Larissa vs OFI Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 October 2026
🔊 This match between Larissa and OFI comes against a backdrop of a clear contrast in recent form. Larissa have been inconsistent, alternating draws with the occasional win, while OFI have built up a solid run of victories over the last ten rounds. The table reflects that difference too: the hosts are closer to the bottom, while the visitors are holding on in the top five. In that context, defensive solidity and the ability to convert chances become the key questions.
The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced.
OFI beat Larissa 3-0 at home in a Super League match, scoring twice before half-time. Larissa were actually the more active attacking side, recording more touches in the opposition half (86 to 70) and slightly more shots (10 to 9), but none of their four shots on target found the net.
📊 Across 14 official meetings, the head-to-head record is perfectly level: five wins each and four draws. Larissa have a slight edge in goals - 19:18.
Head-to-head statistics Larissa - OFI
Larissa: low-scoring form
In their most recent Greek Second League match, Larissa drew 1-1 away at Kallithea, having trailed at half-time. They had 16 shots to their opponents' 9 and dominated possession with 58% of the ball.
Larissa have been finding it hard to pick up points: in their last five matches they have won two, drawn three and lost one. Over ten matches the pattern holds - five draws alongside three wins and two defeats. Their scoring rate has been modest, averaging 1.1 goals scored and exactly one conceded per game over that period. Despite the inconsistent form, Larissa rarely lose - they tend to stay in contention even against sides in the upper half of the table.
Match Results: Larissa
OFI: a high-risk style of play
OFI's 2-1 home win over PAOK was a striking contrast to the shot count: in that Super League match, the visitors had 26 attempts to OFI's 12. OFI also had the lesser share of possession (42% to 58%), and their goalkeeper made seven saves.
OFI sit in the top five of the current competition on the back of a fairly consistent run over ten matches - five wins and four defeats point to an attacking approach with no prolonged run of draws. Their average of 1.6 goals scored per game is higher than the 1.4 they concede, suggesting a tendency to trade attacks even against compact defences. Their recent matches have frequently finished with totals under 2.5 goals, which hints at a degree of pragmatism specifically in cup fixtures.
Match Results: OFI
Match Outcome Prediction
Larissa have covered the +1.5 handicap in 13 of their last 14 head-to-head meetings with OFI, which points to a strong likelihood that the hosts will not lose by more than one goal. Larissa have also gone unbeaten in 8 of their last 9 matches, which supports the same outcome. OFI, meanwhile, do not tend to win by large margins away from home, and their attack has not scored a single away goal this season. On that basis, Larissa Handicap +1.5 at 1.32* looks the most reliable option.
Goals / Total Prediction
In 6 of their last 7 matches, OFI's games have gone under 2.5 goals, pointing to low scoring on their part. On top of that, Larissa average just 0.6 goals per game across their last 10 home matches, while OFI have not scored away from home at all this season. Although Larissa do concede occasionally, the overall picture supports a bet on Total Goals - Under 2.5 at 1.73*.
Corners Prediction
In 9 of Larissa's last 10 matches, the total corners has been under 9.5, confirming a consistent tendency towards low corner counts. With no obvious contradictions in the statistics, a bet on Total Corners - Under 9.5 at 1.53* looks logical.
Reliable Bet
In 11 of Larissa's last 12 home matches, the total goals have gone under 3.5. Given Larissa's low scoring rate at home (averaging 0.6 goals per match across 10 home games) and OFI's problems scoring away from home, Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.24* looks reliable.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 0-1 (13.28%), 1-1 (12.65%), and 0-2 (10.75%). The most probable outcome is a narrow OFI win, though the margins between the options are small - draws and away wins both feature among the likely results.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given OFI's recent trend towards low-scoring matches - Total Goals Under 2.5 has come in six of their last seven cup matches - the game looks set to be a cautious one in front of goal for both sides. Larissa tend to favour a pragmatic approach and focus on minimising mistakes at the back, while OFI are capable of slowing the tempo when the result demands it, even with their general attacking advantage over the course of the season. In our view, the bet is Total Goals - Under 2.5. Predicted score: 0-1.
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Betting Tips: Larissa - OFI
in 8 of last 9 games.in 9 of last 10 games (Cup).in 7 of last 8 home games against OFI.in 15 of last 17 away games.in 7 of last 8 Larissa games (Cup).in 13 of last 15 OFI away games.in last 7 OFI games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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