Mallorca vs Alaves Prediction 27 September 2025
🔈 Can the "Islanders" break their early-season slump? In the 7th round of La Liga, the Iberostar Stadium will host a clash between local side Mallorca and Alaves. Jagoba Arrasate's squad is still searching for their first win, while the "Glorious Ones" aim to secure a spot in the top half of the standings. This matchup is particularly intriguing due to the tactical approaches both teams might employ. Bookmakers haven't identified a clear favorite, but they slightly favor the "Cinnabar Reds" due to the home-field advantage.
Head-to-Head
📊 Alaves have only managed to outplay Mallorca away from home once in their history-during the 1974/75 Segunda season (1-0). Since then, the "Cinnabar Reds" have remained unbeaten against the "Glorious Ones" on their own turf for 18 consecutive matches. It's important to note that head-to-head encounters between these teams are marked by exceptionally low scoring, particularly over the last 10 games: Mallorca averages 0.6 goals, while Alaves average 0.7.
Head-to-head statistics Mallorca - Alaves
Mallorca Team Overview
🔴 The "Islanders" are still on the hunt for their first win of the season. After six rounds, Jagoba Arrasate's squad has only managed to secure 2 points, a tally that falls far short of the team's ambitions. Currently, the team from the namesake city finds themselves in 19th place in the standings, desperately trying to claw their way out of the relegation zone. Notably, all their points this season have been earned in home matches, offering a glimmer of hope to their fans ahead of a crucial clash with Alaves.
⚫ Midweek, the "Cinnabar Reds" faced an away challenge against Real Sociedad (0-1). Despite Real Sociedad's poor form and the struggles at the San Sebastian club, Arrasate's side failed to claim even a point. Mallorca's approaches to Sociedad's goal lacked sharpness, with a total xG of just 0.77 over 90 minutes. In contrast, the "White and Blues" registered an xG of 2.76. The Islanders' defensive tactical model significantly restricts their attacking players, forcing them to drop deep during defensive phases.
Match Results: Mallorca
Deportivo Alaves Team Overview
🔵 The "Glorious" continue to make strides under Eduardo Coudet's leadership, and their mid-table position is further proof of that progress. However, it's worth noting that Alaves are one of the most unexciting teams in the league, averaging just one goal per game (the worst among the top 10 teams). Yet, the squad from Vitoria-Gasteiz boasts a reliable defense, conceding only one goal per match (6th best in the league). Given Alaves' decent form, the upcoming clash with Mallorca offers a great chance to break their long-standing away woes at the "Iberostar".
⚪ In the last round, the "Glorious" visited the "Coliseum Alfonso Perez" and managed to bring back a point. Eduardo Coudet's side effectively mirrored the tactical setup of the "City" team, preventing the hosts from creating much of anything in front of their goal. Just look at the total xG for the "City" team-0.24 with only one shot on target. Alaves aim for quick transitions from defense to attack through long balls to their towering forwards or by finding wingers in advanced positions. This vertical style of play significantly reduces the risk of leaving open spaces and breakdowns during build-up play.
Match Results: Deportivo Alaves
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Mallorca
🎤 The match against Real Sociedad (0-1) in the last round fell short of fans' expectations and further complicated the Islanders' standings. Here's what head coach Jagoba Arrasate had to say: "This is another tough defeat. By halftime, the score was level, and we thought we could turn the game around in the second half. However, conceding an early goal completely changed our plans and made earning points a daunting task. In these challenging times, you want to play. Now we must approach Saturday's match in the best physical condition and mindset. We know our fans will support us, and I hope we can secure that much-desired victory on Saturday."
❌ Among the players who won't be able to assist Mallorca in the upcoming round are: Marash Kumbulla (hamstring injury), Dani Rodríguez (suspension), Omar Mascarell (hamstring injury), and Jan Virgili (called up to the youth national team).
Deportivo Alaves
🎤 Securing an away win against the formidable Getafe, who have been monstrous at the start of the season, was an uphill battle, especially with the match taking place midweek. After the game, Eduardo Coudet was thoroughly impressed by the performance of Getafe's goalkeeper, David Soria: “Soria is very good. I was about to shout 'Goal,' but he saved our shot. I saw the cross from my position. We created a lot more chances. He's a crucial player. He stood firm, made a great save, and then another from a corner. The only shot on target came from Arambarri, and he showcased his skill. La Liga is a very tough and intricate league. We had many chances, but we were unlucky not to convert them.”
❌ Alaves have no significant injury obstacles in their path. The only doubt remains regarding Brazilian midfielder Kalebe, who felt unwell after the first half against Getafe.
🟨 Yellow Card Prediction
In head-to-head clashes between these teams, there is traditionally a significant number of bookings, averaging around 5.3 per game. In Alaves' last 5 matches, at least 5 yellow cards were shown. Additionally, early season stats reveal an average of 2 rough fouls per team: Mallorca with 2 and Alaves with 2. Our betting suggestion is over 3.5 total yellow cards.
⚽ Goal Prediction
In 9 of the last 10 encounters between Mallorca and Alaves, no more than 2 goals were scored. These matches are typically characterized by intense battles rather than a high goal count. This trend is also evident in 4 of the last 5 games involving the "Glorious." We anticipate a struggle for control and a slow pace from both sides. Our pick is under 2 total goals.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Let's note the average number of corners earned by each team at the start of the season: Mallorca with 4.2 and Alaves with 5. In their head-to-head meetings, no more than 8.4 corners are typically recorded per game. Neither club employs traditional wingers, often leading to a lack of sharpness on the flanks. Considering these factors, we suggest under 10.5 total corners.
Editorial Prediction
Despite the Islanders' poor form, it's crucial to consider their solid performances at home. Jagoba Arrasate's side have only suffered one defeat at the Iberostar this season - against Barcelona (0-3) in the opening round of the league. The head-to-head history with Alaves further underlines the dominance of the Vermilions over the Glorious ones in home encounters. Our editorial team anticipates a final score of 1-0, with the key pick being Mallorca to win with a handicap (0).
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Betting Tips: Mallorca - Deportivo Alaves
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