Atl. Mineiro vs Palmeiras Prediction 28 January 2026

    🔊 In the opening round of the new Serie A season, Atlético Mineiro host Palmeiras in what promises to be a thrilling encounter. Atlético finished mid-table last year and are clearly aiming to improve their results in 2026. Meanwhile, Palmeiras narrowly missed out on the championship and are eager to reclaim the "crown" from Flamengo. Over the past two seasons, the "Verdão" have defeated "Galo" four times. Will this streak be broken, or will the trend continue?

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 04 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0-3. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (home team - Atlético Mineiro):

    • possession: 65% vs 35%;
    • corner kicks: 10 vs 6;
    • fouls: 15 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 5.

    📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Atlético Mineiro and Palmeiras:

    • 47 matches played;
    • home wins - 14, away wins - 17, draws - 16;
    • goals scored - 54 for Atlético Mineiro, 59 for Palmeiras;
    • average goals in the first half - 0.98, second half - 1.43;
    • average total goals per match - 2.4.

    Head-to-head statistics Atl. Mineiro - Palmeiras

    31%
    15 Wins
    35%
    17 Draws
    35%
    17 Wins
    Total games
    49
    Total Goals Avg
    2.45
    Both teams scored
    55%
    1.18
    Total average
    1.27
    1.94
    Yellow cards
    1.82
    Last matches
    26.07.26
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    2.15
    1.13
    10
    5
    7
    11
    0
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    2.15
    1.13
    10
    5
    7
    11
    0
    3
    28.01.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    0.63
    1.43
    5
    7
    14
    20
    4
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0.63
    1.43
    5
    7
    14
    20
    4
    2
    04.12.25
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1
    2.52
    1.54
    10
    6
    15
    12
    1
    2
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    2.52
    1.54
    10
    6
    15
    12
    1
    2
    20.07.25
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.92
    0.35
    9
    0
    22
    16
    2
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1.92
    0.35
    9
    0
    22
    16
    2
    3
    28.09.24
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    -
    -
    7
    3
    15
    7
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    7
    3
    15
    7
    2
    2
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    Atletico Mineiro Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Mineiro League, where Atlético Mineiro hosted Cruzeiro. The match ended with a scoreline of 2-1.

    Here are the game statistics (Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro):

    • possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 0;
    • fouls: 11 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 5.

    ⚫ Atlético wrapped up last season with a commanding home victory over Vasco da Gama (5-0), finishing 11th with 48 points from 38 matches. The "Galo" also reached the final of the Copa Sudamericana but, after a goalless draw in regular and extra time, lost to Argentine side Lanús in a penalty shootout (4-5). Atlético remain under the guidance of Jorge Sampaoli, whose contract with the club runs until the end of 2027. Given the stature of both the coach and the team, the management clearly expects more advanced results this season.

    Match Results: Atletico Mineiro

    Last matches
    26.08.26
    Copa Brasil
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    -
    -
    4
    3
    15
    19
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    3
    15
    19
    1
    2
    D
    22.08.26
    Serie A
    Internacional
    Internacional
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.47
    0.92
    6
    5
    18
    15
    5
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.47
    0.92
    6
    5
    18
    15
    5
    3
    D
    19.08.26
    sudamericana
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    0.77
    1.57
    5
    10
    7
    11
    1
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0.77
    1.57
    5
    10
    7
    11
    1
    2
    D
    16.08.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1.84
    0.4
    8
    6
    14
    11
    3
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1.84
    0.4
    8
    6
    14
    11
    3
    3
    W
    12.08.26
    sudamericana
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.54
    1.68
    7
    3
    7
    8
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.54
    1.68
    7
    3
    7
    8
    2
    0
    W
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    Palmeiras Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in the Paulista A1 League, where Palmeiras hosted São Paulo. The game ended with a 3-1 victory for Palmeiras.

    Here's the match statistics (Palmeiras vs São Paulo):

    • possession: 34% vs 66%;
    • corners: 2 vs 9;
    • fouls: 13 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 6.

    🟢 Palmeiras played excellently for most of last season across all competitions, but when it mattered most, their mental fortitude faltered. A winless streak spanning five matches from October 10 to 26, 2025, cost the team the top spot, which Flamengo reclaimed. Further compounding their woes, Palmeiras suffered a defeat in the Copa Libertadores final against the same Flamengo (0-1), delivering a crushing blow to Abel Ferreira's squad. The "Green and Whites" managed two wins in the remaining fixtures, but by then, it was too late to change their fate. This season's objective remains unchanged: reclaim the trophy last secured by the club in 2022.

    Match Results: Palmeiras

    Last matches
    27.08.26
    Copa Brasil
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Santos
    Santos
    -
    -
    8
    5
    10
    16
    2
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    5
    10
    16
    2
    2
    W
    23.08.26
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    1.71
    1.61
    5
    3
    8
    21
    1
    3
    4
    1
    0
    0
    4
    1
    1.71
    1.61
    5
    3
    8
    21
    1
    3
    W
    19.08.26
    libertadores
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    0.64
    0.83
    7
    6
    17
    17
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.64
    0.83
    7
    6
    17
    17
    2
    1
    W
    15.08.26
    Serie A
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    2.17
    1.65
    5
    5
    16
    17
    4
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    2.17
    1.65
    5
    5
    16
    17
    4
    3
    L
    12.08.26
    libertadores
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    1.72
    0.29
    7
    2
    10
    16
    0
    5
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.72
    0.29
    7
    2
    10
    16
    0
    5
    D
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    Match Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Record:

    • Total encounters - 47;
    • Home wins - 14, Away wins - 17, Draws - 16.

    Statistics: Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 2 vs 6;
    • Losses: 3 vs 3;
    • Draws: 5 vs 1.
    👉Prediction: Palmeiras will not lose (odds: 1.39)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average goals scored by home team - 1.15, by away team - 1.26;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.4;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 25 times; at home team's ground - 15 times.
    Trends
    • Atlético Mineiro have scored fewer than 1.5 goals at home in the last 5 head-to-head meetings.
    👉Prediction: Atletico Mineiro Total goals Under (1,5) (odds: 1.42)

    Corners Prediction

    Trends
    • Palmeiras have taken more than 4.5 corners in the last 5 consecutive head-to-head matches (Serie A).
    • Palmeiras have taken more than 4.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 matches (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Palmeiras Total Over (4,5) (odds: 1.57)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 47;
    • Both teams scored overall - 25 times;
    • At home team's ground - 15 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.97)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The teams maintain their competitive edge in local tournaments, and given their current form, we can anticipate a tense match with plenty of action at both ends. Considering Ferreira's attacking prowess, betting on Palmeiras to score in the second half seems reasonable, supported by historical data: Atlético have conceded to Palmeiras in the second half in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters.

    2nd half, Palmeiras will score goal
    Published: 26/01/2026, 22:24

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    Betting Tips: Atletico Mineiro - Palmeiras

    Atletico Mineiro have lost the 2nd half:
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1palmeiras-sp-1in 5 of last 6 home games against Palmeiras.
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1palmeiras-sp-1in last 4 home games against Palmeiras (Serie A).
    2nd Half Palmeiras Win
    Everygame
    +160
    Palmeiras have won:
    palmeiras-sp-1in 6 of last 7 games.
    Palmeiras Win
    Bovada
    +146
    Atletico Mineiro have not won:
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1palmeiras-sp-1in 14 of last 15 games against Palmeiras.
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1palmeiras-sp-1in 8 of last 9 games against Palmeiras (Serie A).
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1palmeiras-sp-1in last 7 home games against Palmeiras.
    Palmeiras will not lose
    -256
    Atletico Mineiro have not lost:
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 15 of last 16 home games.
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 10 of last 11 home games (Serie A).
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in last 6 games.
    Atletico Mineiro will not lose
    -185
    View more facts

    Atl. Mineiro - Palmeiras Table position

    Brasileiro Serie A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    24156344-2051
    2.
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    23136445-2145
    3.
    Atletico Paranaense
    Atletico Paranaense
    24135634-2244
    8.
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    2497830-3134
    9.
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    2396830-2733
    10.
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    2488826-2432

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    6 - Draws
    0 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 7
    +6
    +11
    21 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    5
    6
    Draws
    2
    0
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    21
    7
    Conceded
    10
    2
    Match goals average
    3.1
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.1
    0.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    5
    Both teams scored
    5
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    43'
    View all stats