Palmeiras vs Atl. Mineiro Prediction 26 July 2026
🔊 Palmeiras come into this match as league leaders with a strong run of results behind them, while Atletico Mineiro sit in the bottom half, trying to claw their way back into the top 10. The hosts have been scoring freely and look settled, but the visitors have put up decent attacking numbers over their recent games. Both sides carry a threat going forward, though the gap in motivation could matter right now.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the sides took place on 28 January 2026 and ended 2-2. Here's how the stats looked that day (Atletico Mineiro were the home side):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 5 vs 7;
- fouls: 14 vs 20;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 7.
📊 Head-to-head stats from official meetings between Palmeiras and Atletico Mineiro:
- 48 matches played;
- home wins: 17, away wins: 14, draws: 17;
- goals: 61 vs 56;
- average first-half total: 1, second-half: 1.44;
- average match total: 2.44.
Head-to-head statistics Palmeiras - Atl. Mineiro
Palmeiras Team Overview
The team's last official match was played on in the Série A (Coritiba at home, Palmeiras away). The match ended 1:3.
Match stats (Palmeiras vs Coritiba):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corners: 4 vs 8;
- fouls: 16 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 6.
Palmeiras are having a strong season. Four wins in a row, and they sit comfortably at the top of the table - seven points clear of Flamengo, who have a game in hand. The attack has been consistent: over the last ten matches they're averaging two goals per game, and across the season it's 1.74 scored against just 0.74 conceded. The lead is comfortable, but they're not easing off - staying top and keeping the chasing pack at bay is still the priority.
Match Results: Palmeiras
Atletico Mineiro Team Overview
The away side's last official match was played in the Série A (Atlético Mineiro at home, Bahia away). The match ended 1-1.
Match stats (Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 4 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Atletico Mineiro sit clear of the relegation zone by five points, well outside the bottom three. They arrive on the back of three matches without a loss - two wins and a draw - which shows they can compete even against the top sides. Over their last ten games, Atletico average 1.5 goals per match, up from their season-wide figure of 1.21, while conceding just 0.9 per game. They're no pushover coming to São Paulo: the club has scored in nine of their last ten matches.
Match Results: Atletico Mineiro
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head:
- matches played - 48;
- first-half wins for the home side - 5; for the away side - 4; draws - 14;
- average first-half total: 1;
- today's hosts average 0.48 goals in the first half, the away side - 0.52.
First-half stats: Palmeiras (home) vs Atletico Mineiro (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 10;
- wins: 6 (66.67%) vs 3 (30%);
- losses: 1 (11.11%) vs 4 (40%);
- draws: 2 (22.22%) vs 3 (30%);
- average goals scored: 1.44 vs 1;
- average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 0.4.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- wins: 5 vs 6;
- losses: 1 vs 1;
- draws: 4 vs 3;
- average first-half total: 1.6 (scored - 1.2, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.3).
- Palmeiras have scored in the first half in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches between these sides (Série A).
Match Result Prediction
Head-to-head matches:
- played - 48;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 14, draws - 17.
Statistics: Palmeiras vs Atletico Mineiro
- matches in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- wins: 13 vs 7;
- win percentage: 68% vs 37%;
- losses: 1 vs 8;
- draws: 5 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 6;
- losses: 1 vs 1;
- draws: 3 vs 3.
- Atletico Mineiro have won with a +1.5 handicap in 18 of the last 19 away head-to-head matches against Palmeiras.
- Atletico Mineiro have won with a +1.5 handicap in 11 consecutive matches.
- Atletico Mineiro have won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of their last 11 away matches.
- Atletico Mineiro have won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 consecutive matches (Serie A).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head matches (average total):
- home team - 1.27, away team - 1.17;
- average goals in head-to-head matches - 2.44;
- both teams scored: all time - 26 times; at the home team's stadium - 10 times.
Average total goals statistics: Palmeiras vs Atletico Mineiro
- in the tournament: 2.47 vs 2.47;
- goals scored: 1.74 vs 1.21;
- in the 1st half: 1.05 vs 0.68;
- in the 2nd half: 0.68 vs 0.53;
- Palmeiras: home matches in the tournament - 1.78;
- Atletico Mineiro: away matches in the tournament - 0.9;
- last 10 matches: 2 (home - 1.4) vs 1.5 (away - 1.4).
- Palmeiras have scored over 1.5 goals in 5 consecutive head-to-head matches against this team (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
Palmeiras: Statistics
- season: average corners in the tournament - 5.89; at home - 6;
- last 10 matches: average total - 6.4; at home - 4.8.
Atletico Mineiro: Statistics
- season: average corners in the tournament - 4.95, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.5; away - 2.6.
- Palmeiras have taken more than 5.5 corners in 6 consecutive head-to-head matches against this team (Serie A).
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Head-to-head matches:
- played - 48;
- both teams scored all time - 26 times;
- at the home team's stadium - 10 times.
Statistics: Palmeiras vs Atletico Mineiro
- matches in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 8;
- Palmeiras: BTTS at home - 6 (67%);
- Atletico Mineiro: BTTS away - 2 (20%).
Last 10 matches:
- matches with BTTS: 6 vs 6;
- Palmeiras: BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Atletico Mineiro: BTTS away - 3 (60%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent score statistics (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (28/189, 14.8%);
- Palmeiras most often finish home matches with: 1:0, 2:1 (3/9, 33.3%);
- Atletico Mineiro most often play away matches with: 1:0 (4/10, 40%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 14.58% (odds 6)
1:1 - 11.63% (odds 7)
2:0 - 10.3% (odds 7)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Palmeiras are strong at home and motivated to hold onto top spot. That said, the visitors' defence hasn't been solid lately - Atletico Mineiro have conceded in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches, and in 8 of their last 9 away games across all competitions. Palmeiras have gone unbeaten against this opponent in 15 of their last 16 meetings, and scored more than one goal against Atletico Mineiro in five of their previous Serie A encounters. Given current form and the head-to-head record, our pick is Palmeiras total goals over 1.5. Predicted score - 2:1.
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Betting Tips: Palmeiras - Atletico Mineiro
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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