Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin Prediction 27 September 2025

    🔈 The upcoming clash between Deportes Tolima and Independiente Medellín promises to be thrilling. Both teams have been delivering impressive performances in recent matches, adding intrigue to this encounter. The hosts currently sit in 6th place in the Clausura standings, eager to solidify their position. Their attacking style might prove to be a decisive factor. Meanwhile, the visitors from Medellín are in the top four. Recent games have showcased their ability to both score and concede goals, making this matchup particularly intriguing.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 15 June 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Independiente Medellin):

    • ball possession percentage: 37% vs 63%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 8;
    • fouls: 12 vs 13;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 2.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Tolima and Independiente Medellin:

    • played 47 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 16, for the away team - 16, draws - 15;
    • number of goals - 60 against 59;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.13, in the 2nd half - 1.4;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.53.

    Head-to-head statistics Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellin

    32%
    16 Wins
    32%
    16 Draws
    36%
    18 Wins
    Total games
    50
    Total Goals Avg
    2.66
    Both teams scored
    64%
    1.32
    Total average
    1.34
    2.56
    Yellow cards
    1.82
    Last matches
    04.08.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    7
    10
    2
    2
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    7
    10
    2
    2
    28.01.26
    Liga Aguila
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Tolima
    Tolima
    2
    -
    -
    6
    2
    11
    11
    2
    0
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    2
    11
    11
    2
    0
    27.09.25
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    1.05
    2.19
    3
    4
    7
    9
    4
    1
    2
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    1.05
    2.19
    3
    4
    7
    9
    4
    1
    15.06.25
    Liga Aguila
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Tolima
    Tolima
    0.26
    1.02
    2
    8
    12
    13
    3
    5
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.26
    1.02
    2
    8
    12
    13
    3
    5
    04.06.25
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    1
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    -
    -
    4
    7
    15
    17
    5
    6
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    4
    7
    15
    17
    5
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Tolima Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Primera A, featuring Atlético Bucaramanga as the home side and Deportes Tolima as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-0 scoreline.

    Here's the game statistics (Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Bucaramanga):

    • possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
    • corner kicks: 2 vs 2;
    • fouls: 6 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 5.

    Deportes Tolima are displaying a mixed run of form with a series of wins and losses. In their last five matches, they've secured two victories, suffered two defeats, and drawn once, indicating some inconsistency. Nevertheless, they remain in contention for top positions thanks to a solid defense, conceding an average of just 0.89 goals per game. However, their attack remains a weak spot, as Tolima rarely score more than one goal per match.

    Match Results: Tolima

    Last matches
    26.08.26
    libertadores
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    Tolima
    Tolima
    2.27
    0.76
    3
    2
    3
    11
    1
    3
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    2.27
    0.76
    3
    2
    3
    11
    1
    3
    L
    22.08.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    Bucaramanga
    Bucaramanga
    -
    -
    6
    1
    12
    18
    3
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    12
    18
    3
    4
    D
    19.08.26
    libertadores
    Tolima
    Tolima
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    0.85
    0.97
    5
    3
    18
    6
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.85
    0.97
    5
    3
    18
    6
    2
    2
    L
    08.08.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    Internacional de Bogota
    Internacional de Bogota
    -
    -
    8
    7
    8
    8
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    8
    7
    8
    8
    2
    1
    W
    04.08.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    7
    10
    2
    2
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    7
    10
    2
    2
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Independiente Medellin Team Overview

    The visitors played their last official match on in the Colombian Cup, where Independiente Medellín hosted Santa Fe. The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.

    Here are the game statistics (Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe):

    • possession: 60% vs 40%;
    • corners: 15 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 7;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 4.

    Independiente Medellín showcase dynamic football with a strong focus on attack, averaging 1.24 goals per match while conceding 0.84. Over their last five fixtures, the team has secured three victories, one draw, and suffered one defeat. They're also known for their high-scoring games, with the over 2.5 goals market frequently hitting in their matches this season, making them one of the most entertaining sides in the league.

