Est. La Plata vs Independiente Prediction 26 July 2026
📢 Who shakes off their Apertura playoff exit faster? Estudiantes La Plata and Independiente both had decent group stages - first and fifth respectively - but neither made it past the opening round. Now they'll try to carry that regular-season form into the Clausura, and this time not fall apart when it matters.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 23 January 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Independiente):
- ball possession percentage: 40% vs 60%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 5;
- fouls: 9 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Estudiantes de La Plata and Independiente:
- played 37 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 16, for the away team - 10, draws - 11;
- number of goals - 53 against 41;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.89, in the 2nd half - 1.65;
- average total goals in the match - 2.54.
Head-to-head statistics Est. La Plata - Independiente
Estudiantes de La Plata Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Copa Argentina tournament (home team - Estudiantes de La Plata, away team - Club Atletico Rosario Central). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here's the game statistics (Estudiantes de La Plata vs Club Atletico Rosario Central):
- ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
- fouls: 9 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
Estudiantes La Plata had a solid Apertura group stage - finished top of their group - but went out in the first round of the playoffs. Over their last ten matches, they've lost just twice. The backbone of this side is the defence: 0.47 goals conceded per game on average, while up front they've been scoring 1.12.
Match Results: Estudiantes de La Plata
Independiente Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Copa Argentina tournament (home team - Union de Santa Fe, away - Independiente). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.
Here are the match stats (Independiente vs Union de Santa Fe):
- ball possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 1;
- fouls: 16 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
Independiente finished the Apertura in fifth place, then went out in the first round of the playoffs. They closed the tournament reasonably well - three wins from their last five. Across the Apertura they averaged 1.47 goals scored per game, though the defence was shakier: 1.35 conceded per match.
Match Results: Independiente
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 37;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 7; for visitors away - 5; number of draws - 5;
- Average first-half total: 0.89;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.51, while the visitors net 0.38.
First-Half Stats: Estudiantes de La Plata (home) vs Independiente (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- wins: 1 (11.11%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- losses: 1 (11.11%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- draws: 7 (77.78%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- Average goals scored: 0.33 vs 1.44;
- Average goals conceded: 0.11 vs 0.78.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 1 vs 4;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 7 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 0.6 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.3) vs 1.7 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 0.6).
- Estudiantes de La Plata have drawn in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 home games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.43, the guests - 1.11;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.54;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Estudiantes de La Plata vs Independiente
- average total in the tournament: 1.59 vs 2.82;
- average total goals scored: 1.12 vs 1.47;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.12 vs 0.65;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 0.82;
- Estudiantes de La Plata: average total at home in the tournament - 1.22;
- Independiente: average total away in the tournament - 1.11;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.17) vs 1.6 (away - 1.17).
- Estudiantes de La Plata have conceded in 10 of last 11 games against Independiente (Primera Division).
- Estudiantes de La Plata have conceded in last 7 games against Independiente.
- Independiente have scored in 22 of last 23 games.
- Independiente have scored in 20 of last 21 games (Primera Division).
- Independiente have scored in 9 of last 10 away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 37;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
- Independiente have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games (Primera Division).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (39/257, 15.2%);
- Estudiantes de La Plata at home most often finish matches: 0:1 (3/9, 33.3%);
- Independiente away most often play: 1:1 (3/9, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 14.15% (odds 5.5)
1:0 - 13.51% (odds 5.5)
0:0 - 12.2% (odds 6.15)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The bookmakers make Estudiantes La Plata slight favourites, with home advantage playing its part. Independiente are capable of making this a real contest, though - don't expect an easy night for the hosts. What stands out is the scoring record: 10 of the last 11 league meetings between these sides have produced at least two goals. That makes total goals over 1.5 a reasonable bet here. We're going with 1-1.
No comments
Betting Tips: Estudiantes de La Plata - Independiente
in 7 of last 8 home games (Primera Division)..svg)
in 10 of last 11 games against Independiente (Primera Division).in last 7 games against Independiente.in 22 of last 23 games.in 20 of last 21 games (Primera Division).in 9 of last 10 away games (Primera Division).
in 10 of last 11 Estudiantes de La Plata games against Independiente (Primera Division).in last 6 Estudiantes de La Plata games against Independiente.in 14 of last 15 Independiente games.in 12 of last 13 Independiente games (Primera Division).in last 7 Independiente away games (Primera Division).in 16 of last 18 away games.in 14 of last 16 away games (Primera Division).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
