Nacional vs Estoril Praia Prediction 16 August 2026
🔊 In the 2nd round of the Portuguese football championship, Nacional da Madeira will play against Estoril. Both teams showed mixed football at the start of the season. Probably, given the home factor for Madeira, the match will not follow the most "high-scoring" scenario. The hosts will look to keep things tight. The visitors, having already struggled in attack, are unlikely to transform themselves dramatically.
Head-to-Head
📊 The last match between these two sides took place in mid-March. Estoril were away and won 1-0. Looking at the last 5 head-to-head games, 3 victories went to the upcoming match's away side. The other 2 ended in a draw.
Head-to-head statistics Nacional - Estoril Praia
Nacional de Madeir Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Santa Clara Azores, away team - Nacional de Madeir). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here's the game statistics (Nacional de Madeir vs Santa Clara Azores):
- ball possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 14 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
Nacional's last match ended in a draw against Santa Clara (2:2). Nacional performed surprisingly well in attack, achieving far greater results than advanced statistics suggested: 2 goals scored with an xG of 1.25. At home, the team will likely play in a much more defensive manner. With the support of the stands, significant results can be achieved. On top of that, of course, the style of play may also affect their attacking output. The opposition will be cautious. Nacional should not have much space for counter-attacks.
Match Results: Nacional de Madeir
Estoril Praia Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primeira Liga tournament (home team - Estoril Praia, away - Famalicao). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Estoril Praia vs Famalicao):
- ball possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 6;
- fouls: 12 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
Estoril played against Famalicão in the previous round (1:1). The home advantage did not help the team show good attacking play. Advanced statistics suggest good conversion (they created chances worth just 0.87 xG in total). But overperforming on conversion is unlikely to carry over into all subsequent league matches. The squad is not that dominant. So the trip to Madeira could come with serious problems in the attacking phase. Given that Estoril sometimes depends heavily on where the match is played, a draw would be quite a decent result.
Match Results: Estoril Praia
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 12;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 2;
- Average first-half total: 0.83;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.42, while the visitors net 0.42.
First-Half Stats: Nacional de Madeir (home) vs Estoril Praia (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 0 vs 0;
- wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average goals scored: 0 vs 0;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 2;
- losses: 3 vs 6;
- draws: 5 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.5 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 1.1).
- Estoril Praia conceded in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.17, the guests - 1.08;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.25;
- both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 3.
- Estoril Praia have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 games against Nacional de Madeir (Primeira Liga).
- Estoril Praia have scored under 1.5 goals in 11 of last 12 games (Primeira Liga).
- Estoril Praia have scored under 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 away games (Primeira Liga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
- on the home team’s field - 3 times.
Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Estoril Praia
- number of matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 1 vs 1;
- number of BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir at home - 0 (0%);
- number of BTTS matches for Estoril Praia away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 2 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Nacional de Madeir at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Estoril Praia away - 3 (60%).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 5, draws - 3.
Statistics: Nacional de Madeir vs Estoril Praia
- matches played in the tournament: 1 vs 1;
- wins: 0 vs 0;
- win percentage: 0% vs 0%;
- losses: 0 vs 0;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 1;
- losses: 5 vs 6;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
- Estoril Praia have not won in last 9 games (Primeira Liga).
⭐ Editor's Pick
It is extremely difficult to name an obvious favourite in this one. Nacional, of course, can feel comfortable on home soil - at the very least when it comes to defensive work. Estoril will most likely look to seize the initiative. However, they do not have the resources to achieve complete dominance away from home. Our editors believe the main action will unfold in the middle of the pitch. There will be plenty of battling, fouls, and defensive superiority over attack. For this reason, it is worth playing a bet on total under 3 goals.
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Betting Tips: Nacional de Madeir - Estoril Praia
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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