Everton vs Burnley Prediction 3 March 2026
🔊 The opening match of the 29th round of the English Premier League features Burnley, who are fighting for survival, as they travel to face a resilient Everton. The clash will take place at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Does Scott Parker's side have a chance to snatch some points, or are they facing an inevitable defeat? Let's delve into the potential outcomes of this encounter.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last time Burnley defeated the Toffees was in 2022. Since then, the teams have faced off four times, with Everton claiming victory in three of those encounters, while their first meeting this season ended in a goalless draw. It's worth noting that during this four-match winless streak, Burnley have failed to score a single goal.
Head-to-head statistics Everton - Burnley
Everton Team Overview
Everton have been impressive lately, especially after their recent visit to Champions League Round of 16 contenders Newcastle, where they secured a 3-2 victory. David Moyes' side showed remarkable accuracy, scoring three goals from just five shots on target. This win lifted the Toffees to eighth place in the standings with 40 points, although their goal difference remains negative at 32:33.
Overall, Everton are having a decent season, but it's their away performances that have been pleasing the fans, as their home form has been underwhelming. They currently sit 14th in terms of home results, with only 4 wins and 6 losses from 14 matches. The last time the Blues' supporters witnessed a home victory was back on December 6th of last year, when they defeated Nottingham Forest 3-0. It seems home advantage hasn't been much of a factor for them.
Match Results: Everton
Burnley Team Overview
Burnley are likely to exit the Premier League at the end of this season. They're not a team that takes to the field waving a white flag-they occasionally put up a fight against their opponents, but they have many weaknesses. Scott Parker's main headache is their defensive play. If you look at the goals conceded, the figure is alarming-56, the worst in the league. In their last match against Brentford, for instance, Martin Dubravka picked the ball out of his net four times, leading to a 3-4 defeat.
But what we love about English football is its unpredictability-you never know how a match will end, even when an underdog is playing. The Clarets can surprise too: in January, they took points off three of the "traditional top six"-Manchester United (2-2), Liverpool (1-1), and Tottenham (2-2). On February 21, they added Chelsea to that esteemed list with a 1-1 draw.
Match Results: Burnley
Latest news
Everton
🎙 Head coach David Moyes expressed his satisfaction with his team following their 3-2 victory over Newcastle. He particularly praised midfielder Idrissa Gueye, who has hit an incredible run of form: "I think this was Gueye's best performance since the Africa Cup of Nations," the Everton manager enthused. It's worth noting that the Senegalese player became an African champion in January, providing the assist for the winning goal in the final.
❌ The Toffees haven't escaped without setbacks: Jack Grealish will miss the rest of the season due to a leg injury sustained in mid-January. Carlos Alcaraz will also be unavailable, having missed the last two matches.
Burnley
🎙 Head coach Scott Parker expressed his dissatisfaction with the officiating in the recent match against Brentford (3-4). It's worth noting that after a VAR review, the referees spotted a handball by a Burnley player and disallowed the team's fourth goal. "Perhaps it's a bit unfair. I haven't reviewed the incident yet. I saw it on the big screen and thought it looked like his arm was down by his side," the Clarets' manager mentioned in an interview.
❌ Unfortunately, there are also some notable absences. Key players missing the match include forward Armando Broja, who has already missed four rounds, midfielder Josh Cullen, out since late December, and defender Axel Tuanzebe, who sustained an injury in early February. Additionally, Zeki Amdouni, Jordan Beyer, Connor Roberts, and Mike Ndahishimiye will not play - they aren't key figures, and some haven't featured in any matches this season.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The match will be officiated by referee Tim Robinson. Let's take a look at his stats: this season, the Englishman has overseen seven matches, averaging 4.29 yellow cards per game. Now, turning to the teams: neither Everton nor Burnley appear to be particularly aggressive, each averaging around two cards per match. Overall, Everton's games see an average of four yellow cards, while Burnley's matches average 3.3. These aren't high figures for England, so we recommend betting on total yellow cards under 4.5.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
This encounter is unlikely to be high-scoring. Firstly, both teams played just two days ago, so player freshness might be lacking. Secondly, there are some intriguing trends: Everton have scored no more than one goal in their last five home matches. Burnley have also managed a maximum of one goal in seven of their last eight away games. We suggest betting on a low-scoring affair - total goals under 2.5.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Let's examine how many corners the visitors might earn in this match. The Clarets are averaging 3.6 corners per game this season, a total they've surpassed in their last three matches. There's also an interesting trend: in eight consecutive head-to-head matches against Everton, Burnley have taken at least four corners. We propose betting on Burnley's individual total corners over 3.5.
Editorial Prediction
Let’s predict the outcome of this match. The visitors are not in the form to challenge a solid Everton side for points right now. Yes, the Toffees have certain issues in front of goal, but Burnley's shaky defense gives everyone a chance to boost their scoring stats. We anticipate the match will end in a 1-0 victory for the hosts.
There's a less risky bet in this match than picking the winner - the number of corners the visitors will take. As mentioned earlier, Burnley consistently delivers at least a few corners per game, and Everton, on their home turf, allows opponents a similar number of trips to the corner flag. We believe a strong option for this game is to bet on Burnley's individual total corners over 3.5.
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Betting Tips: Everton - Burnley
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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