Atl. Mineiro vs Palmeiras Prediction

    🔊 In the opening round of the new Serie A season, Atlético Mineiro host Palmeiras in what promises to be a thrilling encounter. Atlético finished mid-table last year and are clearly aiming to improve their results in 2026. Meanwhile, Palmeiras narrowly missed out on the championship and are eager to reclaim the "crown" from Flamengo. Over the past two seasons, the "Verdão" have defeated "Galo" four times. Will this streak be broken, or will the trend continue?

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 04 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0-3. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (home team - Atlético Mineiro):

    • possession: 65% vs 35%;
    • corner kicks: 10 vs 6;
    • fouls: 15 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 5.

    📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Atlético Mineiro and Palmeiras:

    • 47 matches played;
    • home wins - 14, away wins - 17, draws - 16;
    • goals scored - 54 for Atlético Mineiro, 59 for Palmeiras;
    • average goals in the first half - 0.98, second half - 1.43;
    • average total goals per match - 2.4.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    29%
    14 Wins
    35%
    17 Draws
    35%
    17 Wins
    Total games
    48
    Total Goals Avg
    2.44
    Both teams scored
    54%
    1.17
    Total average
    1.27
    1.92
    Yellow cards
    1.85
    Last matches
    28.01.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    0.63
    1.43
    5
    7
    14
    20
    4
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0.63
    1.43
    5
    7
    14
    20
    4
    2
    04.12.25
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1
    2.52
    1.54
    10
    6
    15
    12
    1
    2
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    2.52
    1.54
    10
    6
    15
    12
    1
    2
    20.07.25
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.92
    0.35
    9
    0
    22
    16
    2
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    2
    1
    1.92
    0.35
    9
    0
    22
    16
    2
    3
    28.09.24
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    -
    -
    7
    3
    15
    7
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    7
    3
    15
    7
    2
    2
    17.06.24
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    -
    -
    3
    6
    13
    12
    4
    3
    0
    4
    0
    1
    0
    3
    -
    -
    3
    6
    13
    12
    4
    3
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    Atletico Mineiro Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Mineiro League, where Atlético Mineiro hosted Cruzeiro. The match ended with a scoreline of 2-1.

    Here are the game statistics (Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro):

    • possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 0;
    • fouls: 11 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 5.

    ⚫ Atlético wrapped up last season with a commanding home victory over Vasco da Gama (5-0), finishing 11th with 48 points from 38 matches. The "Galo" also reached the final of the Copa Sudamericana but, after a goalless draw in regular and extra time, lost to Argentine side Lanús in a penalty shootout (4-5). Atlético remain under the guidance of Jorge Sampaoli, whose contract with the club runs until the end of 2027. Given the stature of both the coach and the team, the management clearly expects more advanced results this season.

    Match Results: Atletico Mineiro

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Serie A
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.48
    0.58
    3
    4
    20
    17
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.48
    0.58
    3
    4
    20
    17
    1
    1
    W
    27.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Puerto Cabello
    Puerto Cabello
    -
    -
    7
    1
    4
    12
    2
    4
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    1
    4
    12
    2
    4
    W
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    0.71
    1.47
    3
    0
    15
    14
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.71
    1.47
    3
    0
    15
    14
    1
    2
    L
    21.05.26
    Copa Sudamericana
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Cienciano
    Cienciano
    -
    -
    8
    1
    8
    10
    4
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    8
    1
    8
    10
    4
    2
    W
    16.05.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Mirassol
    Mirassol
    2.2
    1.42
    5
    6
    6
    14
    0
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    2.2
    1.42
    5
    6
    6
    14
    0
    1
    W
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    Palmeiras Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in the Paulista A1 League, where Palmeiras hosted São Paulo. The game ended with a 3-1 victory for Palmeiras.

    Here's the match statistics (Palmeiras vs São Paulo):

    • possession: 34% vs 66%;
    • corners: 2 vs 9;
    • fouls: 13 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 6.

    🟢 Palmeiras played excellently for most of last season across all competitions, but when it mattered most, their mental fortitude faltered. A winless streak spanning five matches from October 10 to 26, 2025, cost the team the top spot, which Flamengo reclaimed. Further compounding their woes, Palmeiras suffered a defeat in the Copa Libertadores final against the same Flamengo (0-1), delivering a crushing blow to Abel Ferreira's squad. The "Green and Whites" managed two wins in the remaining fixtures, but by then, it was too late to change their fate. This season's objective remains unchanged: reclaim the trophy last secured by the club in 2022.

    Match Results: Palmeiras

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1
    Chapecoense
    Chapecoense
    0.77
    1.27
    3
    2
    9
    9
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.77
    1.27
    3
    2
    9
    9
    1
    1
    W
    28.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Junior
    2.13
    1.33
    0
    7
    4
    12
    0
    3
    4
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2.13
    1.33
    0
    7
    4
    12
    0
    3
    W
    24.05.26
    Serie A
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    1
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    1.41
    1.63
    8
    4
    9
    19
    5
    6
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    1.41
    1.63
    8
    4
    9
    19
    5
    6
    W
    21.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    0.7
    0.71
    6
    3
    17
    10
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.7
    0.71
    6
    3
    17
    10
    3
    3
    L
    17.05.26
    Serie A
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    0.97
    0.62
    6
    5
    19
    14
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.97
    0.62
    6
    5
    19
    14
    2
    4
    D
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    Match Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Record:

    • Total encounters - 47;
    • Home wins - 14, Away wins - 17, Draws - 16.

    Statistics: Atlético Mineiro vs Palmeiras

    Last 10 Matches:

    • Wins: 2 vs 6;
    • Losses: 3 vs 3;
    • Draws: 5 vs 1.
    👉Prediction: Palmeiras will not lose (odds: 1.39)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average goals scored by home team - 1.15, by away team - 1.26;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.4;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 25 times; at home team's ground - 15 times.
    Trends
    • Atlético Mineiro have scored fewer than 1.5 goals at home in the last 5 head-to-head meetings.
    👉Prediction: Atletico Mineiro Total goals Under (1.5) (odds: 1.42)

    Corners Prediction

    Trends
    • Palmeiras have taken more than 4.5 corners in the last 5 consecutive head-to-head matches (Serie A).
    • Palmeiras have taken more than 4.5 corners in 7 of their last 8 matches (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Palmeiras Total Over (4.5) (odds: 1.57)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 47;
    • Both teams scored overall - 25 times;
    • At home team's ground - 15 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.97)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The teams maintain their competitive edge in local tournaments, and given their current form, we can anticipate a tense match with plenty of action at both ends. Considering Ferreira's attacking prowess, betting on Palmeiras to score in the second half seems reasonable, supported by historical data: Atlético have conceded to Palmeiras in the second half in 6 of their last 7 head-to-head encounters.

    Our choice
    2nd half, Palmeiras will score goal at odds of -139*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (26 January 2026, 22:24)

    Betting Tips: Atletico Mineiro - Palmeiras

    Atletico Mineiro have lost the 2nd half
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1palmeiras-sp-1in 5 of last 6 home games against Palmeiras.
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1palmeiras-sp-1in last 4 home games against Palmeiras (Serie A).
    2nd Half Palmeiras Win
    Everygame
    +160
    Palmeiras have won
    palmeiras-sp-1in 6 of last 7 games.
    Palmeiras Win
    Bovada
    +146
    Atletico Mineiro have not won
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1palmeiras-sp-1in 14 of last 15 games against Palmeiras.
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1palmeiras-sp-1in 8 of last 9 games against Palmeiras (Serie A).
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1palmeiras-sp-1in last 7 home games against Palmeiras.
    Palmeiras will not lose
    -256
    Atletico Mineiro have not lost
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 15 of last 16 home games.
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 10 of last 11 home games (Serie A).
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in last 6 games.
    Atletico Mineiro will not lose
    -185
    View more facts

    Atl. Mineiro - Palmeiras Table position

    Brasileiro Serie A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Palmeiras
    Palmeiras
    18125130-1341
    2.
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    17104331-1634
    3.
    Fluminense
    Fluminense
    1894528-2331
    8.
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    1874723-2025
    9.
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1873822-2324
    10.
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    1866618-1924

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 4
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 9
    +5
    +11
    18 - Scored
    7 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    4
    2
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    18
    9
    Conceded
    7
    2.3
    Match goals average
    2.5
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.7
    5
    Both teams scored
    6
    66'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    50'
    View all stats