Metz vs Havre Prediction 28 September 2025
🔊 Can Le Havre snatch points on the road against Metz? This Sunday, a clash between two teams languishing at the bottom of the Ligue 1 standings takes place. For both sides, even a single point would be a commendable result, and if they manage to secure all three, it would be a significant boost! Check out our analysis and prediction for the Metz vs Le Havre match in our article.
Head-to-Head
📊 In the last four head-to-head encounters between Metz and Le Havre, the matches have consistently seen low-scoring outcomes with 2 or fewer goals being netted.
Head-to-head statistics Metz - Havre
Metz Team Overview
🔴 Metz have only managed to secure one point this season, which came in the fourth round when the "Crusaders" played to a 1-1 draw at home against Angers. Notably, their opponents had an expected goals (xG) figure of 2.03 in that match, highlighting a fair bit of luck on Metz's part.
⚪ In their most recent outing, Metz suffered a 5-2 defeat away to Monaco. Conceding that many goals isn't surprising, but scoring twice was somewhat unexpected, considering Stéphane Le Mignan's side had only netted three goals prior to this match. Currently, Metz's goal difference stands at -8 with 5 scored and 13 conceded.
Match Results: Metz
Havre Team Overview
🔵 Havre have suffered three defeats this season, leaving them near the bottom of the league table, perilously close to the relegation zone. Didier Digard's squad struggles with scoring, managing only six goals in five matches while conceding eight. However, it's worth noting that their defense holds up well, even against stronger opponents, preventing them from scoring freely.
⚪ In their latest fixture, Havre hosted Lorient and managed to secure a 1-1 draw, though they seemed on the verge of a win. The home side dominated possession with around 60%, and their expected goals (xG) stood at 2.29. This is one of those instances where Havre might feel hard done by with just a draw!
Match Results: Havre
Latest news
Metz
🟥 Senegalese defender Sadibou Sane will miss the upcoming match against Le Havre due to suspension. He received a straight red card in the 80th minute during the game against Paris (Matchday 3) and was sent off.
❌ Forward Joseph Mangondo's participation in the upcoming fixture remains uncertain. He has yet to feature this season due to a knee injury, but according to local media, he has recovered and is expected to return to the pitch soon.
Havre
❌ The participation of key defender Yanis Zouaï in the upcoming game is in doubt after he was diagnosed with an ankle injury. He sustained the injury during the match against Strasbourg in the fourth round. Subsequently, he missed the game against Lorient, and it's uncertain if he has recovered in time.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The referee for the upcoming match is Romain Lissorgue. Over the span of 100 games, he averages 3.85 yellow cards per match, with 28 fouls. In the last five matches, the yellow card stats for the teams have been low: Metz averages 1 per game, while Lyon averages 2. Considering the teams commit few fouls in the current league, we suggest betting on total yellow cards under 4.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
In three of the last four encounters between Metz and Le Havre, one of the teams left the field without scoring. This season, both sides have struggled to convert their chances. Given these factors, we recommend betting on both teams to score - no.
🚩 Corner Prediction
The situation with corners is quite similar for both teams this season. Over the last five matches, Metz has averaged 4.2 corners per game, while Le Havre has averaged 4. It's unlikely this trend will change significantly in the upcoming clash, so we suggest betting on total corners under 9.5.
Editor's Prediction
In recent years, these teams have consistently played low-scoring matches against each other, with their last four head-to-heads featuring two goals or fewer. In their last three fixtures, Le Havre have picked up points twice and came close to securing a second win, narrowly missing out on victory. We predict the visitors will edge out a win in the upcoming match with a scoreline of 1-0. Considering the scarcity of goals from both sides and their history, we suggest betting on total goals under 2.5.
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Betting Tips: Metz - Havre
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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