Cerro Largo vs Penarol Prediction
⭐️ The match between Cerro Largo and Peñarol promises to be a tactical showdown. Both teams are seeking stability, as reflected in their recent form. Cerro Largo aims to climb the standings from their current 12th position, while Peñarol looks to solidify their spot in the upper tier, holding onto 4th place. Considering their past encounters and current form, a tense contest is anticipated.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams ended with a 1-3 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (Cerro Largo were the home side):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 2 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Cerro Largo and Peñarol:
- 17 matches played;
- home team victories - 3, away team wins - 7, draws - 7;
- goals scored - 15 versus 23;
- average total in the first half - 1.12, second half - 1.12;
- average total goals per match - 2.24.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

Cerro Largo Team Overview
The team's latest official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Progreso as the home side and Cerro Largo as the visitors. The match ended with a scoreline of 0-1.
Here are the game statistics (Cerro Largo vs Progreso):
- possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corners: 3 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
Cerro Largo have shown inconsistent form in their last five matches, with two draws, two losses, and one win. The team struggles to score, averaging just 0.85 goals per game, but they display solid defensive organization, conceding around 1.15 goals per match. At home, they adopt a cautious playing style, minimizing the number of corner kicks, which aligns with the trend of having under 9.5 total corners.
Match Results: Cerro Largo

Penarol Montevideo Team Overview
The visitors' last official match was in the Copa Libertadores, featuring Platense as the home team and Peñarol as the visitors. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the game statistics (Peñarol vs. Platense):
- possession: 42% vs. 58%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs. 4;
- fouls: 16 vs. 14;
- yellow cards: 6 vs. 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs. 3.
Peñarol are showing inconsistent form, with three draws and two losses in their last five matches highlighting the team's instability. Despite this, they remain a formidable force with attacking potential, averaging 1.31 goals per match, though their defense is shaky, conceding around 1 goal per game. On the road, Peñarol often struggle to capitalize on their chances; however, they are adept at exploiting opponents' mistakes.
Match Results: Penarol Montevideo
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- home team wins - 3, away team wins - 7, draws - 7.
Statistics: Cerro Largo vs Penarol Montevideo
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- wins: 4 vs 6;
- win percentage: 31% vs 46%;
- losses: 7 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 1;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 4.
- Penarol Montevideo have not won in last 8 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.88, the guests - 1.35;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.24;
- both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Cerro Largo vs Penarol Montevideo
- average total in the tournament: 2 vs 2.31;
- average total goals scored: 0.85 vs 1.31;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.38 vs 0.62;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.46 vs 0.69;
- Cerro Largo: average total at home in the tournament - 0.8;
- Penarol Montevideo: average total away in the tournament - 1.25;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.2) vs 0.9 (away - 0.8).
- Penarol Montevideo have conceded in last 8 games.
Prediction on corners
Cerro Largo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.77; at home field - 2.6;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; at home field - 2.8.
Penarol Montevideo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.08, away - 3.75;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; away - 3.6.
- Under 9.5 corners in last 12 Cerro Largo home games.
- Under 9.5 corners in last 11 Cerro Largo home games (Primera Division).
- Under 9.5 corners in last 5 Penarol Montevideo away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Cerro Largo vs Penarol Montevideo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Cerro Largo at home - 2 (40%);
- number of BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Cerro Largo at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (18/106, 17%);
- Cerro Largo at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (2/5, 40%);
- Penarol Montevideo away most often play: 0:2 (2/4, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 16.5% (odds 5.5)
0:0 - 11.66% (odds 7.5)
1:1 - 11.26% (odds 7)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Trends suggest that a total of under 2.5 goals is a likely outcome for this match, especially considering Peñarol's away performances and the overall goal-scoring record of both teams. A more defensive game is expected, with limited scoring opportunities for either side. A 0-1 scoreline is possible.