Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima Prediction 28 January 2026
🔊 In the upcoming match, Independiente Medellín host Deportes Tolima, and this clash promises to be highly intriguing. The hosts find themselves in a tough spot - their form has been less than stellar, and their position in the standings is far from encouraging. Meanwhile, the visitors are showcasing confident performances and currently sit at the top of the league. An intense showdown is anticipated between the visitors' attacking prowess and the hosts' efforts to shield their goal from a barrage of attacks.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 27 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Tolima):
- ball possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 7 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 8.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Independiente Medellin and Tolima:
- played 48 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 17, for the away team - 16, draws - 15;
- number of goals - 62 against 62;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.17, in the 2nd half - 1.42;
- average total goals in the match - 2.58.
Head-to-head statistics Independiente Medellin - Deportes Tolima

Independiente Medellin Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Primera A, with Deportivo Cali at home against Independiente Medellin. The game concluded with a 3-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali):
- possession: 20% vs 80%;
- corners: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 15 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
Independiente Medellín, currently sitting in 18th place, are struggling to accumulate points. Their recent form highlights this instability: just one win in their last five matches, coupled with four losses. On average, they score only 0.5 goals per match while conceding two, which negatively impacts the team's overall performance. Known as "DIM" by their fans, they have been underwhelming at home, securing just one victory in their last ten games against various opponents.
Match Results: Independiente Medellin

Tolima Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primera A, with Deportes Tolima hosting Alianza. The match ended with a 2-0 victory for the home side.
Here are the game statistics (Deportes Tolima vs. Alianza):
- possession: 61% vs. 39%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs. 2;
- fouls: 7 vs. 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs. 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs. 1.
Deportes Tolima are currently on the rise, sitting at the top of the table thanks to their consistent performances. They have won six of their last ten matches, averaging two goals per game while conceding just half a goal. The last head-to-head clash between these teams ended in a 3-2 home defeat for Tolima, which will serve as a catalyst for revenge in the away fixture.
Match Results: Tolima
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 48;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 16, draws - 15.
Statistics: Independiente Medellin vs Tolima
- matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- wins: 0 vs 2;
- win percentage: 0% vs 100%;
- losses: 2 vs 0;
- draws: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 1 vs 6;
- losses: 6 vs 2;
- draws: 3 vs 2.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.29, the guests - 1.29;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.58;
- both teams scored: overall - 30; at the home team's field - 14.
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Independiente Medellin home games against Tolima.
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Tolima games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 48;
- both teams scored all-time - 30 times;
- on the home team’s field - 14 times.
Statistics: Independiente Medellin vs Tolima
- number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 0;
- number of BTTS matches for Independiente Medellin at home - 0 (0%);
- number of BTTS matches for Tolima away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 1;
- BTTS matches for Independiente Medellin at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Tolima away - 1 (20%).