Estoril Praia vs Nacional Prediction 26 October 2025
🔊 The upcoming clash between Estoril and Nacional promises to be intriguing, given the current form of both teams. Estoril find themselves in a tough spot, sitting 16th in the table with a low win percentage in recent matches. Their average scoring performance leaves much to be desired. Meanwhile, Nacional are showing more consistent results and hold a comfortable 10th place. Considering the odds, we might witness a balanced contest on the pitch. Both teams will be eager to improve their standings, making this encounter particularly crucial for the hosts.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 15 February 2025 and ended in a 2-2 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Nacional de Madeira were the home side):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 7 vs 3;
- fouls: 15 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Estoril and Nacional de Madeira:
- 10 matches played;
- home wins - 4, away wins - 4, draws - 2;
- goals scored - 11 for Estoril, 13 for Nacional;
- average goals in the first half - 0.8, second half - 1.6;
- average total goals per match - 2.4.
Head-to-head statistics Estoril Praia - Nacional

Estoril Praia Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Portuguese Cup, featuring Belenenses as the home side and Estoril as the visitors. The match concluded with a scoreline of 1-2.
Here are the match statistics (Estoril vs Belenenses):
- possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
Estoril are going through a tough patch, having secured just one victory in their last eight Primeira Liga matches. Their most recent league game ended in a draw, further highlighting their inconsistent form. Out of their last five fixtures, the club have managed only two wins, with the remaining three ending in either defeat or a draw. On average, they score 1.25 goals per game while conceding 1.63 goals per match. Despite their defensive struggles, the team strives to maintain possession and build attacks through quick wing play.
Match Results: Estoril Praia

Nacional de Madeir Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Portuguese Cup (Rebordelo were the hosts, Nacional de Madeira were the visitors). The match ended with a scoreline of 1-3.
Here are the match stats (Nacional de Madeira vs Rebordelo):
- possession: 65% vs 35%;
- corners: 7 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 1.
Nacional de Madeira are displaying a more confident performance with three victories in their last five matches. The island team consistently picks up points thanks to organized defense and strategic counterattacks, which have positioned them 10th in the league standings. Their recent five-game stretch has seen them secure three consecutive wins after two losses, demonstrating their ability to quickly bounce back from setbacks. The outcome of their latest clash against Estoril was average, as the battle ended in a 2-2 draw-highlighting their capability to challenge even stronger opponents.
Match Results: Nacional de Madeir
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 4, draws - 2.
Statistics: Estoril Praia vs Nacional de Madeir
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- wins: 1 vs 3;
- win percentage: 13% vs 38%;
- losses: 4 vs 4;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
- Estoril Praia have not won in 7 of last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.1, the guests - 1.3;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.4;
- both teams scored: overall - 6; at the home team's field - 3.
Statistics: Estoril Praia vs Nacional de Madeir
- average total in the tournament: 2.88 vs 2.63;
- average total goals scored: 1.25 vs 1.13;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.75 vs 0.63;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 0.5;
- Estoril Praia: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Nacional de Madeir: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.6) vs 1.2 (away - 1.17).
- Estoril Praia have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games against Nacional de Madeir (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on corners
Estoril Praia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.25; at home field - 3.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.2; at home field - 3.4.
Nacional de Madeir: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.88, away - 4.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.4; away - 5.33.
- Estoril Praia have taken under 5.5 corners in last 12 home games (Primeira Liga).
- Estoril Praia have taken under 5.5 corners in 9 of last 10 games.
- Estoril Praia have taken under 5.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.6 (1.8 for home team and 1.8 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 5 (2.4 for home team and 2.6 for away team).
Estoril Praia: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.5; at home - 4.25;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3; at home - 3.8.
Nacional de Madeir: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.88, away - 3.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.9; away - 3.33.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 10;
- both teams scored all-time - 6 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Estoril Praia vs Nacional de Madeir
- number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 5 vs 4;
- number of BTTS matches for Estoril Praia at home - 2 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 1 (25%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Estoril Praia at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir away - 2 (33%).
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Estoril are going through a tough period, sitting in 16th place with just one win in their last eight matches. Their attacking play leaves much to be desired, as evidenced by their average of 1.25 goals per game. The trend shows that Estoril often fail to score more than 1.5 goals in head-to-heads against Nacional, which is worth considering for this prediction. Nacional de Madeira are showing strong form with three consecutive wins following a losing streak, highlighting their ability to bounce back and earn points through organized defense and counterattacks. Given these factors, it seems more likely that the visitors will continue their positive momentum. Considering the current trends of both teams and the odds, the most reasonable option is to bet on Nacional not to lose, as Estoril struggle with scoring and maintaining consistent performance.