Vitoria vs Gremio Prediction 27 April 2025

    🔊 The clash between Vitoria and Gremio promises to be thrilling as both teams find themselves in challenging situations and are eager to climb the league standings. Vitoria aim to secure their spot outside the relegation zone, while Gremio fight to avoid dropping down a division. Both clubs have been inconsistent: the hosts have been erratic, and the visitors struggle on the road. Known for their defensive frailties, both sides add intrigue to this upcoming encounter. Betting on both teams to score seems particularly appealing given their current form.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 04 December 2024 and ended with a score of 1:1. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter: Vitoria vs Gremio

    • ball possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 2;
    • fouls: 13 vs 10.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Vitoria and Gremio:

    • 20 matches played;
    • home team victories - 4, away team victories - 10, draws - 6;
    • goals scored - 14 for Vitoria, 29 for Gremio;
    • average goals in the first half - 0.9, second half - 1.25;
    • average total goals per match - 2.15.

    Head-to-head statistics Vitoria - Gremio

    17%
    4 Wins
    30%
    7 Draws
    52%
    12 Wins
    Total games
    23
    Total Goals Avg
    2.22
    Both teams scored
    43%
    0.7
    Total average
    1.52
    1.87
    Yellow cards
    1.17
    Last matches
    19.03.26
    Serie A
    Gremio
    Gremio
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    1.11
    0.46
    4
    5
    13
    17
    1
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.11
    0.46
    4
    5
    13
    17
    1
    3
    28.09.25
    Serie A
    Gremio
    Gremio
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    1.67
    1.03
    1
    5
    8
    13
    1
    4
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1.67
    1.03
    1
    5
    8
    13
    1
    4
    27.04.25
    Serie A
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1.24
    1.55
    6
    2
    20
    11
    4
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.24
    1.55
    6
    2
    20
    11
    4
    1
    04.12.24
    Serie A
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1.47
    0.62
    7
    1
    13
    10
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.47
    0.62
    7
    1
    13
    10
    1
    2
    21.07.24
    Serie A
    Gremio
    Gremio
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    -
    -
    7
    4
    11
    18
    1
    7
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    11
    18
    1
    7
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Vitoria Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Copa Sudamericana tournament (home team - Vitoria, away team - Cerro Largo). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.

    Here's the game statistics (Vitoria vs Cerro Largo):

    • ball possession: 66% vs 34%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 2;
    • fouls: 23 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 3.

    Vitória currently sit 16th in the standings, fighting to retain their top-flight status. The team has shown decent form at home, consistently finding the back of the net-scoring in 19 of their last 21 matches. However, their defense remains a concern, as they concede in nearly every game. Their most recent head-to-head against Grêmio ended in a 1-1 draw, highlighting Vitória's ability to compete even against formidable opponents. The primary focus for the "Lions" is to bolster their defense and eliminate simple errors.

    Match Results: Vitoria

    Last matches
    03.09.26
    Copa Brasil
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    -
    -
    0
    3
    17
    19
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    0
    3
    17
    19
    2
    1
    L
    29.08.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    1.66
    0.65
    4
    5
    12
    13
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.66
    0.65
    4
    5
    12
    13
    2
    1
    L
    27.08.26
    Copa Brasil
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    1
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    -
    -
    1
    5
    9
    8
    0
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    5
    9
    8
    0
    2
    L
    23.08.26
    Serie A
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Bahia
    Bahia
    0.67
    3.39
    7
    7
    13
    10
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0.67
    3.39
    7
    7
    13
    10
    2
    3
    L
    16.08.26
    Serie A
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    1
    2.36
    0.92
    8
    4
    19
    18
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.36
    0.92
    8
    4
    19
    18
    2
    3
    W
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    Gremio Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on as part of the Copa Sudamericana tournament (the hosts were Godoy Cruz, and the visitors were Gremio ). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.

    Here are the match stats (Gremio vs Godoy Cruz):

    • ball possession: 40% vs 60%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
    • fouls: 3 vs 3;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 5 vs 4.

    Grêmio are going through a tough period, currently sitting second-to-last in the Serie A standings. Their struggles on the road are evident, as they haven't secured an away win in ten matches and seldom score more than one goal per game away from home. Despite these challenges, the Tricolor boast talented attacking players capable of creating chances even when under pressure from opponents. Their recent hard-fought victory could serve as a springboard for future success.

    Match Results: Gremio

    Last matches
    03.09.26
    Copa Brasil
    Gremio
    Gremio
    Internacional
    Internacional
    -
    -
    4
    13
    9
    17
    4
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    13
    9
    17
    4
    3
    W
    30.08.26
    Serie A
    Gremio
    Gremio
    Chapecoense
    Chapecoense
    0.64
    3.27
    5
    7
    11
    10
    3
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0.64
    3.27
    5
    7
    11
    10
    3
    2
    W
    27.08.26
    Copa Brasil
    Internacional
    Internacional
    Gremio
    Gremio
    -
    -
    7
    2
    23
    20
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    23
    20
    2
    2
    D
    23.08.26
    Serie A
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    Gremio
    Gremio
    2.21
    0.7
    8
    5
    9
    12
    2
    3
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.21
    0.7
    8
    5
    9
    12
    2
    3
    L
    16.08.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Gremio
    Gremio
    1.84
    0.4
    8
    6
    14
    11
    3
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1.84
    0.4
    8
    6
    14
    11
    3
    3
    L
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 20;
    • home team wins - 4, away team wins - 10, draws - 6.

    Statistics: Vitoria vs Gremio

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
    • number of wins: 1 vs 1;
    • win percentage: 20% vs 20%;
    • number of losses: 2 vs 3;
    • number of draws: 2 vs 1.

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of wins: 1 vs 4;
    • number of losses: 3 vs 3;
    • number of draws: 6 vs 3.
    👉Prediction: Gremio Handicap (+1)(odds: 1.19)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.7, the guests - 1.45;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.15;
    • both teams scored: overall - 8; at the home team's field - 4.

    Statistics: Vitoria vs Gremio

    • average total in the tournament: 2.8 vs 2.8;
    • average total goals scored: 1.2 vs 0.8;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.2 vs 0.6;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 0.2;
    • Vitoria: average total at home in the tournament -  1.5;
    • Gremio : average total away in the tournament - 0.5;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.9 (home - 1) vs 1.4 (away - 1.5).
    Trends
    • Vitoria have scored under 1.5 goals in last 9 games against Gremio.
    • Vitoria have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 home games against Gremio.
    • Vitoria have scored under 1.5 goals in last 7 games against Gremio (Serie A).
    • Vitoria have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 home games.
    👉Prediction: Vitoria Total goals Under (1,5)(odds: 1.44)

    Prediction on corners

    Vitoria: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.8; at home field - 3.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; at home field - 4.8.

    Gremio : Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.8, away - 8.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; away - 6.
    Trends
    • Vitoria have taken under 5.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games.
    • Vitoria have taken under 5.5 corners in last 6 games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Vitoria Total Under (5,5)(odds: 1.9)

    Prediction on cards

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.2 (1.6 for home team and 1.6 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.5 (1.2 for home team and 1.3 for away team).

    Vitoria: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.8; at home - 0.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.5; at home - 2.2.

    Gremio : Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.6, away - 3.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.9; away - 2.67.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5,5)(odds: 1.65)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 20;
    • both teams scored all-time - 8 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 4 times.

    Statistics: Vitoria vs Gremio

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 5 vs 5;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 3;
    • number of BTTS matches for Vitoria at home - 2 (100%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Gremio away - 1 (50%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 7;
    • BTTS matches for Vitoria at home - 4 (80%);
    • BTTS matches for Gremio away - 5 (83%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.96)

    Editor's Prediction

    After analyzing all the data on team form and past meeting trends, betting on both teams to score seems the most reasonable for this match. Considering Vitória's tendency for high-scoring home games and Grêmio's defensive struggles on the road, both sides have a good chance of finding the back of the net in this encounter.

    Both Teams To Score (Yes)
    Published: 26/04/2025, 14:35

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    Betting Tips: Vitoria - Gremio

    Gremio have lost the 2nd half:
    gremio-rs-2in last 8 games (Serie A).
    2nd Half Vitoria Win
    Everygame
    +175
    Gremio have not won:
    gremio-rs-2in last 10 away games (Serie A).
    gremio-rs-2in 7 of last 8 away games.
    Vitoria will not lose
    Everygame
    -312
    Vitoria have not won:
    vitoria-ba-1gremio-rs-2in last 9 games against Gremio.
    vitoria-ba-1gremio-rs-2in last 7 games against Gremio (Serie A).
    vitoria-ba-1gremio-rs-2in 6 of last 7 home games against Gremio (Serie A).
    vitoria-ba-1gremio-rs-2in last 5 home games against Gremio.
    vitoria-ba-1in 9 of last 10 games.
    Gremio will not lose
    Everygame
    -175
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    vitoria-ba-1in last 9 Vitoria games (Serie A).
    vitoria-ba-1in last 6 Vitoria home games (Serie A).
    gremio-rs-2in last 14 Gremio games.
    gremio-rs-2in last 10 Gremio games (Serie A).
    gremio-rs-2in last 8 Gremio away games.
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -222
    View more facts

    Vitoria - Gremio Table position

    Brasileiro Serie A 2025
    gWDLGDPForm
    8.
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    381491543-4751
    9.
    Gremio
    Gremio
    3813101547-5049
    10.
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    381461845-5748
    14.
    Vasco da Gama
    Vasco da Gama
    381361955-6045
    15.
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    3811121535-5245
    16.
    Internacional
    Internacional
    3811111644-5744

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    8 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 6
    Conceded - 17
    -11
    +1
    11 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    4
    0
    Draws
    3
    8
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    6
    Scored
    11
    17
    Conceded
    10
    2.3
    Match goals average
    2.1
    0.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    1.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    1
    Both teams scored
    5
    150'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats