Cerro Largo vs Penarol Prediction

    📢 In the upcoming Uruguayan Championship clash between Cerro Largo and Peñarol, we'll witness a battle between teams with differing season objectives. The hosts find themselves mid-table, looking to climb higher, but their current form is less than ideal. The visitors, on the other hand, are positioned higher and aim to solidify their standing in the title race. Both squads employ distinct tactical approaches: Cerro Largo focuses more on defense, while Peñarol are renowned for their aggressive attack. How will their encounter unfold? Read the prediction below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that match (with Cerro Largo as the home side):

    • possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corners: 0 vs 4;
    • shots: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 4.

    📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Cerro Largo and Peñarol:

    • 16 matches played;
    • home wins - 3, away wins - 6, draws - 7;
    • goals scored - 14 for Cerro Largo, 20 for Peñarol;
    • average total in the first half - 1.06, second half - 1.06;
    • average total goals per match - 2.13.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    17%
    3 Wins
    39%
    7 Draws
    44%
    8 Wins
    Total games
    18
    Total Goals Avg
    2.39
    Both teams scored
    56%
    0.94
    Total average
    1.44
    3.56
    Yellow cards
    2.28
    Last matches
    11.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    1
    3
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    1
    3
    27.09.25
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    3
    3
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    3
    3
    01.06.25
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    0
    4
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    4
    0
    0
    2
    1
    30.03.25
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    0
    0
    7
    9
    0
    0
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    7
    9
    0
    0
    1
    2
    17.08.24
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    6
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    6
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Cerro Largo Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Montevideo City as the home side and Cerro Largo as the visitors. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.

    Here's the match statistics (Cerro Largo vs Montevideo City):

    • possession percentage: 44% vs 56%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 2.

    Cerro Largo are striving for consistency this season, currently sitting eighth in the standings after 29 matches. "Los Arachanes" display average form, with two wins and three losses in their last five outings. The team doesn't score much, averaging just 0.9 goals per game over their last ten matches, but they boast a solid defense, conceding only 0.6 goals during the same period. Cerro Largo adhere to a strict defensive style with infrequent counterattacks, as evidenced by the trend of under 2.5 total goals in their last seven games.

    Match Results: Cerro Largo

    Last matches
    08.06.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    D
    29.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    W
    23.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    17.05.26
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    2
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    4
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    4
    3
    L
    11.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    1
    3
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    1
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Penarol Montevideo Team Overview

    The visitors recently played their last official match in the Uruguay Cup, with Tacuarembó hosting Peñarol. The encounter ended in a 1-2 victory for Peñarol.

    Here are the match stats (Peñarol vs Tacuarembó):

    • possession: 62% vs 38%;
    • corners: 7 vs 1;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 1.

    Peñarol sit fourth in the table and are vying for top positions, showcasing excellent form with four wins and a draw in their last five matches (win-draw-win-win). Over their last ten games, the team has demonstrated impressive scoring ability, averaging nearly two goals per match while conceding an average of one goal. In away fixtures, Peñarol frequently engage in high-scoring encounters, as evidenced by a streak of five consecutive matches with a total of more than 2.5 goals.

    Match Results: Penarol Montevideo

    Last matches
    07.06.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    0
    W
    01.06.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    3
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    L
    28.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Independiente Santa Fe
    Independiente Santa Fe
    1
    0.39
    9
    2
    9
    21
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.39
    9
    2
    9
    21
    2
    2
    L
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    W
    22.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    D
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 16;
    • First-half wins for the home team - 2; for the away team - 3; draws - 3;
    • Average first-half total: 1.06;
    • Today's home team averages 0.5 goals, while the visitors score 0.56.

    First-Half Statistics: Cerro Largo (home) vs Peñarol (away)

    • Matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
    • Wins: 2 (14.29%) vs 5 (35.71%);
    • Losses: 2 (14.29%) vs 2 (14.29%);
    • Draws: 10 (71.43%) vs 7 (50%);
    • Average goals scored: 0.79 vs 1;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.36 vs 0.36.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Wins: 1 vs 3;
    • Losses: 2 vs 3;
    • Draws: 7 vs 4;
    • Average first-half total: 0.3 (scored - 0.1, conceded - 0.2) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.7).
    Trends
    • Cerro Largo have drawn the first half in 8 of their last 9 home matches (Primera).
    • Cerro Largo have drawn the first half in 5 consecutive matches.
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw (odds: 2.01)

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 16;
    • Home wins - 3, Away wins - 6, Draws - 7.
    Trends
    • Peñarol have won 7 of their last 8 matches.
    👉Prediction: Penarol Montevideo Win(odds: 1.62)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Today's home team averages - 0.88 goals, visitors - 1.25;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.13;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 8 times; at the home ground - 4 times.

    Statistics: Cerro Largo vs Peñarol

    • Average total in the tournament: 2.03 vs 2.53;
    • Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.63;
    • Average total in the first half: 0.28 vs 0.67;
    • Average total in the second half: 0.72 vs 0.97;
    • Cerro Largo: average home total in the tournament - 1.14;
    • Peñarol: average away total in the tournament - 1.43;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 0.5) vs 1.9 (away - 2.17).
    Trends
    • Peñarol have scored in 20 of their last 21 matches (Primera).
    • Peñarol have scored in 13 consecutive matches.
    • Peñarol have scored in 10 of their last 11 away matches.
    • Peñarol have scored in 9 of their last 10 away matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Penarol Montevideo will score goal(odds: 1.2)

    Corners Prediction

    Cerro Largo: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 4.31; at home - 4.57;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.9; at home - 3.25.

    Peñarol: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 5.63, away - 5.07;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 5.9; away - 5.17.
    Trends
    • Total below 9.5 corners hit in 9 of Peñarol's last 10 away matches (Primera).
    • Total below 9.5 corners hit in 8 of Peñarol's last 9 matches (Primera).
    • Total below 9.5 corners hit in 6 of Peñarol's last 7 matches.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (9.5)(odds: 1.56)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 7.5 (3.75 for the home team and 3.75 for the visitors);
    • Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 6 (3.5 for the home team and 2.5 for the visitors).

    Cerro Largo: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 2.97; at home - 3.07;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 3.4; at home - 3.5.

    Peñarol: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 2.07, away - 2.57;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.1; away - 3.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5.5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 16;
    • Both teams have scored overall - 8 times;
    • At the home team's ground - 4 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 2.2)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Peñarol clearly outshine Cerro Largo in terms of form and scoring ability ahead of their upcoming Uruguayan Championship clash. Although their last head-to-head ended in a 1-1 draw, the current dynamics suggest an advantage for the visitors. Peñarol have secured victories in seven of their last eight matches this season and are showcasing a higher level of play both at home and on the road (7 wins in their last 10 games). Considering Peñarol's high scoring capability and their tendency for high-scoring away matches, betting on over 2.5 goals could be a reasonable choice.

    Our choice
    Total goals Over (2.5) at odds of +120*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (26 September 2025, 18:00)

    Betting Tips: Cerro Largo - Penarol Montevideo

    Penarol Montevideo have won the 2nd half
    ca-penarolin last 8 games.
    ca-penarolin 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
    2nd Half Penarol Montevideo Win
    Everygame
    -110
    Cerro Largo have drawn in the 1st half
    cerro-largo-fcin 8 of last 9 games (Primera Division).
    cerro-largo-fcin last 5 games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +115
    Penarol Montevideo have won
    ca-penarolin 7 of last 8 games.
    Penarol Montevideo Win
    Bovada
    -182
    Penarol Montevideo have not lost
    ca-penarolin 10 of last 11 games (Primera Division).
    ca-penarolin last 8 games.
    Penarol Montevideo will not lose
    Everygame
    -909
    View more facts

    Cerro Largo - Penarol Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    1593323-1530
    4.
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1583421-1727
    5.
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    1573517-1224
    7.
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1564516-1722
    8.
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    1556415-1621
    9.
    Plaza Colonia
    Plaza Colonia
    1554613-1319

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 9
    +2
    +1
    11 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    3
    4
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    11
    9
    Conceded
    10
    2
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    3
    Both teams scored
    5
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats