Wanderers vs Cerro Prediction 26 September 2025

    📢 The upcoming clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Cerro promises to be a tense affair. Both teams have been displaying inconsistent form, making the outcome of this encounter unpredictable. What will their head-to-head battle look like? Can we expect a high-scoring game? Read the prediction below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between these teams took place in June and ended with a scoreline of 1-2. Here's a comparative look at the stats from that encounter (home team - Cerro):

    • possession: 41% vs 59%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 3.

    📊Analytical review of previous official matches between Montevideo Wanderers and Cerro:

    • 38 matches played;
    • home wins - 14, away wins - 15, draws - 9;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 47 to 45;
    • average total goals per match - 2.42.

    Head-to-head statistics Wanderers - Cerro

    38%
    15 Wins
    23%
    9 Draws
    40%
    16 Wins
    Total games
    40
    Total Goals Avg
    2.4
    Both teams scored
    55%
    1.25
    Total average
    1.15
    1.73
    Yellow cards
    2.17
    Last matches
    28.03.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    -
    -
    7
    8
    -
    -
    2
    3
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    8
    -
    -
    2
    3
    26.09.25
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    6
    6
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    6
    6
    01.06.25
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    3
    5
    0
    0
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    5
    0
    0
    3
    2
    31.03.25
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    6
    5
    0
    0
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    5
    0
    0
    3
    2
    16.08.24
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    2
    Empty
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    Montevideo Wanderers Team Overview

    The team's latest official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Progreso as the home side and Montevideo Wanderers as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-0 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso):

    • possession: 47% vs 53%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 6.

    Montevideo Wanderers are facing a crisis, having failed to secure a win in nine of their last ten home matches in the Primera Division. The team struggles with scoring, as evidenced by the fact that fewer than 1.5 goals have been scored in twelve of their last thirteen games. Their recent form includes just one victory and four defeats in their last five outings, including a loss in their most recent match. With an overall win rate of just 20%, a three-game losing streak was only briefly halted by a single win before another defeat followed. Wanderers are in dire need of stability and clearly have issues with converting scoring opportunities.

    Match Results: Montevideo Wanderers

    Last matches
    28.08.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    1
    3
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    1
    3
    W
    23.08.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    2
    7
    -
    -
    1
    1
    5
    1
    2
    0
    3
    1
    -
    -
    2
    7
    -
    -
    1
    1
    L
    15.08.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Cerro Largo
    Cerro Largo
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    1
    5
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    5
    4
    -
    -
    1
    5
    D
    09.08.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    8
    5
    -
    -
    4
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    8
    5
    -
    -
    4
    4
    W
    05.08.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    1
    1
    5
    1
    4
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    1
    1
    L
    Empty
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    Cerro Team Overview

    The visitors played their last official match in the Primera tournament (home team - Cerro, visitors - Miramar Misiones). The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.

    The game statistics are as follows (Cerro vs Miramar Misiones):

    • possession percentage: 36% vs 64%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 6;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 3.

    Cerro have also struggled for consistency, managing just two wins in their last five matches and suffering three consecutive defeats before recently bouncing back with a 2-1 victory over Montevideo Wanderers earlier this summer. In their last ten outings, Cerro have secured three wins, suffered six losses, and drawn once, translating to a win rate of around 30%. The team has shown slightly better scoring form compared to their opponents, averaging 0.8 goals per game while conceding 1.24 goals.

    Match Results: Cerro

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    6
    2
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    2
    -
    -
    2
    2
    D
    21.08.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    13
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    4
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    -
    -
    13
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    L
    15.08.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Albion
    Albion
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    0
    0
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    1
    4
    -
    -
    0
    0
    W
    09.08.26
    Primera Division
    Danubio
    Danubio
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    11
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    11
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    W
    03.08.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Cerro
    Cerro
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    2
    -
    -
    3
    3
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 38;
    • Home wins - 14, Away wins - 15, Draws - 9.
    👉Prediction: Cerro Handicap (+1)(odds: 1.28)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-head Matches

    • Average goals by home team - 1.24, by away team - 1.18;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.42;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 22 times; at the home team's ground - 9 times.
    Trends
    • Under 2.5 goals has occurred in 6 consecutive home matches for Montevideo Wanderers (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (2,5)(odds: 1.58)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-head Matches

    • Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.26 (1.63 for the home team and 1.63 for the visitors);
    • Average total yellow cards at the home ground - 3.71 (1.47 for the home team and 2.24 for the visitors).
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (6,5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 38;
    • Both teams scored overall - 22 times;
    • At the home team's ground - 9 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.73)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both teams are struggling both offensively and defensively. However, the statistics reveal a noticeable trend: under 2.5 goals has been recorded in six consecutive home matches for Montevideo Wanderers, highlighting their low scoring rate (under one and a half goals in almost all recent games). Considering the current form of the teams and their statistical performance, a low-scoring match with few dangerous chances and standout moments can be predicted.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-182
    Published: 24/09/2025, 23:24

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    Betting Tips: Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro

    Montevideo Wanderers have lost:
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 6 of last 7 games.
    Cerro Win
    Bovada
    +270
    Cerro have not won:
    ca-cerroin 12 of last 13 away games (Primera Division).
    Montevideo Wanderers will not lose
    Everygame
    -370
    Montevideo Wanderers have not won:
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 9 of last 10 home games (Primera Division).
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 8 of last 9 games.
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 7 of last 8 games (Primera Division).
    Cerro will not lose
    Everygame
    -164
    Montevideo Wanderers have scored under 1.5 goals:
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 12 of last 13 games (Primera Division).
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin last 10 home games (Primera Division).
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin last 9 games.
    Montevideo Wanderers Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -250
    View more facts

    Wanderers - Cerro Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    11.
    Progreso
    Progreso
    1536617-2715
    12.
    Cerro
    Cerro
    1536613-2014
    13.
    Danubio
    Danubio
    1519512-1712
    14.
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    1526712-1712
    15.
    Miramar Misiones
    Miramar Misiones
    1533916-2412

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    2 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 14
    +4
    -3
    9 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    1
    2
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    9
    14
    Conceded
    12
    3.2
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    0.9
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    5
    Both teams scored
    4
    50'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    100'
    View all stats