    Match Results: Independiente Medellin

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    Liga Aguila
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Cucuta Deportivo
    Cucuta Deportivo
    -
    -
    6
    1
    12
    12
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    12
    12
    0
    2
    L
    04.08.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    7
    10
    2
    2
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    7
    10
    2
    2
    W
    01.08.26
    Liga Aguila
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Deportivo Cali
    Deportivo Cali
    -
    -
    3
    2
    13
    18
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    2
    13
    18
    3
    1
    W
    29.07.26
    sudamericana
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    1.32
    0.23
    3
    4
    16
    16
    3
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.32
    0.23
    3
    4
    16
    16
    3
    2
    L
    25.07.26
    Liga Aguila
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Pasto
    Pasto
    -
    -
    4
    4
    18
    12
    3
    4
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    18
    12
    3
    4
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 47;
    • home team wins - 16, away team wins - 16, draws - 15.
    Trends
    • Independiente Medellin won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 18 away games against Tolima.
    • Independiente Medellin won with a +1.5 handicap in 23 of last 24 games.
    • Independiente Medellin won with a +1.5 handicap in 18 of last 19 games (Liga Aguila).
    • Independiente Medellin won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 away games.
    • Independiente Medellin won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 away games (Liga Aguila).
    👉Prediction: Independiente Medellin Handicap (+1,5)(odds: 1.22)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.28, the guests - 1.26;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.53;
    • both teams scored: overall - 29; at the home team's field - 14.

    Statistics: Tolima vs Independiente Medellin

    • average total in the tournament: 2.25 vs 2.08;
    • average total goals scored: 1.36 vs 1.24;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.75 vs 0.46;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.61 vs 0.78;
    • Tolima: average total at home in the tournament -  1.56;
    • Independiente Medellin: average total away in the tournament - 0.89;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.8) vs 1.8 (away - 1.4).
    Trends
    • Tolima have scored under 1.5 goals in 13 of last 14 games against Independiente Medellin.
    • Tolima have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 games against Independiente Medellin (Liga Aguila).
    👉Prediction: Tolima Total goals Under (1,5)(odds: 1.55)

    Prediction on corners

    Tolima: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.89; at home field - 4.17;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; at home field - 4.8.

    Independiente Medellin: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.76, away - 5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; away - 3.
    Trends
    • Tolima have taken under 5.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games against Independiente Medellin (Liga Aguila).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Independiente Medellin Total Over (3,5)(odds: 1.6)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5.2 (2.6 for home team and 2.6 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.87 (2.05 for home team and 1.82 for away team).

    Tolima: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.53; at home - 2.56;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.9; at home - 2.8.

    Independiente Medellin: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.03, away - 3.06;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3; away - 3.2.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Over (5,5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 47;
    • both teams scored all-time - 29 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 14 times.
    Trends
    • Independiente Medellin have scored and conceded in last 5 games (Liga Aguila).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.94)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both teams are motivated to improve their standings and solidify their positions at the top of the table. Considering the form of the teams and the recent scoring trends of the visitors, a goal exchange seems likely-both sides have shown the ability to score as well as concede. The current trend supports the bet on both teams to score, which has a high chance of success given the playing style of both sides.

    Both Teams To Score (Yes)
    Published: 27/09/2025, 06:50

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    Betting Tips: Tolima - Independiente Medellin

    Independiente Medellin have drawn in the 2nd half:
    independiente-medellinin 6 of last 7 games.
    2nd Half Draw
    +135
    Independiente Medellin have won:
    independiente-medellinin 5 of last 6 away games.
    independiente-medellinin last 4 away games (Liga Aguila).
    Independiente Medellin Win
    Everygame
    +275
    Tolima have not lost:
    deportes-tolimain 7 of last 8 home games (Liga Aguila).
    Tolima will not lose
    Everygame
    -400
    Tolima have not won:
    deportes-tolimaindependiente-medellinin last 7 home games against Independiente Medellin.
    Independiente Medellin have not lost:
    independiente-medellinin 12 of last 13 games.
    independiente-medellinin 10 of last 11 away games.
    independiente-medellinin last 8 games (Liga Aguila).
    Independiente Medellin will not lose
    Everygame
    -132
    View more facts

    Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellin Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Atletico Junior
    Atletico Junior
    20107326-1637
    4.
    Tolima
    Tolima
    20106430-1936
    5.
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    Atletico Nacional Medellin
    20105537-2135
    7.
    Once Caldas
    Once Caldas
    20103726-2233
    8.
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    2088419-1132
    9.
    Bucaramanga
    Bucaramanga
    2085724-2029

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 12
    Conceded - 13
    -1
    +2
    15 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    2
    4
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    12
    Scored
    15
    13
    Conceded
    13
    2.5
    Match goals average
    2.8
    1.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    7
    Both teams scored
    6
    75'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats