Vitoria vs Bahia Ba Prediction
🔊 In Salvador, one of the most intense derbies in the state of Bahia is gearing up - the "Ba-Vi". Vitoria will host Bahia at the "Manoel Barradas Stadium". The hosts, currently in the relegation zone, are desperately seeking points to salvage their season, while the visitors, comfortably positioned at the top of the table, aim to consolidate their standing. Historically, encounters between these teams have always been charged with tension and unpredictable twists. The first-round "Ba-Vi" was an emotional affair: the match ended 2-1 in favor of Bahia and was marked by red cards on both sides. In the upcoming derby, the opponents will be battling not just for victory but also for prestige in their home state.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between these teams took place on 18 May 2025 and ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Bahia were the home side):
- possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corners: 1 vs 10;
- fouls: 12 vs 23;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 2 vs 8.
📊 Analytical review of past official matches between Vitória and Bahia:
- 47 matches played;
- home team victories - 12, away team victories - 16, draws - 19;
- goals scored (home/away) - 50 versus 58;
- average total goals per match - 2.3.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Vitoria Team Overview
The last official match took place on as part of the Serie A tournament (with Vasco da Gama as the home team and Vitoria as the visitors). The match concluded with a scoreline of 4-3.
Here are the match statistics (Vitoria vs Vasco da Gama):
- possession percentage: 26% vs 74%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 5;
- fouls: 14 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 7.
🔴 In the 27th round, Vitoria suffered a 4-3 away defeat against Vasco da Gama. The match was both high-scoring and intense: the hosts took the lead, but Vitoria managed to turn the tide by scoring twice by the 34th minute. In the second half, the team conceded twice again, and defender Lucas Alter was sent off. Nevertheless, just two minutes later, Vitoria equalized to make it 3-3. It was only in the 97th minute that Vasco netted the winning goal, securing all three points on home turf.
⚫ This marked Vitoria's fourth defeat in their last five matches, heightening concerns around the club. In a broader context, Rodrigo Chagas Dias's side has only managed two victories in their last ten games, and their form remains worrying. The Salvador-based club is currently in the relegation zone, and any further setbacks could complicate their battle to stay in Serie A. The upcoming home derby against Bahia represents not only a chance to earn points but also an opportunity to reverse their prolonged slump.
Match Results: Vitoria
Bahia Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Serie A, where Bahia hosted Flamengo. The match concluded with a 1-0 victory.
Here's the match statistics (Bahia vs Flamengo):
- possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 1;
- fouls: 22 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 4 vs 3.
🔵 In the 27th round, Bahia secured a crucial 1-0 victory over Flamengo at Fonte Nova. The only goal of the match was scored by Willian José in the 45th minute of the first half. The game was intense: Flamengo were reduced to ten men in the first half following Danilo's sending-off, and the visitors received another red card in the second half. Despite the numerical advantage, the hosts were unable to extend their lead, but their opponents failed to pose any real threat to their goal. This victory keeps Bahia in 6th place on the league table, strengthening their position in the battle for a top-six finish in Serie A.
Match Results: Bahia
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Stats: Vitória (home) vs Bahia (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 13 vs 13;
- wins: 6 (46.15%) vs 3 (23.08%);
- losses: 4 (30.77%) vs 6 (46.15%);
- draws: 3 (23.08%) vs 4 (30.77%);
- average goals scored: 0.77 vs 1.23;
- average goals conceded: 0.31 vs 0.77.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- losses: 5 vs 3;
- draws: 0 vs 4;
- average first-half total: 1.4 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.8) vs 1.5 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.6).
- Bahia have conceded in the first half of their last 5 away matches (Serie A).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 47;
- Home wins - 12, Away wins - 16, Draws - 19.
Statistics: Vitoria vs Bahia
- Matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 26;
- Wins: 5 vs 12;
- Win percentage: 19% vs 46%;
- Losses: 12 vs 7;
- Draws: 10 vs 7.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 2 vs 4;
- Losses: 6 vs 5;
- Draws: 2 vs 1.
- Bahia have drawn their last three away head-to-head matches in Serie A.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Today's home side average goals scored - 1.06, away side - 1.23;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.3;
- Both teams scored: overall - 27 times; at the home ground - 15 times.
Statistics: Vitoria vs Bahia
- Average total in the tournament: 2.44 vs 2.46;
- Average goals scored: 0.89 vs 1.31;
- First half average total: 0.33 vs 0.58;
- Second half average total: 0.56 vs 0.73;
- Vitoria's home average total in the tournament - 1.15;
- Bahia's away average total in the tournament - 1;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.2) vs 1.6 (away - 1.33).
- Vitoria have scored at home in eight consecutive head-to-head matches.
- Bahia have conceded in seven consecutive away matches.
Corners Prediction
Vitoria: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.56; at home - 5.31;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.9; at home - 5.6.
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.15, away - 4.31;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.3; away - 3.5.
- Bahia have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in six of their last seven away matches.
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 5.06 (2.53 for home and away each);
- Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 4.46 (2.23 for home and away each).
Vitoria: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.78; at home - 2.46;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.9; at home - 2.8.
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.31, away - 2.23;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.4; away - 2.33.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head:
- Total encounters - 47;
- Both teams scored overall - 27 times;
- At the home ground - 15 times.
Statistics: Vitoria vs Bahia
- Total matches played in the tournament: 27 vs 26;
- Total matches with both teams scoring this season (BTTS): Vitoria - 13, Bahia - 14;
- BTTS for Vitoria at home - 7 (54%);
- BTTS for Bahia away - 7 (54%).
Last 10 matches:
- Total BTTS matches: Vitoria - 4, Bahia - 6;
- BTTS for Vitoria at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS for Bahia away - 5 (83%).
- Vitoria have both scored and conceded at home in five consecutive head-to-head matches.
- Bahia have both scored and conceded in six of their last seven away matches.
- Bahia have both scored and conceded in five consecutive away matches in Serie A.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Heading into their head-to-head clash, both teams are experiencing contrasting trajectories. Vitoria are facing significant challenges, with four losses in their last five matches and only two wins in their last ten games, indicating issues with form and mentality. Bahia, on the other hand, are gaining confidence; their victory over Flamengo demonstrated resilience and the ability to control crucial moments.
The upcoming derby is expected to be a tense, hard-fought battle where any mistake could be decisive. It's likely that both teams will focus on defense and tactical discipline, particularly in the first half. Nevertheless, our prediction: both teams to score (yes). Vitoria have both scored and conceded at home in their last five head-to-head matches against Bahia. Meanwhile, Bahia have scored and conceded in six of their last seven away matches this season. A draw seems probable - 1-1.
Betting Tips: Vitoria - Bahia
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
