Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima Prediction 28 January 2026

    🔊 In the upcoming match, Independiente Medellín host Deportes Tolima, and this clash promises to be highly intriguing. The hosts find themselves in a tough spot - their form has been less than stellar, and their position in the standings is far from encouraging. Meanwhile, the visitors are showcasing confident performances and currently sit at the top of the league. An intense showdown is anticipated between the visitors' attacking prowess and the hosts' efforts to shield their goal from a barrage of attacks.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 27 September 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:3. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Tolima):

    • ball possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
    • fouls: 7 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 8.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Independiente Medellin and Tolima:

    • played 48 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 17, for the away team - 16, draws - 15;
    • number of goals - 62 against 62;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.17, in the 2nd half - 1.42;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.58.

    Head-to-head statistics Independiente Medellin - Deportes Tolima

    36%
    18 Wins
    32%
    16 Draws
    32%
    16 Wins
    Total games
    50
    Total Goals Avg
    2.66
    Both teams scored
    64%
    1.34
    Total average
    1.32
    1.82
    Yellow cards
    2.56
    Last matches
    04.08.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    7
    10
    2
    2
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    7
    10
    2
    2
    28.01.26
    Liga Aguila
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Tolima
    Tolima
    2
    -
    -
    6
    2
    11
    11
    2
    0
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    2
    11
    11
    2
    0
    27.09.25
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    1.05
    2.19
    3
    4
    7
    9
    4
    1
    2
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    1.05
    2.19
    3
    4
    7
    9
    4
    1
    15.06.25
    Liga Aguila
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Tolima
    Tolima
    0.26
    1.02
    2
    8
    12
    13
    3
    5
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0.26
    1.02
    2
    8
    12
    13
    3
    5
    04.06.25
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    1
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    -
    -
    4
    7
    15
    17
    5
    6
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    4
    7
    15
    17
    5
    6
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    Independiente Medellin Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in the Primera A, with Deportivo Cali at home against Independiente Medellin. The game concluded with a 3-1 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali):

    • possession: 20% vs 80%;
    • corners: 3 vs 3;
    • fouls: 15 vs 19;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 4.

    Independiente Medellín, currently sitting in 18th place, are struggling to accumulate points. Their recent form highlights this instability: just one win in their last five matches, coupled with four losses. On average, they score only 0.5 goals per match while conceding two, which negatively impacts the team's overall performance. Known as "DIM" by their fans, they have been underwhelming at home, securing just one victory in their last ten games against various opponents.

    Match Results: Independiente Medellin

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    Liga Aguila
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Cucuta Deportivo
    Cucuta Deportivo
    -
    -
    6
    1
    12
    12
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    12
    12
    0
    2
    L
    04.08.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    7
    10
    2
    2
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    7
    10
    2
    2
    W
    01.08.26
    Liga Aguila
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Deportivo Cali
    Deportivo Cali
    -
    -
    3
    2
    13
    18
    3
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    3
    2
    13
    18
    3
    1
    W
    29.07.26
    sudamericana
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    1.32
    0.23
    3
    4
    16
    16
    3
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.32
    0.23
    3
    4
    16
    16
    3
    2
    L
    25.07.26
    Liga Aguila
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    Pasto
    Pasto
    -
    -
    4
    4
    18
    12
    3
    4
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    18
    12
    3
    4
    W
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    Tolima Team Overview

    The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Primera A, with Deportes Tolima hosting Alianza. The match ended with a 2-0 victory for the home side.

    Here are the game statistics (Deportes Tolima vs. Alianza):

    • possession: 61% vs. 39%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs. 2;
    • fouls: 7 vs. 12;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs. 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs. 1.

    Deportes Tolima are currently on the rise, sitting at the top of the table thanks to their consistent performances. They have won six of their last ten matches, averaging two goals per game while conceding just half a goal. The last head-to-head clash between these teams ended in a 3-2 home defeat for Tolima, which will serve as a catalyst for revenge in the away fixture.

