Birmingham vs Derby Prediction 26 December 2025
🔊 Fans are eagerly anticipating an exciting match between Birmingham City and Derby County. Both teams sit mid-table, but the visitors have shown better form in recent games. Historically, encounters between these opponents tend to be high-scoring, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming clash.
Head-to-Head
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Birmingham City and Derby :
- played 33 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 11, draws - 12;
- number of goals (home/away) - 47 against 54;
- average total goals in the match - 3.06.
Head-to-head statistics Birmingham - Derby

Birmingham City Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Sheffield United, away team - Birmingham City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here's the game statistics (Birmingham City vs Sheffield United):
- ball possession: 33% vs 67%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 8;
- fouls: 13 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 9.
Birmingham City's recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five matches. The team tends to be unpredictable, alternating between victories and defeats. However, they have managed to score more than 1.5 goals in six of their last seven home games, which offers some optimism ahead of their upcoming clash. The Blues favor rapid counterattacks and actively utilize the flanks to create dangerous opportunities in front of the opponent's goal.
Match Results: Birmingham City

Derby Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Derby , away - Portsmouth). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Derby vs Portsmouth):
- ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 7 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
Derby County are riding high on confidence following a successful run of three consecutive matches without a loss. Their attack is one of the team's main strengths, averaging 1.8 goals per game over the last ten fixtures. While their defense occasionally falters, the offensive unit more than makes up for it with their scoring prowess.
Match Results: Derby
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Birmingham City (Home) vs Derby (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
- Number of wins: 6 (60%) vs 5 (50%);
- Number of losses: 1 (10%) vs 2 (20%);
- Number of draws: 3 (30%) vs 3 (30%);
- Average total goals scored: 1.6 vs 0.8;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.4 vs 0.2.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 5 vs 7;
- Number of losses: 5 vs 1;
- Number of draws: 0 vs 2;
- Average first half total: 1.9 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.9) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.4).
- Birmingham City scored in the 1st half in last 7 home games (Championship).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 11, draws - 12.
Statistics: Birmingham City vs Derby
- matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- wins: 8 vs 8;
- win percentage: 36% vs 36%;
- losses: 9 vs 7;
- draws: 5 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 5;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 away games against Birmingham City (Championship).
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 20 of last 21 games.
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 19 of last 20 games (Championship).
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 18 away games.
- Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 away games (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.42, the guests - 1.64;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.06;
- both teams scored: overall - 23; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Birmingham City vs Derby
- average total in the tournament: 2.68 vs 2.77;
- average total goals scored: 1.36 vs 1.41;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.64 vs 0.59;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.73 vs 0.82;
- Birmingham City: average total at home in the tournament - 2.2;
- Derby : average total away in the tournament - 1.6;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 3) vs 1.8 (away - 2.2).
- Birmingham City have conceded in 11 of last 12 games against Derby (Championship).
- Birmingham City have conceded in 10 of last 11 home games against Derby (Championship).
- Birmingham City have conceded in last 8 games (Championship).
- Derby have scored in 14 of last 15 away games.
- Derby have scored in last 12 games (Championship).
Prediction on corners
Birmingham City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.27; at home field - 6.1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 6.
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.09, away - 4.3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6; away - 4.4.
- Birmingham City have taken under 6.5 corners in last 5 games against Derby (Championship).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- both teams scored all-time - 23 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Birmingham City vs Derby
- number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 16;
- number of BTTS matches for Birmingham City at home - 6 (60%);
- number of BTTS matches for Derby away - 7 (70%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 9;
- BTTS matches for Birmingham City at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Derby away - 4 (80%).
- Birmingham City have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games (Championship).
- Derby have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games (Championship).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (45/262, 17.2%);
- Birmingham City at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:1 , 4:0 (2/10, 20%);
- Derby away most often play: 1:2 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.87% (odds 6)
1:0 - 10.6% (odds 5.8)
2:1 - 9.48% (odds 8)