CSKA vs Lokomotiv Prediction 22 August 2026
🔉 A derby between two Moscow clubs both going through a difficult spell. CSKA are unbeaten in the RPL, but in terms of performance they are one of the worst sides in the top five, while Lokomotiv are yet to win and are hovering near the playoff zone. Both teams arrive at this derby in far from ideal shape, and the match at the VEB Arena will be a test of character for both sides.
Head-to-Head
📊 Across 46 meetings between the sides, CSKA have won 23, Lokomotiv 13, with 10 draws. Both teams have scored in 54% of their head-to-head matches. The two sides have already met this season in the Russian Cup - the match ended 1-1 after 90 minutes, with CSKA winning the penalty shootout 5-4.
Head-to-head statistics CSKA - Lokomotiv

CSKA Moscow Team Overview
CSKA sit fifth with eight points, but the numbers are somewhat misleading. They have scored just four goals in four rounds. Wins over Baltika (2-1) and Fakel (1-0) were hard-fought, and against the Voronezh side the only goal came from the penalty spot in the 71st minute. A Cup defeat to Akron (0-1) was another warning sign.
The main problem for the red-and-blues is the lack of goals from their forwards. The central strikers are yet to score this season, and in their last three competitive home matches the team has not scored from open play. The defence has been solid - just two goals conceded in the RPL - but the squad depth raises questions. Igdisamov has yet to find the right balance between creativity and defensive stability, and the derby against Lokomotiv will be a test of that.
Match Results: CSKA Moscow

Lokomotiv Moscow Team Overview
Things are looking considerably worse for the railway club. Lokomotiv are yet to win this season: draws with Akhmat (1-1), Akron (0-0) and Orenburg (1-1), plus defeats to Makhachkala's Dynamo (1-2) in the RPL and to Rostov in the Cup (0-1). Six matches without a win is a record-worst start to a season for the club.
The root of the crisis is the loss of key players. Alexei Batrakov, the team's leading figure, has effectively moved to Galatasaray and was already left out of the squad for the Cup match against Rostov. Dmitri Vorobyov left in the summer, Nikolai Komlichenko is injured, and Artyom Karpukas is attracting close interest from Zenit. Without them, the side cannot find any attacking balance - just three goals in four RPL rounds. Defensively, Lokomotiv have been making costly errors too, as illustrated by the penalty conceded in the 92nd minute against Rostov that cost them the match.
Match Results: Lokomotiv Moscow
Latest news
CSKA Moscow
Igor Akinfeev, Maxim Voronov, Moisés and Mateus Reis are all currently sidelined for CSKA. Moisés faces a lengthy spell on the sidelines after suffering a cruciate ligament rupture and is expected to miss around six months.
Lokomotiv Moscow
The visitors are without two players: César Montes and Nikolai Komlichenko are both still recovering from injury. Alexei Batrakov is unlikely to feature either, with a move to Galatasaray seemingly imminent.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Lokomotiv are in deep crisis and have been forced to foul frequently to contain their opponents' quick attacks. The team regularly loses the ball when trying to play out from the back, and a lack of cohesion in defence - the result of constant squad changes - leads to further rule-breaking. In this context, the visitors picking up more yellow cards is the logical expectation. We're backing a Lokomotiv win on yellow cards.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
In six matches this season, CSKA have conceded or scored no more than three goals per game. Lokomotiv show the same trend across all six of their matches. In five of the last seven head-to-head meetings, the total has stayed under 3.5. Both sides are struggling in attack: CSKA's strikers are yet to score this season, while Lokomotiv are without Batrakov and Kolichenko. We're backing Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.49*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Without their key attacking players, Lokomotiv are struggling to create danger in the final third. In 7 of their 8 matches, they have won five corners or fewer. The absence of creative midfielders and forwards means the team rarely sustains pressure in the opposition half. We're backing Lokomotiv Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at 1.33*.
🚀 Player Stats Bet
Given Lokomotiv's shaky defence and the frequency of fouls in their penalty area, a penalty is a real possibility. CSKA's designated spot-kick taker is Ivan Oblyakov, who has already converted a penalty this season. We're looking at Oblyakov to Score at 6.22*.
😱 Risky Bet
Lokomotiv's defence has been making regular mistakes in their own box. There were already questionable episodes in their matches against Orenburg and Rostov. A penalty to be awarded at 2.64* looks like a plausible outcome in a derby of this nature.
🎯 Safe Bet
CSKA have scored more than two goals in just one of their 8 home RPL matches this season. Lokomotiv, for all their problems, have conceded only four goals in four rounds. Even with a weakened squad, they are capable of defending in an organised manner. We're backing CSKA Team Total - Under 2.5 at 1.28*.
👀 If the Match Goes Another Way
CSKA are the favourites and the more likely winners. But Lokomotiv have young players who could feed off the emotion of a derby and produce a strong performance. Given the psychological pressure on the squad after a run of poor results, a surprise away win is not out of the question. The odds are 3.83*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Pick
This derby is unlikely to produce many goals. Both sides are struggling badly in attack: CSKA have scored more than once in just one of their six matches, while the visitors have failed to do so in any game this season. CSKA lost to Akron in the Cup, and Lokomotiv have gone six matches without a win. Injury problems in both attack and defence at either club only add to the case for a low-scoring game. We're going with Total Goals - Under 2.5. Predicted score: 1-1.