PSG vs Auxerre Prediction 27 September 2025

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The main thing

    🔊 How will PSG respond after their first defeat of the season? The Parisian club hosts Auxerre in the sixth round of the French football championship. In a way, Christophe Pelissier's side are unlucky to face PSG at this moment, as they are fully motivated to bounce back after their loss to Marseille. Let's take a closer look at this match and make a prediction on its outcome.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 PSG dominate the head-to-head against Auxerre. The capital club have won 4 out of the five official matches, with one game ending in a draw.

    Head-to-head statistics PSG - Auxerre

    86%
    6 Wins
    14%
    1 Draw
    0%
    0 Wins
    Total games
    7
    Total Goals Avg
    2.29
    Both teams scored
    29%
    2
    Total average
    0.29
    0.86
    Yellow cards
    1.43
    Last matches
    23.01.26
    Ligue 1
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    0.49
    1.48
    2
    7
    10
    12
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.49
    1.48
    2
    7
    10
    12
    0
    1
    27.09.25
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    1.54
    0.67
    5
    5
    17
    10
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.54
    0.67
    5
    5
    17
    10
    1
    2
    17.05.25
    Ligue 1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    3.72
    0.9
    5
    2
    10
    9
    1
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    0
    3.72
    0.9
    5
    2
    10
    9
    1
    2
    06.12.24
    Ligue 1
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    0.23
    2.49
    3
    15
    8
    6
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.23
    2.49
    3
    15
    8
    6
    2
    1
    21.05.23
    Ligue 1
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    -
    -
    4
    6
    9
    6
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    9
    6
    1
    0
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    Paris Saint-Germain Team Overview

    🔵 PSG recently suffered their first defeat of the season across all competitions. This setback came in an away match against Marseille (0-1), where Luis Enrique's side was undone by a Marquinhos own goal in the 5th minute. Statistically, PSG dominated the game with 68% possession compared to Marseille's 32%, and they had 5 shots on target to Marseille's 1. However, they failed to break down their opponents and secure a result.

    🔴 Due to this defeat in the latest round, Paris Saint-Germain have lost their lead in the French championship. Currently, four teams are tied at 12 points, making the race for the title fiercely competitive. It's worth noting that PSG have yet to concede a goal at home this season, securing two clean-sheet victories in Ligue 1 and one in the Champions League.

    Match Results: Paris Saint-Germain

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    Ligue 1
    Stade Rennes
    Stade Rennes
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    0.95
    1.55
    0
    10
    7
    6
    2
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    2
    0.95
    1.55
    0
    10
    7
    6
    2
    2
    D
    16.08.26
    French Super Cup
    Lens
    Lens
    1
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    1
    0.89
    1.71
    2
    6
    9
    10
    1
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.89
    1.71
    2
    6
    9
    10
    1
    3
    L
    12.08.26
    Super Cup
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    1.04
    2.13
    0
    2
    11
    13
    0
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.04
    2.13
    0
    2
    11
    13
    0
    3
    W
    08.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Manchester United
    Manchester United
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    -
    -
    3
    3
    7
    12
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    3
    7
    12
    1
    0
    D
    05.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Mallorca
    Mallorca
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    -
    -
    5
    3
    12
    10
    1
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    3
    12
    10
    1
    0
    L
    Empty
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    Auxerre Team Overview

    🔵 Auxerre have been experiencing a rollercoaster season so far. However, their style and tactics are clear: the team plays defensively in almost every match, relying on counterattacks. Their scoring record leaves much to be desired, with only 4 goals in five rounds (an average of 0.8 per game). Meanwhile, Christophe Pelissier's side have conceded relatively few goals-just 6.

    ⚪ After three consecutive defeats, Auxerre finally secured a much-needed victory against Toulouse (1-0). That night, the stars aligned for the "Burgundians": they survived a missed penalty and managed to hold onto their slim lead even when down to ten men. The expected goals metric for their opponent was 1.86 in that match. Lady Luck was definitely on their side!

    Match Results: Auxerre

    Last matches
    22.08.26
    Ligue 1
    Lens
    Lens
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    1
    3.89
    1.81
    4
    7
    6
    21
    1
    1
    5
    2
    1
    0
    4
    2
    3.89
    1.81
    4
    7
    6
    21
    1
    1
    L
    15.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Werder Bremen
    Werder Bremen
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    1
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    1
    4
    W
    08.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    Troyes
    Troyes
    -
    -
    4
    7
    -
    -
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    7
    -
    -
    0
    1
    D
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Sochaux
    Sochaux
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    D
    25.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    US Orleans
    US Orleans
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    0
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Latest news

    Paris Saint-Germain

    ❌ Ousmane Dembélé and João Neves are still recovering from their injuries and will not be available for the match against Auxerre. To recap, the Frenchman sustained his injury while on international duty during a World Cup qualifier, while the Portuguese player suffered his setback in the UEFA Champions League opener against Atalanta.