    Match Results: Tolima

    Last matches
    26.08.26
    libertadores
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    Tolima
    Tolima
    2.27
    0.76
    3
    2
    3
    11
    1
    3
    3
    1
    0
    0
    3
    1
    2.27
    0.76
    3
    2
    3
    11
    1
    3
    L
    22.08.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    Bucaramanga
    Bucaramanga
    -
    -
    6
    1
    12
    18
    3
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    12
    18
    3
    4
    D
    19.08.26
    libertadores
    Tolima
    Tolima
    Independiente del Valle
    Independiente del Valle
    0.85
    0.97
    5
    3
    18
    6
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.85
    0.97
    5
    3
    18
    6
    2
    2
    L
    08.08.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    Internacional de Bogota
    Internacional de Bogota
    -
    -
    8
    7
    8
    8
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    8
    7
    8
    8
    2
    1
    W
    04.08.26
    Liga Aguila
    Tolima
    Tolima
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    7
    10
    2
    2
    2
    3
    0
    2
    2
    1
    -
    -
    9
    2
    7
    10
    2
    2
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 48;
    • home team wins - 17, away team wins - 16, draws - 15.

    Statistics: Independiente Medellin vs Tolima

    • matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
    • wins: 0 vs 2;
    • win percentage: 0% vs 100%;
    • losses: 2 vs 0;
    • draws: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 1 vs 6;
    • losses: 6 vs 2;
    • draws: 3 vs 2.
    👉Prediction: Tolima Handicap (+1,5)(odds: 1.34)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • the home team scores on average - 1.29, the guests - 1.29;
    • average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.58;
    • both teams scored: overall - 30; at the home team's field - 14.
    Trends
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Independiente Medellin home games against Tolima.
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Tolima games (Liga Aguila).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (2,5)(odds: 1.55)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 48;
    • both teams scored all-time - 30 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 14 times.

    Statistics: Independiente Medellin vs Tolima

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 2;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 0;
    • number of BTTS matches for Independiente Medellin at home - 0 (0%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Tolima away - 0 (0%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 1;
    • BTTS matches for Independiente Medellin at home - 2 (50%);
    • BTTS matches for Tolima away - 1 (20%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.76)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Independiente Medellín and Deportes Tolima are gearing up for a tactical showdown where strategy will be paramount. The hosts will likely focus on fortifying their defense, fully aware of the visitors' aggressive intent following a frustrating defeat in their last outing. Deportes Tolima are determined to bounce back and will apply pressure from the outset. They are eager to avenge their loss and reaffirm their status as league leaders. Considering the current form of both teams, betting on both teams not scoring in this match seems like a reasonable prediction.

    Both Teams To Score (No)
    Published: 27/01/2026, 04:40

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    Betting Tips: Independiente Medellin - Tolima

    Tolima have drawn in the 2nd half:
    deportes-tolimain last 6 away games (Liga Aguila).
    2nd Half Draw
    Everygame
    +125
    Independiente Medellin have not lost:
    independiente-medellinin last 11 home games (Liga Aguila).
    independiente-medellinin 8 of last 9 home games.
    Independiente Medellin will not lose
    Everygame
    -385
    Independiente Medellin have not won:
    independiente-medellinin 9 of last 10 games.
    independiente-medellinin 7 of last 8 games (Liga Aguila).
    Tolima have not lost:
    deportes-tolimain 8 of last 9 away games (Liga Aguila).
    Tolima will not lose
    Everygame
    -149
    Independiente Medellin have conceded:
    independiente-medellindeportes-tolimain 12 of last 13 games against Tolima.
    independiente-medellindeportes-tolimain last 10 games against Tolima (Liga Aguila).
    independiente-medellindeportes-tolimain 9 of last 10 home games against Tolima (Liga Aguila).
    Tolima will score goal
    Everygame
    -222
    View more facts

    Independiente Medellin - Deportes Tolima Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    5.
    Once Caldas
    Once Caldas
    1989231-2233
    6.
    Tolima
    Tolima
    1987427-1731
    7.
    Independiente Santa Fe
    Independiente Santa Fe
    1978429-2229
    10.
    Millonarios
    Millonarios
    1975731-2326
    11.
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    1975726-2426
    12.
    Aguilas Doradas Rionegro
    Aguilas Doradas Rionegro
    1975720-2526

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 13
    +2
    -1
    12 - Scored
    13 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    2
    Draws
    2
    3
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    12
    13
    Conceded
    13
    2.8
    Match goals average
    2.5
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.3
    6
    Both teams scored
    7
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    75'
    View all stats