Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin Prediction 27 September 2025
🔈 The upcoming clash between Deportes Tolima and Independiente Medellín promises to be thrilling. Both teams have been delivering impressive performances in recent matches, adding intrigue to this encounter. The hosts currently sit in 6th place in the Clausura standings, eager to solidify their position. Their attacking style might prove to be a decisive factor. Meanwhile, the visitors from Medellín are in the top four. Recent games have showcased their ability to both score and concede goals, making this matchup particularly intriguing.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 15 June 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Independiente Medellin):
- ball possession percentage: 37% vs 63%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 8;
- fouls: 12 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Tolima and Independiente Medellin:
- played 47 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 16, for the away team - 16, draws - 15;
- number of goals - 60 against 59;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.13, in the 2nd half - 1.4;
- average total goals in the match - 2.53.
Head-to-head statistics Deportes Tolima - Independiente Medellin

Tolima Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primera A, featuring Atlético Bucaramanga as the home side and Deportes Tolima as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-0 scoreline.
Here's the game statistics (Deportes Tolima vs Atlético Bucaramanga):
- possession percentage: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 2;
- fouls: 6 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
Deportes Tolima are displaying a mixed run of form with a series of wins and losses. In their last five matches, they've secured two victories, suffered two defeats, and drawn once, indicating some inconsistency. Nevertheless, they remain in contention for top positions thanks to a solid defense, conceding an average of just 0.89 goals per game. However, their attack remains a weak spot, as Tolima rarely score more than one goal per match.
Match Results: Tolima

Independiente Medellin Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Colombian Cup, where Independiente Medellín hosted Santa Fe. The match concluded with a 1-2 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Independiente Medellín vs Santa Fe):
- possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corners: 15 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 7;
- shots on target: 9 vs 4.
Independiente Medellín showcase dynamic football with a strong focus on attack, averaging 1.24 goals per match while conceding 0.84. Over their last five fixtures, the team has secured three victories, one draw, and suffered one defeat. They're also known for their high-scoring games, with the over 2.5 goals market frequently hitting in their matches this season, making them one of the most entertaining sides in the league.
Match Results: Independiente Medellin
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 47;
- home team wins - 16, away team wins - 16, draws - 15.
- Independiente Medellin won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 18 away games against Tolima.
- Independiente Medellin won with a +1.5 handicap in 23 of last 24 games.
- Independiente Medellin won with a +1.5 handicap in 18 of last 19 games (Liga Aguila).
- Independiente Medellin won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 away games.
- Independiente Medellin won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 away games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.28, the guests - 1.26;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.53;
- both teams scored: overall - 29; at the home team's field - 14.
Statistics: Tolima vs Independiente Medellin
- average total in the tournament: 2.25 vs 2.08;
- average total goals scored: 1.36 vs 1.24;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.75 vs 0.46;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.61 vs 0.78;
- Tolima: average total at home in the tournament - 1.56;
- Independiente Medellin: average total away in the tournament - 0.89;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.8) vs 1.8 (away - 1.4).
- Tolima have scored under 1.5 goals in 13 of last 14 games against Independiente Medellin.
- Tolima have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 games against Independiente Medellin (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on corners
Tolima: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.89; at home field - 4.17;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; at home field - 4.8.
Independiente Medellin: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.76, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; away - 3.
- Tolima have taken under 5.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games against Independiente Medellin (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 5.2 (2.6 for home team and 2.6 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.87 (2.05 for home team and 1.82 for away team).
Tolima: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.53; at home - 2.56;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.9; at home - 2.8.
Independiente Medellin: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.03, away - 3.06;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3; away - 3.2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 47;
- both teams scored all-time - 29 times;
- on the home team’s field - 14 times.
- Independiente Medellin have scored and conceded in last 5 games (Liga Aguila).