    Auxerre

    🟥 Norwegian defender Fredrik Oppegard will miss the upcoming match against PSG due to a suspension. In the game against Toulouse (Matchday 5), he received a straight red card in the 64th minute and was sent off.

    ❌ Marvin Senaya's participation in the upcoming clash is doubtful after he sustained an injury during his team's last encounter against Toulouse. It's worth noting that Senaya is a key defender for Auxerre, having participated in every match for the club this season, completing four of them from start to finish.

    🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards

    The upcoming match will be officiated by Thomas Léonard. On average, over the span of 100 matches, he hands out 3.65 yellow cards per game, with 24 fouls committed. In the last 5 matches, the yellow card stats for the teams are as follows: PSG average 0.5 per game, while Auxerre average 2.4. Considering the visitors' tendency for frequent fouls and their opponents' more disciplined play, we suggest betting on Auxerre to win the yellow card count.

    ⚽️ Goals Prediction

    Auxerre's scoring record this season is quite poor, with just 4 goals, averaging less than one per game. The team primarily focuses on defense and rarely ventures forward. Given that the "white and blues" are set to play away against the French champions, a goal fest from them seems unlikely. We recommend betting on Auxerre’s total goals under 1.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Corners statistics in the current championship favor Paris Saint-Germain. Over their last five games, PSG have averaged 6.6 corners per match, whereas Auxerre have averaged 5.5. Based on the overall match setup and corner stats, we suggest betting on PSG with a corners handicap of -1.5.

    Editor's Prediction

    The head-to-head statistics between these teams heavily favor PSG. Their last encounter ended with a commanding home victory for the capital club (3-1). Currently, the Parisians are highly motivated as they aim to redeem themselves in front of their home fans after a recent defeat to Marseille. We predict the score in the upcoming match will favor the hosts, 3-0. PSG have kept clean sheets at home this season, while efficiently breaking down opponents' defenses (seven goals in three matches). Therefore, we back PSG with a handicap of (-1.5).

    Paris Saint-Germain Handicap (-1,5)
    Published: 26/09/2025, 16:32

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    Betting Tips: Paris Saint-Germain - Auxerre

    Paris Saint-Germain have won:
    paris-saint-germain-1in 9 of last 10 home games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in 8 of last 9 home games (Ligue 1).
    paris-saint-germain-1in 6 of last 7 games (Ligue 1).
    Paris Saint-Germain Win
    Bovada
    -526
    Paris Saint-Germain have not lost:
    paris-saint-germain-1in 10 of last 11 home games (Ligue 1).
    paris-saint-germain-1in 9 of last 10 home games.
    Paris Saint-Germain will not lose
    -2500
    Under 4.5 goals scored:
    paris-saint-germain-1in 15 of last 16 Paris Saint-Germain home games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in 13 of last 14 Paris Saint-Germain games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in last 7 Paris Saint-Germain home games (Ligue 1).
    aj-auxerrein 34 of last 35 Auxerre games.
    aj-auxerrein 33 of last 34 Auxerre games (Ligue 1).
    aj-auxerrein 15 of last 16 Auxerre away games (Ligue 1).
    in 8 of last 9 Thomas Leonard games (in the Ligue 1).
    Total goals Under (4,5)
    -345
    Paris Saint-Germain have scored:
    paris-saint-germain-1in 22 of last 23 games (Ligue 1).
    paris-saint-germain-1in 14 of last 15 home games.
    paris-saint-germain-1in last 11 home games (Ligue 1).
    Paris Saint-Germain will score goal
    -
    View more facts

    PSG - Auxerre Table position

    Ligue 1 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Paris Saint-Germain
    Paris Saint-Germain
    34244674-2976
    2.
    Lens
    Lens
    34224866-3570
    3.
    Lille
    Lille
    34187952-3761
    14.
    Havre
    Havre
    347141332-4435
    15.
    Auxerre
    Auxerre
    348101634-4434
    16.
    Nice
    Nice
    347111637-6032

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 14
    +3
    +3
    17 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    3
    2
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    17
    14
    Conceded
    14
    3.1
    Match goals average
    3.1
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    7
    Both teams scored
    6
    55'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats