Real Madrid vs Leganes Prediction 28 July 2026
🔊 Among Tuesday's many friendlies, Real Madrid vs Leganés is the one drawing the most attention. It'll be the club's first match since José Mourinho returned to the dugout - his last game in charge of Los Blancos was 13 years ago, and fans are eager to see what the team looks like under him again. That said, all of Real's key players are still resting after the World Cup, so don't expect too much from this one.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the two sides took place on 29 March 2025 and ended in a 3-2 win for Real. Here's the key stats from that game (home side: Real Madrid):
- possession: 71% vs 29%;
- corners: 8 vs 3;
- fouls: 9 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 10 vs 4.
📊 The head-to-head record spans 17 matches. The hosts have won 13 of them, while the visitors have taken just two, with two draws. In terms of goals, Real Madrid have scored 44 to Leganés' 19. That puts the average total at 3.71 per game.
Head-to-head statistics Real Madrid - Leganes
Real Madrid Team Overview
Real had a disappointing last season and moved decisively in the transfer market this summer. President Florentino Pérez backed the controversial appointment of Mourinho - a manager well past his peak - with a serious budget. La Liga doesn't kick off for nearly a month, and Madrid have already brought in Cucurella, Bernardo Silva, Konaté and Dumfries. Mourinho won't stop there, especially if they can sell Vinícius Júnior at a good price - the Brazilian doesn't appear to be part of his plans.
That said, Madrid will be far from full strength here. Mbappé and Bellingham are still resting after the World Cup, and Courtois, Militão and Rodrygo are all working their way back from injuries. Still, even with the rotation and the absentees, the individual quality in Real's squad is on a different level.
Match Results: Real Madrid
Leganes Team Overview
Leganes were relegated from La Liga two seasons ago and failed to bounce straight back, finishing 16th in the Segunda División. After a result like that, significant improvement seems unlikely. The team regularly struggles to defend against stronger attacking sides.
That said, the visitors don't have many options here - a low block in a 5-3-2 or 4-5-1, looking to hit Real on the counter through El Haddadi and García. Though it's hard to believe in any attacking ambitions from this side: over the spring stretch, across their last ten matches, they were generating just 0.7 goals per game. Still, one thing worth noting - even when Leganes lose, they rarely get hammered.
Match Results: Leganes
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head matches:
- Total encounters - 17;
- First-half wins for the home side (at home) - 4; for the visitors (away) - 2; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 2.06;
- Today's home team averages 1.29 goals in the first half, while the away team scores 0.76.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Real's overall quality is clearly superior, but the historical record shows something worth keeping in mind: Leganés almost always keeps the scoreline tight against stronger sides. This is Madrid's first preseason match, while Leganés have already played four - that game sharpness counts for something and should close the gap at least partially. Reports from the opening days of Real's camp mention double training sessions, which means they're laying the fitness groundwork for the season right now - heavy workloads, not a full-strength squad, and nowhere near peak form. We'll back Leganés +1.5 handicap.
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Betting Tips: Real Madrid - Leganes
in 10 of last 11 games (Club Friendly Games).
in 11 of last 12 Real Madrid games (Club Friendly Games).in 21 of last 22 Leganes games (Club Friendly Games).in 11 of last 12 games (Club Friendly Games).in 29 of last 30 games (Club Friendly Games).Comparison of Teams Stats
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