Cerro Largo vs Penarol Prediction

    ⭐️ The match between Cerro Largo and Peñarol promises to be a tactical showdown. Both teams are seeking stability, as reflected in their recent form. Cerro Largo aims to climb the standings from their current 12th position, while Peñarol looks to solidify their spot in the upper tier, holding onto 4th place. Considering their past encounters and current form, a tense contest is anticipated.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams ended with a 1-3 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (Cerro Largo were the home side):

    • possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corners: 2 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3.

    📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Cerro Largo and Peñarol:

    • 17 matches played;
    • home team victories - 3, away team wins - 7, draws - 7;
    • goals scored - 15 versus 23;
    • average total in the first half - 1.12, second half - 1.12;
    • average total goals per match - 2.24.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    17%
    3 Wins
    39%
    7 Draws
    44%
    8 Wins
    Total games
    18
    Total Goals Avg
    2.39
    Both teams scored
    56%
    0.94
    Total average
    1.44
    3.56
    Yellow cards
    2.28
    Last matches
    11.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    1
    3
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    1
    3
    27.09.25
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    3
    3
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    5
    -
    -
    3
    3
    01.06.25
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    0
    4
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    0
    4
    0
    0
    2
    1
    30.03.25
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    0
    0
    7
    9
    0
    0
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    7
    9
    0
    0
    1
    2
    17.08.24
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    6
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    6
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    Cerro Largo Team Overview

    The team's latest official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Progreso as the home side and Cerro Largo as the visitors. The match ended with a scoreline of 0-1.

    Here are the game statistics (Cerro Largo vs Progreso):

    • possession: 43% vs 57%;
    • corners: 3 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 4.

    Cerro Largo have shown inconsistent form in their last five matches, with two draws, two losses, and one win. The team struggles to score, averaging just 0.85 goals per game, but they display solid defensive organization, conceding around 1.15 goals per match. At home, they adopt a cautious playing style, minimizing the number of corner kicks, which aligns with the trend of having under 9.5 total corners.

    Match Results: Cerro Largo

    Last matches
    08.06.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    D
    29.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    1
    3
    W
    23.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    17.05.26
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    2
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    4
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    1
    -
    -
    4
    3
    L
    11.05.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    1
    3
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    1
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Penarol Montevideo Team Overview

    The visitors' last official match was in the Copa Libertadores, featuring Platense as the home team and Peñarol as the visitors. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.

    Here are the game statistics (Peñarol vs. Platense):

    • possession: 42% vs. 58%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs. 4;
    • fouls: 16 vs. 14;
    • yellow cards: 6 vs. 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs. 3.

    Peñarol are showing inconsistent form, with three draws and two losses in their last five matches highlighting the team's instability. Despite this, they remain a formidable force with attacking potential, averaging 1.31 goals per match, though their defense is shaky, conceding around 1 goal per game. On the road, Peñarol often struggle to capitalize on their chances; however, they are adept at exploiting opponents' mistakes.

    Match Results: Penarol Montevideo

    Last matches
    07.06.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    0
    W
    01.06.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    3
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    L
    28.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Independiente Santa Fe
    Independiente Santa Fe
    1
    0.39
    9
    2
    9
    21
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.39
    9
    2
    9
    21
    2
    2
    L
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    W
    22.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    D
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 17;
    • home team wins - 3, away team wins - 7, draws - 7.

    Statistics: Cerro Largo vs Penarol Montevideo

    • matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
    • wins: 4 vs 6;
    • win percentage: 31% vs 46%;
    • losses: 7 vs 4;
    • draws: 2 vs 3.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 4 vs 1;
    • losses: 4 vs 5;
    • draws: 2 vs 4.
    Trends
    • Penarol Montevideo have not won in last 8 games.
    👉Prediction: Cerro Largo will not lose (odds: 2.09)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.88, the guests - 1.35;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.24;
    • both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 4.

    Statistics: Cerro Largo vs Penarol Montevideo

    • average total in the tournament: 2 vs 2.31;
    • average total goals scored: 0.85 vs 1.31;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.38 vs 0.62;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.46 vs 0.69;
    • Cerro Largo: average total at home in the tournament -  0.8;
    • Penarol Montevideo: average total away in the tournament - 1.25;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.2) vs 0.9 (away - 0.8).
    Trends
    • Penarol Montevideo have conceded in last 8 games.
    👉Prediction: Cerro Largo will score goal (odds: 1.73)

    Prediction on corners

    Cerro Largo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.77; at home field - 2.6;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.1; at home field - 2.8.

    Penarol Montevideo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.08, away - 3.75;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.8; away - 3.6.
    Trends
    • Under 9.5 corners in last 12 Cerro Largo home games.
    • Under 9.5 corners in last 11 Cerro Largo home games (Primera Division).
    • Under 9.5 corners in last 5 Penarol Montevideo away games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (9.5) (odds: 1.52)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 17;
    • both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 4 times.

    Statistics: Cerro Largo vs Penarol Montevideo

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 7;
    • number of BTTS matches for Cerro Largo at home - 2 (40%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo away - 0 (0%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Cerro Largo at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.72)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (18/106, 17%);
    • Cerro Largo at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (2/5, 40%);
    • Penarol Montevideo away most often play: 0:2 (2/4, 50%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    0:1 - 16.5% (odds 5.5)
    0:0 - 11.66% (odds 7.5)
    1:1 - 11.26% (odds 7)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (0:1) (odds: 5.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Trends suggest that a total of under 2.5 goals is a likely outcome for this match, especially considering Peñarol's away performances and the overall goal-scoring record of both teams. A more defensive game is expected, with limited scoring opportunities for either side. A 0-1 scoreline is possible.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -141*
    Bovada
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (9 May 2026, 04:38)

    Betting Tips: Cerro Largo - Penarol Montevideo

    Penarol Montevideo have not won
    ca-penarolin last 8 games.
    Cerro Largo will not lose
    Everygame
    -127
    Under 3.5 goals scored
    cerro-largo-fcin 6 of last 7 Cerro Largo games (Primera Division).
    ca-penarolin 10 of last 11 Penarol Montevideo games.
    ca-penarolin 6 of last 7 Penarol Montevideo games (Primera Division).
    in last 10 Jose Burgos games.
    in last 8 Jose Burgos games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (3.5)
    Everygame
    -500
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    ca-penarolin 11 of last 12 Penarol Montevideo games.
    ca-penarolin 7 of last 8 Penarol Montevideo games (Primera Division).
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -250
    Under 2.5 goals scored
    ca-penarolin last 10 Penarol Montevideo away games.
    ca-penarolin last 7 Penarol Montevideo away games (Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (2.5)
    Everygame
    -167
    View more facts

    Cerro Largo - Penarol Table position

    Primera Division 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Albion
    Albion
    1584326-1628
    4.
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1583423-1627
    5.
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    1573523-2224
    11.
    Danubio
    Danubio
    1546517-2118
    12.
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    1552816-1917
    13.
    Boston River
    Boston River
    1552814-2017

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 9
    +2
    +1
    11 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    4
    3
    Draws
    3
    4
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    11
    9
    Conceded
    10
    2
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    3
    Both teams scored
    5
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats