Toluca vs Pachuca Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 27 October 2025
📣 In Liga MX, we're set for a clash between two formidable teams as Toluca host Pachuca. Both sides showcase different playing styles, adding intrigue to this matchup. Toluca are leading the league and are in excellent form, having won 8 of their last 10 matches. Their attack is highly productive, averaging nearly 3 goals per game. Meanwhile, Pachuca are aiming to secure a spot in the upper part of the table, but their recent performances reveal some inconsistency with only two wins in ten games. How will this battle conclude? Read our prediction below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended in a 3-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (home team - Toluca):
- possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corners: 4 vs 1;
- fouls: 12 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 9 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Toluca and Pachuca:
- 47 matches played;
- home wins: 19, away wins: 16, draws: 12;
- goals scored: 70 for Toluca, 67 for Pachuca;
- average goals in the first half: 1.26, second half: 1.66;
- average total goals per match: 2.91.
Head-to-head statistics Toluca - Pachuca
Deportivo Toluca Team Overview
The team's latest official match took place in the Liga MX tournament (home team - Tijuana, away team - Toluca). The match ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Toluca vs Tijuana):
- possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 15 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 0.
Toluca firmly hold the top spot in the standings, thanks to their impressive performances throughout the season. The team is in scintillating form, boasting five consecutive victories with no defeats in their last five matches, underscoring the high level of play from the "Diablos." They average nearly three goals per game, making them one of the most formidable attacking forces in the league. However, the number of goals conceded is also noteworthy, as their defense sometimes struggles to meet the challenges on the pitch.
Match Results: Deportivo Toluca
Pachuca Team Overview
The most recent official match for the current visitors was in the Liga MX tournament, with Pachuca as the home team and Tigres as the visitors. The game concluded with a scoreline of 1-2.
Here are the match statistics (Pachuca vs Tigres):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 3;
- fouls: 9 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 7;
- shots on target: 5 vs 8.
Pachuca are currently in seventh place and are looking to stabilize their performance after a mixed start to the season. In their last five matches, the team have secured two wins, suffered one defeat, and drawn twice, highlighting some consistency issues for the "Tuzos." Despite an average attacking output of around one goal per game, Pachuca manage to maintain a relatively solid defense thanks to organized defensive play and intense pressing on the opposition.
Match Results: Pachuca
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 47;
- First-half wins for the home team - 9; for the away team - 7; draws - 8;
- Average first-half total: 1.26;
- Today's home side scores an average of 0.62 goals, while the visitors net 0.64.
First-half Stats: Toluca (home) vs Pachuca (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 7;
- Wins: 5 (71.43%) vs 3 (42.86%);
- Losses: 2 (28.57%) vs 2 (28.57%);
- Draws: 0 (0%) vs 2 (28.57%);
- Average goals scored: 2.71 vs 2.14;
- Average goals conceded: 1 vs 0.86.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 6 vs 3;
- Losses: 1 vs 4;
- Draws: 3 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.8 (scored - 1.4, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.5 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.9).
- Toluca have scored in the first half in six consecutive head-to-head matches against Pachuca (Liga MX).
- Toluca have found the net in the first half in seven of their last eight matches (Liga MX).
- Toluca have scored in the first half at home in six of their last seven matches (Liga MX).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 47;
- Home wins - 19, Away wins - 16, Draws - 12.
Statistics: Toluca vs Pachuca
- Matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- Wins: 10 vs 6;
- Win percentage: 71% vs 43%;
- Losses: 2 vs 5;
- Draws: 2 vs 3.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 8 vs 2;
- Losses: 1 vs 5;
- Draws: 1 vs 3.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's hosts average goals scored - 1.49, visitors - 1.43;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.91;
- Both teams have scored: Over time - 25 times; At the home team's ground - 9 times.
Statistics: Toluca vs Pachuca
- Average total in the tournament: 3.93 vs 2.57;
- Average goals scored: 2.79 vs 1.36;
- Average total in the first half: 1.36 vs 0.79;
- Average total in the second half: 1.43 vs 0.57;
- Toluca: Average total at home in the tournament - 3.29;
- Pachuca: Average total away in the tournament - 1.71;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 2.9 (home - 4) vs 1 (away - 1.17).
- Toluca have conceded in 10 of their last 11 head-to-head encounters against Pachuca (Liga MX).
- Pachuca have scored in 18 of their last 20 away games (Liga MX).
- Pachuca have found the net in 9 of their last 10 away matches.
Corners Prediction
Toluca: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 4.93; At home - 5.43;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 5.5; At home - 4.75.
Pachuca: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 5.14, Away - 3.57;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 4.8; Away - 3.83.
- Pachuca have delivered more than 3.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 head-to-head meetings with Toluca (Liga MX).
- Pachuca have exceeded 3.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 matches (Liga MX).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.24 (1.62 for the home team and 1.62 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home team's ground - 2.83 (1.54 for the home team and 1.29 for the visitors).
Toluca: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 2.29; At home - 1.86;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 1.8; At home - 0.75.
Pachuca: Statistics
- Season: Average total in the tournament - 2.79, Away - 2.57;
- Last 10 matches: Average total - 2.9; Away - 2.67.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 47;
- Both teams have scored over time - 25 times;
- At the home team's ground - 9 times.
Statistics: Toluca vs Pachuca
- Total matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- Total matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 6;
- Toluca's BTTS at home - 6 (86%);
- Pachuca's BTTS away - 4 (57%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- Toluca's BTTS at home - 3 (75%);
- Pachuca's BTTS away - 4 (67%).
- Toluca have both scored and conceded in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head encounters with Pachuca (Liga MX).
- Toluca have both scored and conceded at home in 6 of their last 7 matches (Liga MX).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given Toluca's current form, we can expect an aggressive approach from the hosts. They will aim to capitalize on their attacking opportunities against a less consistent opponent like Pachuca. Statistics show that encounters between these teams often result in high-scoring affairs: the total has exceeded 3 goals in all their recent head-to-head matches. Therefore, it is reasonable to predict that this trend will continue. A bet on both teams to score seems quite logical. A 2-1 scoreline is possible.
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Betting Tips: Deportivo Toluca - Pachuca
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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