CSKA vs Lokomotiv Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 29 October 2026
🔉 Lokomotiv are the main outsiders in the Russian Cup. If they lose in normal time, they will remain bottom of the group. So far Loko have not won a single match in the Cup, with three defeats all coming on penalties. CSKA, by contrast, returned to contention for the upper bracket of the play-offs after thrashing Rostov 4-0, and at home they are on a run of three consecutive wins.
🔁 This prediction will be updated as important news emerges. Check back closer to kick-off.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the cup meeting between the sides this season, the match ended 1-1 and CSKA won on penalties. In the other league meeting this season, CSKA won at home 3-2. More broadly, CSKA have had the better of the derby in recent years, winning 5 of the previous 6 matches. Over a span of 47 meetings, CSKA have 24 wins, 10 draws and 13 wins for Lokomotiv. At home, CSKA are on a run of three consecutive wins and have won 4 of their last 5 home meetings, while Lokomotiv have scored in five consecutive away matches.
Head-to-head statistics CSKA - Lokomotiv
CSKA: Home Stand and Goalkeeper Selection Drama
CSKA go into the derby on the back of three consecutive home wins. They have averaged 2.60 goals per match over their last five games and have scored in nine matches in a row. Defensively they have also held their level, conceding 0.80 goals per game. CSKA favour high pressing and ball control, and against a Lokomotiv side that have struggled to create in the Cup, that approach should work in their favour.
Their only slip in the last five matches came in the derby against Dynamo (1-3), but CSKA responded quickly with a win over Spartak (2-0), in which Borisko made ten saves. Their Cup form has been less convincing - two points from three rounds - though the 4-0 thrashing of Rostov brought them back into contention for the upper bracket of the play-offs. At home, CSKA have lost just once this season, to Akron (0-1) at the start of the group stage.
Match Results: CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv: Cup Underdogs with No Room for Error
Lokomotiv are the group's clear outsiders. Four rounds without a win, three penalty shootout defeats, three points and bottom place. Losing in normal time at the VEB Arena would leave the Railwaymen rooted to the bottom and effectively out of contention for the RPL Path play-off. Their attacking output in the Cup has been a disaster: two goals in four rounds - the joint-worst record in the group alongside Akron and Krylya Sovetov. Away from home, Lokomotiv have failed to score in either of their two matches.
The situation in the RPL is equally difficult: a defeat to Rostov (0-2) dropped them to 13th place. After that game, Galaktionov admitted that Lokomotiv had abandoned their own style of play and adjusted to the opposition, which he cited as one of the reasons for the poor performance. The Cup offers a chance to turn things around, but to do that they need what they are desperately short of - goals.
Match Results: Lokomotiv Moscow
Latest news
CSKA Moscow
The main intrigue surrounds the goalkeeping situation. Borisko played all four cup matches and made his first league start at the weekend, going on to be the hero of the derby against Spartak. The goalkeepers could now swap roles, with Torop getting some cup minutes and Borisko getting a rest ahead of important league fixtures.
Lokomotiv Moscow
Lokomotiv's squad situation is a concern. Bakayev picked up an injury in Rostov and his participation is in doubt. Pinyaev and Babkin are both training individually - Pinyaev has a cold, while Babkin is recovering from an injury sustained in the match against Krasnodar. Montes was injured in training and did not play against Rostov. Galaktionov confirmed that a decision on Pinyaev and Babkin will be made immediately before the match.
Predicted Lineups
Probable starting XI for CSKA: Torop - Danilov, João Victor, Abdulkadyrov - Azzi, Bandikyan, Kislyak, Reis - Karmo, Popovich - Gondu.
Probable starting XI for Lokomotiv: Lantratov - Silyanov, Nyamsi, Dzhikiya, Fasson - Shchetinin, Kovalenko - Rudenko, Titkov, Mostovoy - Rakov.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
For Lokomotiv this is a must-win Cup match: the contest will be physical and there will be plenty of fouls. Lokomotiv received more yellow cards than CSKA in 4 of their last 5 away head-to-head meetings. Lokomotiv to receive more yellow cards is a bet that follows naturally from the visitors' motivation and the history of this derby.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
CSKA have conceded in seven consecutive head-to-head meetings in the second half. Lokomotiv will look to win even if they fall behind - sitting back is not an option for the visitors. We're backing a Lokomotiv goal in the second half at 1.98*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
CSKA have won the corners count in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings. Lokomotiv have lost the corners battle in five consecutive away matches. On top of that, the visitors have issues with their winger selection - Pinyaev and Bakayev are both doubts, which weakens their wide play. We're going with CSKA to win the corners.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams scored in regulation time in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings at CSKA's ground in the RPL and Russian Cup. The Both Teams to Score - Yes bet also came in in 4 of Lokomotiv's last 6 matches. CSKA remain favourites at home: three wins in a row, 2.60 goals scored per game on average, and nine matches with goals. But Lokomotiv are in a position where sitting back is not an option - losing in regulation time would leave them bottom of the group. The visitors will open up, look for their moments and leave space at the back, which increases the likelihood of goals at both ends. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow
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