Birmingham vs Derby Prediction 26 December 2025

    🔊 Fans are eagerly anticipating an exciting match between Birmingham City and Derby County. Both teams sit mid-table, but the visitors have shown better form in recent games. Historically, encounters between these opponents tend to be high-scoring, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming clash.

    Head-to-Head

    📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Birmingham City and Derby :

    • played 33 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 11, draws - 12;
    • number of goals (home/away) - 47 against 54;
    • average total goals in the match - 3.06.

    Head-to-head statistics Birmingham - Derby

    31%
    11 Wins
    36%
    13 Draws
    33%
    12 Wins
    Total games
    36
    Total Goals Avg
    2.97
    Both teams scored
    69%
    1.39
    Total average
    1.58
    Last matches
    12.09.26
    Championship
    Derby
    Derby
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    1.18
    2.63
    10
    4
    8
    12
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.18
    2.63
    10
    4
    8
    12
    1
    3
    21.03.26
    Championship
    Derby
    Derby
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    1.79
    0.25
    6
    2
    12
    16
    1
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.79
    0.25
    6
    2
    12
    16
    1
    4
    26.12.25
    Championship
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    1
    Derby
    Derby
    1
    3.45
    0.72
    12
    1
    17
    13
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    3.45
    0.72
    12
    1
    17
    13
    3
    2
    30.01.22
    ECS
    Derby
    Derby
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    -
    -
    -
    -
    4
    18
    -
    -
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    4
    18
    -
    -
    10.09.21
    ECS
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    Derby
    Derby
    -
    -
    2
    2
    19
    6
    2
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    2
    19
    6
    2
    3
    Empty
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    Birmingham City Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Sheffield United, away team - Birmingham City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.

    Here's the game statistics (Birmingham City vs Sheffield United):

    • ball possession: 33% vs 67%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 8;
    • fouls: 13 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 9.

    Birmingham City's recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five matches. The team tends to be unpredictable, alternating between victories and defeats. However, they have managed to score more than 1.5 goals in six of their last seven home games, which offers some optimism ahead of their upcoming clash. The Blues favor rapid counterattacks and actively utilize the flanks to create dangerous opportunities in front of the opponent's goal.

    Match Results: Birmingham City

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    Championship
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    Middlesbrough
    Middlesbrough
    1.29
    2.39
    5
    3
    10
    11
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1.29
    2.39
    5
    3
    10
    11
    2
    0
    D
    12.09.26
    Championship
    Derby
    Derby
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    1.18
    2.63
    10
    4
    8
    12
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.18
    2.63
    10
    4
    8
    12
    1
    3
    W
    09.09.26
    Championship
    Norwich City
    Norwich City
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    1.13
    1.94
    6
    7
    12
    9
    6
    2
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    1.13
    1.94
    6
    7
    12
    9
    6
    2
    L
    06.09.26
    Championship
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    Wolverhampton Wanderers
    1.69
    1.64
    8
    4
    13
    10
    2
    1
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    1.69
    1.64
    8
    4
    13
    10
    2
    1
    D
    01.09.26
    Championship
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    Southampton
    Southampton
    1.42
    1.02
    3
    5
    12
    8
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.42
    1.02
    3
    5
    12
    8
    3
    2
    D
    Empty
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    Derby Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Derby , away - Portsmouth). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.

    Here are the match stats (Derby vs Portsmouth):

    • ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
    • fouls: 7 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 1.

    Derby County are riding high on confidence following a successful run of three consecutive matches without a loss. Their attack is one of the team's main strengths, averaging 1.8 goals per game over the last ten fixtures. While their defense occasionally falters, the offensive unit more than makes up for it with their scoring prowess.

    Match Results: Derby

    Last matches
    19.09.26
    Championship
    Burnley
    Burnley
    Derby
    Derby
    0.81
    1.29
    4
    6
    9
    12
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.81
    1.29
    4
    6
    9
    12
    4
    2
    D
    12.09.26
    Championship
    Derby
    Derby
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    1.18
    2.63
    10
    4
    8
    12
    1
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1.18
    2.63
    10
    4
    8
    12
    1
    3
    L
    09.09.26
    Championship
    Derby
    Derby
    West Bromwich Albion
    West Bromwich Albion
    1
    1.37
    0.77
    11
    3
    12
    9
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.37
    0.77
    11
    3
    12
    9
    0
    2
    L
    05.09.26
    Championship
    West Ham United
    West Ham United
    Derby
    Derby
    3.74
    0.15
    5
    6
    4
    14
    0
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    3.74
    0.15
    5
    6
    4
    14
    0
    2
    L
    01.09.26
    Championship
    Portsmouth
    Portsmouth
    Derby
    Derby
    1.02
    0.9
    11
    2
    12
    13
    1
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.02
    0.9
    11
    2
    12
    13
    1
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    First Half Statistics: Birmingham City (Home) vs Derby (Away)

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 10;
    • Number of wins: 6 (60%) vs 5 (50%);
    • Number of losses: 1 (10%) vs 2 (20%);
    • Number of draws: 3 (30%) vs 3 (30%);
    • Average total goals scored: 1.6 vs 0.8;
    • Average total goals conceded: 0.4 vs 0.2.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 5 vs 7;
    • Number of losses: 5 vs 1;
    • Number of draws: 0 vs 2;
    • Average first half total: 1.9 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.9) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.4).
    Trends
    • Birmingham City scored in the 1st half in last 7 home games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Birmingham City to score goal(odds: 1.84)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 33;
    • home team wins - 10, away team wins - 11, draws - 12.

    Statistics: Birmingham City vs Derby

    • matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
    • wins: 8 vs 8;
    • win percentage: 36% vs 36%;
    • losses: 9 vs 7;
    • draws: 5 vs 7.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 4 vs 5;
    • losses: 4 vs 3;
    • draws: 2 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 away games against Birmingham City (Championship).
    • Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 20 of last 21 games.
    • Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 19 of last 20 games (Championship).
    • Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 18 away games.
    • Derby won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 away games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Derby Handicap (+1,5)(odds: 1.32)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.42, the guests - 1.64;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.06;
    • both teams scored: overall - 23; at the home team's field - 9.

    Statistics: Birmingham City vs Derby

    • average total in the tournament: 2.68 vs 2.77;
    • average total goals scored: 1.36 vs 1.41;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.64 vs 0.59;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.73 vs 0.82;
    • Birmingham City: average total at home in the tournament -  2.2;
    • Derby : average total away in the tournament - 1.6;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.9 (home - 3) vs 1.8 (away - 2.2).
    Trends
    • Birmingham City have conceded in 11 of last 12 games against Derby (Championship).
    • Birmingham City have conceded in 10 of last 11 home games against Derby (Championship).
    • Birmingham City have conceded in last 8 games (Championship).
    • Derby have scored in 14 of last 15 away games.
    • Derby have scored in last 12 games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Derby will score goal(odds: 1.6)

    Prediction on corners

    Birmingham City: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.27; at home field - 6.1;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; at home field - 6.

    Derby : Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.09, away - 4.3;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6; away - 4.4.
    Trends
    • Birmingham City have taken under 6.5 corners in last 5 games against Derby (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Birmingham City Total Under (6,5)(odds: 1.77)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 33;
    • both teams scored all-time - 23 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 9 times.

    Statistics: Birmingham City vs Derby

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 22 vs 22;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 16;
    • number of BTTS matches for Birmingham City at home - 6 (60%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Derby away - 7 (70%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 9;
    • BTTS matches for Birmingham City at home - 3 (60%);
    • BTTS matches for Derby away - 4 (80%).
    Trends
    • Birmingham City have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games (Championship).
    • Derby have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games (Championship).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (Yes)(odds: 1.97)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (45/262, 17.2%);
    • Birmingham City at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:1 , 4:0 (2/10, 20%);
    • Derby away most often play: 1:2 (2/10, 20%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 11.87% (odds 6)
    1:0 - 10.6% (odds 5.8)
    2:1 - 9.48% (odds 8)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1)(odds: 6)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both teams are currently on a similar level. Derby are in better form, while Birmingham score a lot at home. Considering the statistics from past head-to-head encounters and current trends, we can anticipate an open game with plenty of chances. Therefore, the most reasonable bet would be on both teams to score (yes).

    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds-103
    Published: 24/12/2025, 07:39

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    Betting Tips: Birmingham City - Derby

    Derby have won the 1st half:
    derby-countyin last 5 away games (Championship).
    1st Half Derby to Win
    Bovada
    +370
    Birmingham City have not won:
    birmingham-city-1derby-countyin 8 of last 9 home games against Derby (Championship).
    Derby will not lose
    Everygame
    -118
    Birmingham City have not lost:
    birmingham-city-1in 9 of last 10 home games (Championship).
    birmingham-city-1in 7 of last 8 home games.
    Birmingham City will not lose
    Everygame
    -455
    Birmingham City have conceded:
    birmingham-city-1derby-countyin 11 of last 12 games against Derby (Championship).
    birmingham-city-1derby-countyin 10 of last 11 home games against Derby (Championship).
    birmingham-city-1in last 8 games (Championship).
    Derby have scored:
    derby-countyin 14 of last 15 away games.
    derby-countyin last 12 games (Championship).
    Derby will score goal
    Everygame
    -182
    View more facts

    Birmingham - Derby Table position

    Championship 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    7.
    Wrexham
    Wrexham
    4619141369-6571
    8.
    Derby
    Derby
    462091767-5969
    9.
    Norwich City
    Norwich City
    461981963-5665
    10.
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    4617131657-5664
    11.
    Swansea City
    Swansea City
    4618101857-5964

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    5 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Win - 1
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 7
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 17
    -3
    -9
    9 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    1
    5
    Draws
    2
    2
    Loses
    7
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    9
    17
    Conceded
    18
    3.1
    Match goals average
    2.7
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    1.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    8
    Both teams scored
    6
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats