Sao Paulo vs Atl. Mineiro Prediction 5 September 2026

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The main thing

    🔊 This match between São Paulo and Atlético Mineiro takes place with both sides strongly motivated by their league position. Both clubs are sitting in mid-table and fighting for every point. São Paulo have been inconsistent in the latter stages of the season, while Atlético Mineiro come into the game on an unbeaten run. The contrast in recent form between the two sides is the defining backdrop to this fixture.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Across all official meetings between São Paulo and Atlético Mineiro, the two sides have faced each other 47 times. The hosts have won 15, the visitors 21, with 11 draws. São Paulo have scored 52 goals in total, Atlético Mineiro 53. On average, the two sides score 1.15 goals in the first half and 1.09 in the second, giving an overall match average of 2.23 goals.

    Head-to-head statistics Sao Paulo - Atl. Mineiro

    32%
    15 Wins
    23%
    11 Draws
    45%
    21 Wins
    Total games
    47
    Total Goals Avg
    2.23
    Both teams scored
    43%
    1.11
    Total average
    1.13
    Last matches
    18.03.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    1.07
    0.54
    4
    1
    16
    17
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.07
    0.54
    4
    1
    16
    17
    1
    1
    24.08.25
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.67
    0.12
    5
    1
    20
    17
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.67
    0.12
    5
    1
    20
    17
    1
    2
    06.04.25
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    2
    1.48
    0.32
    12
    4
    16
    12
    1
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.48
    0.32
    12
    4
    16
    12
    1
    3
    24.11.24
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1
    -
    -
    7
    1
    8
    8
    3
    4
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    1
    8
    8
    3
    4
    13.09.24
    Copa Brasil
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    4
    4
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    4
    4
    Empty
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    Sao Paulo Team Overview

    São Paulo are going through a mixed spell: two wins, one defeat and two draws from their last five matches. Over the last ten games they have three wins and four defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored per match while conceding slightly more than one goal per game on average. Their league position gives them reason to push for points. There is also a consistent pattern: São Paulo rarely score more than one goal, as shown by a run of eight matches in which they have scored a maximum of one.

    Match Results: Sao Paulo

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    1.59
    0.95
    9
    7
    11
    14
    2
    4
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    1.59
    0.95
    9
    7
    11
    14
    2
    4
    W
    23.08.26
    Serie A
    Chapecoense
    Chapecoense
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    0.89
    3.11
    7
    3
    17
    7
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.89
    3.11
    7
    3
    17
    7
    3
    1
    L
    19.08.26
    sudamericana
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Club Bolivar
    Club Bolivar
    1.81
    0.13
    4
    3
    17
    11
    3
    4
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1.81
    0.13
    4
    3
    17
    11
    3
    4
    W
    16.08.26
    Serie A
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    1.39
    0.39
    6
    3
    15
    10
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.39
    0.39
    6
    3
    15
    10
    2
    1
    D
    12.08.26
    sudamericana
    Club Bolivar
    Club Bolivar
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    0.90
    0.61
    8
    4
    7
    11
    0
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0.90
    0.61
    8
    4
    7
    11
    0
    2
    D
    Empty
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    Atletico Mineiro Team Overview

    Atlético Mineiro come into this match in solid form, unbeaten in their last ten games - five wins and five draws. Their last five matches have brought two wins and three consecutive draws. Defensively, the visitors have been reliable over that ten-match run, conceding just 0.7 goals per game, which is noticeably better than their seasonal average of 1.17. In attack there are no concerns either, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per game over the same period. Their position in the table means there is no pressure on them to chase a result at all costs.

    Match Results: Atletico Mineiro

    Last matches
    02.09.26
    Copa Brasil
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    1
    -
    -
    8
    2
    11
    13
    1
    5
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    8
    2
    11
    13
    1
    5
    W
    29.08.26
    Serie A
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Vitoria
    Vitoria
    1.66
    0.65
    4
    5
    12
    13
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.66
    0.65
    4
    5
    12
    13
    2
    1
    W
    26.08.26
    Copa Brasil
    Cruzeiro
    Cruzeiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    -
    -
    4
    3
    15
    19
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    3
    15
    19
    1
    2
    D
    22.08.26
    Serie A
    Internacional
    Internacional
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    1.47
    0.92
    6
    5
    18
    15
    5
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.47
    0.92
    6
    5
    18
    15
    5
    3
    D
    19.08.26
    sudamericana
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    0.77
    1.57
    5
    10
    7
    11
    1
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    0.77
    1.57
    5
    10
    7
    11
    1
    2
    D
    Empty
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    Best Bet

    São Paulo have gone unbeaten at home in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings between these two sides (Série A). We're backing Draw No Bet - São Paulo at 1.30*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary depending on the bookmaker.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The key factor behind this selection is a clear trend: São Paulo have scored more than 1.5 goals just once in their last nine Série A rounds, despite showing some attacking intent and posting moderate overall scoring numbers this season. The team play pragmatically even at home - their attack is often limited to one shot on target or fewer regardless of the opponent or the match situation; the current dip in finishing is compounded by a lack of pressure from the table, so there is little reason to expect a sharp upturn in output even against a visiting defence that has been average by the season statistics of away sides (and those statistics do nothing to contradict that). The editorial's main prediction is São Paulo Team Total - Under 1.5.
    Sao Paulo Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-200
    Published: 03/09/2026, 09:40
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Yaroslav Tkachev
    Football expert
    5
    0
    8
    13 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Sao Paulo - Atletico Mineiro

    Sao Paulo have won the 1st half:
    sao-paulo-sp-1in last 8 home games.
    1st Half Sao Paulo Win
    Bovada
    +170
    Sao Paulo have lost the 2nd half:
    sao-paulo-sp-1in last 5 home games (Serie A).
    2nd Half Atletico Mineiro Win
    +300
    Sao Paulo have not lost:
    sao-paulo-sp-1atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 7 of last 8 home games against Atletico Mineiro (Serie A).
    sao-paulo-sp-1in 11 of last 12 home games.
    Sao Paulo will not lose
    Everygame
    -435
    Sao Paulo have not won:
    sao-paulo-sp-1atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 12 of last 13 games against Atletico Mineiro.
    sao-paulo-sp-1atletico-mineiro-mg-1in 10 of last 11 games against Atletico Mineiro (Serie A).
    sao-paulo-sp-1in 10 of last 11 games (Serie A).
    Atletico Mineiro have not lost:
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in last 14 games.
    atletico-mineiro-mg-1in last 7 away games.
    Atletico Mineiro will not lose
    Everygame
    -152
    View more facts

    Sao Paulo - Atl. Mineiro Table position

    Brasileiro Serie A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    7.
    Coritiba FC PR
    Coritiba FC PR
    25107833-3337
    8.
    Atletico Mineiro
    Atletico Mineiro
    24106832-2836
    9.
    Bragantino
    Bragantino
    24105929-2535
    10.
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    2588926-2532
    11.
    Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo
    24861029-2830
    12.
    Botafogo FR
    Botafogo FR
    24861037-4030

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 5
    Loses - 0
    10 matches
    Scored - 12
    Conceded - 11
    +1
    +7
    14 - Scored
    7 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    5
    3
    Draws
    5
    4
    Loses
    0
    Goal difference
    12
    Scored
    14
    11
    Conceded
    7
    2.3
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1.1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.7
    7
    Both teams scored
    5
    75'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    64'
    View all stats