Derby vs Birmingham Prediction 21 March 2026
🔊 The clash between Derby County and Birmingham City promises to be intriguing, given the current form and league standings of both teams. Derby sit in 8th place, aiming to solidify their spot in the playoff zone, while Birmingham are in 10th position, looking to improve their results. There is no clear favorite in the upcoming match.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 26 December 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Birmingham City):
- ball possession percentage: 73% vs 27%;
- corner kicks: 12 vs 1;
- fouls: 17 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 9 vs 1.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Derby and Birmingham City:
- played 34 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 11, for the away team - 10, draws - 13;
- number of goals (home/away) - 55 against 48;
- average total goals in the match - 3.03.
Head-to-head statistics Derby - Birmingham
Derby Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Portsmouth, away team - Derby ). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here's the game statistics (Derby vs Portsmouth):
- ball possession: 32% vs 68%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 11;
- fouls: 13 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 6 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 9.
Derby County are showing solid form, particularly on home turf. In their last five matches, including away games, they have secured three victories, indicating a well-prepared squad. They average 1.45 goals per match with a defense that concedes an average of 1.26 goals per game. The Rams are highly motivated in the standings, needing to maintain momentum to secure a playoff spot.
Match Results: Derby
Birmingham City Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Birmingham City, away - Sheffield United). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Birmingham City vs Sheffield United):
- ball possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 0;
- fouls: 13 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 7 vs 3.
Birmingham City have delivered modest performances in recent weeks, with just one win and one draw in their last five matches. The team has struggled offensively, scoring no more than one goal per game for five consecutive matches, which limits their chances of success without a significant improvement in their attacking play. However, their defense remains steady, conceding an average of 1.26 goals per game.
Match Results: Birmingham City
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 10, draws - 13.
Statistics: Derby vs Birmingham City
- matches played in the tournament: 38 vs 38;
- wins: 16 vs 14;
- win percentage: 42% vs 37%;
- losses: 13 vs 13;
- draws: 9 vs 11.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.62, the guests - 1.41;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.03;
- both teams scored: overall - 24; at the home team's field - 14.
Statistics: Derby vs Birmingham City
- average total in the tournament: 2.71 vs 2.53;
- average total goals scored: 1.45 vs 1.26;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.68 vs 0.61;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.76 vs 0.66;
- Derby : average total at home in the tournament - 1.37;
- Birmingham City: average total away in the tournament - 0.79;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1.8) vs 1 (away - 1).
- Birmingham City have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 games (Championship).
Prediction on corners
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.53; at home field - 5.42;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.9; at home field - 3.6.
Birmingham City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.76, away - 4.84;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 7.5; away - 4.25.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.88 (1.44 for home team and 1.44 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.24 (1.06 for home team and 1.18 for away team).
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.45; at home - 2.11;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; at home - 2.
Birmingham City: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.95, away - 1.84;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.7; away - 1.25.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in last 14 Birmingham City away games.
- Under 4.5 yellow cards in last 13 Birmingham City away games (Championship).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- both teams scored all-time - 24 times;
- on the home team’s field - 14 times.
Statistics: Derby vs Birmingham City
- number of matches played in the tournament: 38 vs 38;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 25 vs 21;
- number of BTTS matches for Derby at home - 14 (74%);
- number of BTTS matches for Birmingham City away - 8 (42%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Derby at home - 4 (80%);
- BTTS matches for Birmingham City away - 1 (25%).
- Derby have scored and conceded in last 5 home games against Birmingham City (Championship).
- Derby have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (70/455, 15.4%);
- Derby at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (6/19, 31.6%);
- Birmingham City away most often play: 3:0 (4/19, 21.1%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.16% (odds 6)
0:1 - 9.21% (odds 9)
1:0 - 9.03% (odds 9)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Considering current trends and team statistics, betting on both teams to score seems like the most sensible choice. Birmingham have struggled with scoring, but Derby consistently concede at home. Furthermore, both sides have found the net in 3 of their last 4 head-to-head encounters. We recommend betting on both teams to score (yes).No comments
Betting Tips: Derby - Birmingham City
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
