces in their recent fixtures. Although this statistic relates to only one team, the clear pattern gives reason to consider a bet on Total Corners - Over 10.5 at odds of 2.03*.

New England Revolution have been solid at home this season, winning 10 and losing just 3. In their last 10 home matches they have averaged 1.67 goals scored, while New York Red Bulls have managed just 0.6 goals per game in their last 10 away fixtures. Historically, though, most head-to-head meetings between these sides have been competitive, which creates some tension for a big home win. That said, New England Revolution to win with a -1 handicap at 2.54* is an interesting option for those willing to take the risk.

In 22 consecutive New York Red Bulls matches, the total has stayed under 5.5 goals - one of the most consistent trends of its kind in terms of scoring patterns. Both teams rarely clear that high a bar over the course of the season, and their head-to-head meetings have also tended to produce a moderate number of goals. We're backing Total Goals - Under 5.5 at odds of 1.11*.

Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 1-0 (12.34%), 1-1 (10.95%) and 0-1 (9.33%). A narrow home win is the most probable of the three, though the gap between the first and third options is relatively small. A draw is also considered one of the more likely outcomes.

*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*

⭐ Editor's Prediction

The match looks set to revolve around the visitors actively searching for chances to protect their play-off position, while New England Revolution play with confidence at home and without any particular pressure in the table. The hosts' corner statistics are consistently high: Total Corners - Over 10.5 was recorded in six of their last seven matches, which reflects not only their attacking style at home but also their frequent attempts to break down opponents through set pieces and wide areas. Given the visitors' high motivation, plenty of intensity around both boxes and a large number of set-piece situations can be expected. The bet is Total Corners - Over 10.5.