Hearts vs St Johnstone Prediction 29 August 2026
🔊 Hearts and St Johnstone started the season level on points and sitting next to each other in the table. Both sides are in the Champions League places and are keen to hold their positions at this stage of the season. Their recent form differs: Hearts have been more inconsistent, alternating wins with defeats, while St Johnstone have shown more stable results over their last few matches. The key question is whether the visitors can make their defensive solidity count against a productive home side.
Head-to-Head
📊 Hearts and St Johnstone have met 47 times in official fixtures. Hearts have won 23 of those matches, St Johnstone 14, with 10 draws. Hearts also have the edge in goals scored: 68 to St Johnstone's 52. On average, the two sides have scored 1.09 goals in the first half and 1.47 in the second, giving an overall match average of 2.55 goals per game.
Head-to-head statistics Hearts - St Johnstone
Heart of Midlothian Team Overview
Hearts have shown mixed form, with three wins and two draws from their last five matches - a record that suggests attacking potential, though they are also conceding fairly regularly, averaging 2.4 goals conceded per match over a ten-game stretch. Their average home scoring rate of 2.5 goals per game stands out among the sides in the upper part of the table.
Their aim is to consolidate their position in the top half of the table, and a moderate level of motivation is pushing them to find a balance between attack and defence at this early stage of the season.
Match Results: Heart of Midlothian
St. Johnstone Team Overview
St Johnstone have been notably consistent: seven wins from their last ten matches, no draws, and a miserly defensive record of 0.6 goals conceded per game make them one of the more reliable defensive sides at the start of the season. Their attacking output away from home is somewhat lower than their opponents' home scoring rate, though - just two goals per match on average on the road.
The low-scoring trend is particularly pronounced in their away matches, where Total Goals - Under 2.5 has come in almost every time, reflecting the team's cautious approach when playing away from home.
Match Results: St. Johnstone
Total Goals Prediction
In 11 of the last 12 head-to-head matches between these two sides at Hearts' ground, the total goals has been under 3.5, pointing to a consistent pattern of moderately low-scoring encounters. St Johnstone also show poor attacking output away from home: the under 2.5 total goals has landed in 11 of their last 12 away matches, and their average goals scored away this season is 0. These factors point to a firm tendency towards low-scoring football. The pick here is Total Goals - Under 3.5, priced at 1.43*.
Corners Prediction
In 6 of the last 7 head-to-head matches played at Hearts, the total corners has been under 9.5. That is a notable trend for this fixture, though there is no direct data on the average number of corners. We suggest taking Total Corners - Under 9.5 at odds of 1.75*.
Reliable Bet
St Johnstone have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 11 of their last 12 away head-to-head meetings with Hearts. Their average goals scored away from home this season is also 0. These facts suggest a high probability that the visitors will fail to score more than one goal. The reliable bet is St Johnstone Team Total - Under 1.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely outcomes are 1-1 (11.26%), 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The 1-1 draw has the highest probability, though the chances of a narrow Hearts win remain significant. The gap between these options is small, which points to a competitive match with moderate scoring.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The league table puts both sides under pressure to pick up every point they can, but recent trends set the key scenario for this match: St Johnstone's away games are rarely high-scoring even against stronger opposition, and the visitors' defence has remained very solid despite Hearts' attacking record at home. The standout trend is the run of under 2.5 goals in St Johnstone's away matches - a pattern backed up by the visitors' recent statistics and consistent with their current style of play. The main prediction is Total Goals - Under 2.5. Predicted score: 2-0.
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Betting Tips: Heart of Midlothian - St. Johnstone
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