Burnley vs Everton Prediction 27 December 2025
📡 Burnley have finally managed to pick up points for the first time in their last seven Premier League outings. Their recent away match against Bournemouth ended in a draw for the Clarets. Now, Scott Parker's side will host Everton at their home ground, Turf Moor. Meanwhile, the Toffees have failed to secure any points in their last two league matches. Can the Merseysiders bounce back from their recent setbacks? Or will the Lancashire side build on their newfound momentum? We'll assess both teams' chances in our editorial prediction.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last 10 encounters between the teams have spanned six years. Nine of these were in the Premier League and one in the English League Cup. During this period, Everton have twice as many victories as Burnley, with six wins compared to Burnley's three. They also drew once. Notably, in 8 out of these 10 matches, the total goals did not exceed 3.5.
Head-to-head statistics Burnley - Everton
Burnley Team Overview
Scott Parker's team are enduring a dreadful run, going eight matches without a win-only Wolverhampton, who sit at the bottom of the Premier League, have fared worse. As a result, both teams find themselves in neighboring spots on the table. Burnley trail the crucial 16th position by seven points.
In their last Premier League outing, the Clarets didn't secure a victory but managed to halt a seven-game losing streak. They snatched a point away at Bournemouth, equalizing late in the game (1-1). This draw is even more valuable considering it defied the match's flow. The Cherries controlled possession 65% of the time and fired 17 shots with an xG of 1.71, while the Clarets managed only four attempts with a mere 0.27 xG.
Match Results: Burnley
Everton Team Overview
Not long ago, Everton were knocking on the door of the European competition spots, but after suffering two consecutive defeats, they have slipped from seventh to tenth place. The challenging schedule is largely to blame: in the last two rounds, the Toffees faced teams from the top four.
In the 17th round, David Moyes' side hosted league leaders Arsenal. Despite the narrow 0-1 scoreline, the visitors dominated proceedings with 65% possession compared to Everton's 35%, and outshot them 13 to 5. However, the match wasn't without controversy. Arsenal's only goal came from a penalty, but they could have conceded one themselves. William Saliba and Thierno Barry both raised their legs simultaneously, trying to reach a ball at a low height. The Everton forward got there first and was struck in the calf, yet the referee saw no infringement.
Match Results: Everton
Latest news
Burnley
🎙 The standout performer for Burnley in their match against Bournemouth was Armando Broja. It was the Albanian's late header that salvaged a draw for the Clarets. After the game, the forward shared his emotions and expectations for the current season: "Of course, I felt incredible emotions, but the whole team was really happy, and everyone was involved in the process. Maybe it wasn't our best game, but in terms of results, it was a solid foundation for further development, and hopefully, it will give us momentum. Everyone wants to stay in the league; it's the best league, and of course, we all want to be in this league and play in it, so we'll fight in every game."
❌ Three Burnley players have headed off to represent their national teams at the Africa Cup of Nations: Lyle Foster, Hannibal Mejbri, and Axel Tuanzebe. This season, Jordan Beyer and Zeki Amdouni have yet to play a match due to injuries. Recently, Maxime Estève joined them on the injury list, but his training-ground setback is assessed as not too serious. The Frenchman could be ready for the upcoming fixture.
Everton
🎙 Everton's head coach commented on their defeat to Arsenal in the 17th round of the Premier League. "It was one of those days when things just didn't go our way. Several of our players picked up injuries. The referee seemed to favor them. I don't think Arsenal caused us many problems until the penalty. In fact, we started better than Arsenal," said David Moyes.
❌ In Everton's injury list are Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Jarrad Branthwaite. This is half as many compared to last week when Seamus Coleman and Merlin Ruel were also sidelined. Idrissa Gueye and Iliman Ndiaye will miss about a month as they have departed for the Africa Cup of Nations.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Craig Pawson. Over his last 20 matches, he has averaged 3.3 yellow cards per game. In Everton's last five games, the average has been slightly higher at 3.6, while Burnley's matches have seen just 2.2 over the same period. Scott Parker emphasizes a style of play focused on ball movement, which doesn’t often lead to rough fouls. We believe this will impact the intensity of the upcoming game. Our prediction: total yellow cards under 3.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Despite recent results, Burnley are not a team to give up easily. In their last five league matches, only one opponent has managed to keep a clean sheet against the Clarets. At Turf Moor, Parker’s side have found the net in eight of their last nine encounters. Everton under David Moyes do not typically dominate games. We anticipate that one of the hosts' counterattacks could lead to success. Editor's choice: Burnley to score.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Both teams often face challenges in building positional attacks. Burnley struggle due to the level of their squad, which finds it hard to match the pace of elite English clubs. Everton's issues stem from tactical instructions, with the Toffees often playing a counter-attacking style, especially away from home. We expect the ball to not linger long in either final third. Under these circumstances, a bet on total corners under 10.5 seems reasonable.
Editor's Prediction
Everton are twice as favored as Burnley according to the odds, but it's risky to fully side with the bookmakers given the Toffees' recent performances. Their schedule is a tough one, compounded by squad issues with key players missing under David Moyes' management. Meanwhile, the Clarets seem to be finding their rhythm lately, showing at least some level of scoring ability and finally adding points to their tally after a seven-match drought.
However, the gap in quality between the teams remains significant, as Everton are still a top-ten Premier League side. We predict a narrow win for the visitors (2-1). But Burnley could put up a fight, especially at their home ground, Turf Moor. Our main betting suggestion is both teams to score (yes).
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Betting Tips: Burnley - Everton
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