Nacional vs Estoril Praia Prediction 15 March 2026

    🔊 The upcoming clash between Nacional de Madeira and Estoril promises to be intriguing, given the current form of both teams. Nacional are in a tough spot, struggling to pick up points in recent matches. Estoril, on the other hand, are showing more consistent results and sit comfortably in mid-table. Both sides are eager to improve their standings, making this match crucial for both teams.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 26 October 2025 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparative analysis of that match (Estoril were the home side):

    • possession percentage: 59% vs 41%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
    • fouls: 13 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 4.

    📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Nacional de Madeira and Estoril:

    • 11 matches played;
    • home team victories - 4, away team wins - 4, draws - 3;
    • goals scored - 14 for Nacional, 12 for Estoril;
    • average goals in the first half - 0.82, in the second half - 1.55;
    • average total goals per match - 2.36.

    Head-to-head statistics Nacional - Estoril Praia

    38%
    5 Wins
    23%
    3 Draws
    38%
    5 Wins
    Total games
    13
    Total Goals Avg
    2.23
    Both teams scored
    54%
    1.23
    Total average
    1
    2.31
    Yellow cards
    2.08
    Last matches
    16.08.26
    liga portugal
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    1
    2.08
    0.74
    7
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.08
    0.74
    7
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    15.03.26
    Primeira Liga
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    0.87
    1.35
    5
    4
    16
    13
    5
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.87
    1.35
    5
    4
    16
    13
    5
    3
    26.10.25
    Primeira Liga
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    1.62
    1.27
    6
    5
    13
    15
    3
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.62
    1.27
    6
    5
    13
    15
    3
    3
    15.02.25
    Primeira Liga
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    2.39
    1.26
    7
    3
    15
    14
    3
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    2.39
    1.26
    7
    3
    15
    14
    3
    3
    15.09.24
    Примейра-лига
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    22
    12
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    4
    22
    12
    2
    1
    Empty
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    Nacional de Madeir Team Overview

    The last official match took place on in the Primeira Liga, with Moreirense hosting Nacional de Madeira. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.

    Here are the match statistics (Nacional de Madeira vs Moreirense):

    • possession: 54% vs 46%;
    • corners: 7 vs 4;
    • fouls: 11 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 2.

    Nacional de Madeira find themselves in a challenging situation, sitting 15th in the standings with inconsistent performances. In their last five matches, they've managed only two draws and suffered three defeats, highlighting weaknesses both in attack and defense. Over their past ten games, Nacional average 1.2 goals per match, but they concede an equally concerning 1.6 goals per game. Despite these struggles, the team remains determined to climb the table and is working hard to improve their scoring efficiency.

    Match Results: Nacional de Madeir

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    liga portugal
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    Estrela
    Estrela
    0.65
    2
    4
    3
    12
    9
    2
    1
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0.65
    2
    4
    3
    12
    9
    2
    1
    L
    23.08.26
    liga portugal
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    2.81
    0.63
    4
    3
    18
    8
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    2.81
    0.63
    4
    3
    18
    8
    2
    1
    L
    16.08.26
    liga portugal
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    1
    2.08
    0.74
    7
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.08
    0.74
    7
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    W
    10.08.26
    liga portugal
    Santa Clara Azores
    Santa Clara Azores
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    1.5
    1.25
    4
    4
    15
    14
    2
    2
    2
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    1.5
    1.25
    4
    4
    15
    14
    2
    2
    D
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Maritimo Madeira
    Maritimo Madeira
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    -
    -
    8
    4
    -
    -
    3
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    4
    -
    -
    3
    2
    L
    Empty
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    Estoril Praia Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in the Primeira Liga, with Estoril as the home side and Casa Pia as the visitors. The game ended in a 0-0 draw.

    Here are the match statistics (Estoril vs Casa Pia):

    • possession percentage: 64% vs 36%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
    • fouls: 10 vs 11;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 2.

    Estoril have been putting in solid performances this season, currently sitting in 8th place in the standings. Over their last five matches, they have secured one win and suffered two losses, showcasing their ability to play an attacking game. With an average of 2.3 goals scored per match over the last ten games, their offensive prowess is evident. However, defense remains a weak spot, with 1.7 goals conceded per game posing a threat to their consistency. Estoril are eager to solidify their mid-table position and continue their push to climb higher in the rankings.

    Match Results: Estoril Praia

    Last matches
    22.08.26
    liga portugal
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    1.56
    0.7
    6
    3
    11
    14
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.56
    0.7
    6
    3
    11
    14
    1
    1
    L
    16.08.26
    liga portugal
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    1
    2.08
    0.74
    7
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.08
    0.74
    7
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    L
    07.08.26
    liga portugal
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    Famalicao
    Famalicao
    0.87
    1.29
    7
    6
    12
    13
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0.87
    1.29
    7
    6
    12
    13
    1
    2
    D
    31.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    CF Os Belenenses
    CF Os Belenenses
    -
    -
    6
    2
    -
    -
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2
    4
    -
    -
    6
    2
    -
    -
    2
    0
    L
    25.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    SCU Torreense
    SCU Torreense
    -
    -
    5
    5
    12
    11
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    5
    12
    11
    2
    0
    D
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 11;
    • home team wins - 4, away team wins - 4, draws - 3.

    Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Estoril Praia

    • matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
    • wins: 5 vs 9;
    • win percentage: 20% vs 36%;
    • losses: 13 vs 9;
    • draws: 7 vs 7.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 1 vs 5;
    • losses: 6 vs 3;
    • draws: 3 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Nacional de Madeir have not won in 10 of last 11 games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Estoril Praia will not lose(odds: 1.51)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.27, the guests - 1.09;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.36;
    • both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 3.

    Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Estoril Praia

    • average total in the tournament: 2.64 vs 3.52;
    • average total goals scored: 1.16 vs 1.84;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.44 vs 0.88;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.72 vs 0.96;
    • Nacional de Madeir: average total at home in the tournament -  1.42;
    • Estoril Praia: average total away in the tournament - 1.67;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.6) vs 2.3 (away - 2).
    Trends
    • Estoril Praia have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games against Nacional de Madeir (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Estoril Praia Total goals Under (1,5)(odds: 1.63)

    Prediction on corners

    Nacional de Madeir: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.2; at home field - 4.75;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; at home field - 5.4.

    Estoril Praia: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.4, away - 4.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.9; away - 4.4.
    Trends
    • Over 9.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Nacional de Madeir home games (Primeira Liga).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (9,5)(odds: 1.85)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 11;
    • both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 3 times.

    Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Estoril Praia

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 25 vs 25;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 15 vs 14;
    • number of BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir at home - 7 (58%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Estoril Praia away - 5 (42%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS matches for Estoril Praia away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.53)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (24/225, 10.7%);
    • Nacional de Madeir at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (3/12, 25%);
    • Estoril Praia away most often play: 2:2 , 3:0 (2/12, 16.7%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 11.53% (odds 7)
    2:1 - 8.19% (odds 9)
    2:2 - 8% (odds 11)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:1)(odds: 7)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering the current form of both teams and statistical trends, the match between Nacional de Madeira and Estoril might see the hosts scoring a minimal number of goals. Nacional have been struggling offensively, with less than 1.5 goals in their last six games. This is further highlighted by their overall inconsistency throughout the season. Given the trend of a low individual total for the hosts and its persistence, betting on Nacional de Madeira's individual total under 1.5 appears to be the most reasonable prediction for this match.

    Nacional de Madeir Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-143
    Published: 13/03/2026, 12:54

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    Betting Tips: Nacional de Madeir - Estoril Praia

    Nacional de Madeir have not won:
    cd-nacionalin 10 of last 11 games (Primeira Liga).
    Estoril Praia will not lose
    Everygame
    -185
    Nacional de Madeir have conceded:
    cd-nacionalgd-estoril-praia-1in 8 of last 9 games against Estoril Praia.
    cd-nacionalin 19 of last 21 home games (Primeira Liga).
    cd-nacionalin 18 of last 20 games.
    Estoril Praia will score goal
    Everygame
    -455
    Nacional de Madeir have scored under 2.5 goals:
    cd-nacionalgd-estoril-praia-1in 8 of last 9 games against Estoril Praia (Primeira Liga).
    cd-nacionalgd-estoril-praia-1in last 7 games against Estoril Praia.
    Nacional de Madeir Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -500
    Estoril Praia have scored under 1.5 goals:
    cd-nacionalgd-estoril-praia-1in 7 of last 8 games against Nacional de Madeir (Primeira Liga).
    Estoril Praia Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -154
    View more facts

    Nacional - Estoril Praia Table position

    Liga Portugal 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    9.
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    341261639-5142
    10.
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    341091554-5739
    11.
    Alverca
    Alverca
    341091535-5239
    13.
    Santa Clara Azores
    Santa Clara Azores
    34991632-4136
    14.
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    34971837-4534
    15.
    Estrela
    Estrela
    346121638-5630

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 0
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 7
    10 matches
    Scored - 12
    Conceded - 12
    0
    -11
    7 - Scored
    18 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    0
    1
    Draws
    3
    5
    Loses
    7
    Goal difference
    12
    Scored
    7
    12
    Conceded
    18
    2.4
    Match goals average
    2.5
    1.2
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.7
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.8
    3
    Both teams scored
    6
    75'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    129'
    View all stats