Independiente vs Est. La Plata Prediction

    📢 What can we expect from the clash between Independiente and Estudiantes La Plata in the opening round of the Primera? The start of a new season offers both teams the chance to set their ambitions straight and kick off the championship with a win. Independiente will aim to capitalize on their home advantage and establish the right pace from the get-go. Estudiantes La Plata enter the season in high spirits after their Clausura triumph and will certainly look to reaffirm their status.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 11 August 2024 and ended with a scoreline of 0:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Estudiantes de La Plata):

    • ball possession percentage: 60% vs 40%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
    • fouls: 14 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 5.

    📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Independiente and Estudiantes de La Plata:

    • played 36 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 16, draws - 10;
    • number of goals - 40 against 52;
    • average total in the 1st half - 0.89, in the 2nd half - 1.67;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.56.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    27%
    10 Wins
    30%
    11 Draws
    43%
    16 Wins
    Total games
    37
    Total Goals Avg
    2.54
    Both teams scored
    59%
    1.11
    Total average
    1.43
    1.59
    Yellow cards
    1.46
    Last matches
    23.01.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    1
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    -
    -
    10
    5
    9
    10
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    10
    5
    9
    10
    2
    4
    11.08.24
    Primera Division
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    1
    Independiente
    Independiente
    -
    -
    6
    5
    14
    7
    3
    5
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    5
    14
    7
    3
    5
    09.09.23
    Football Cup
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    2
    4
    09.04.23
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Estudiantes La Plata
    Estudiantes La Plata
    -
    -
    4
    4
    15
    8
    3
    1
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    4
    4
    15
    8
    3
    1
    21.06.22
    PRI
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Estudiantes La Plata
    Estudiantes La Plata
    -
    -
    -
    -
    16
    11
    -
    -
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    -
    -
    16
    11
    -
    -
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    Independiente Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on as part of the Club Friendly Games tournament (home team - Montevideo Wanderers, away team - Independiente). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:2.

    Here are the game statistics (Independiente vs Montevideo Wanderers):

    • ball possession: 60% vs 40%;
    • corner kicks: 9 vs 2;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 0.

    Independiente finished last season on a high note, securing four wins in their final five matches, although they fell short of making the playoffs. Their strength lies in defense, conceding an average of just 0.6 goals per game over the last ten matches. The team is formidable at home, boasting a record that shows they rarely lose on their own turf.

    Match Results: Independiente

    Last matches
    22.05.26
    Football Cup
    Union de Santa Fe
    Union de Santa Fe
    1
    Independiente
    Independiente
    -
    -
    1
    5
    14
    16
    2
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    1
    5
    14
    16
    2
    4
    W
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    Independiente
    Independiente
    -
    -
    2
    3
    11
    14
    2
    2
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    2
    3
    11
    14
    2
    2
    L
    02.05.26
    Primera Division
    San Lorenzo
    San Lorenzo
    1
    Independiente
    Independiente
    2.77
    1.76
    7
    4
    13
    19
    2
    4
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    2.77
    1.76
    7
    4
    13
    19
    2
    4
    W
    24.04.26
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Riestra
    Deportivo Riestra
    Independiente
    Independiente
    0.72
    0.5
    1
    0
    16
    13
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0.72
    0.5
    1
    0
    16
    13
    1
    1
    L
    18.04.26
    Primera Division
    Independiente
    Independiente
    Defensa y Justicia
    Defensa y Justicia
    1.58
    1.15
    6
    5
    7
    12
    2
    2
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1.58
    1.15
    6
    5
    7
    12
    2
    2
    W
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    Estudiantes de La Plata Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on as part of the Copa Argentina tournament (home team - Estudiantes de La Plata, away - Ituzaingo). The match ended with a score of 4:0.

    Here are the game statistics (Estudiantes de La Plata vs Ituzaingo):

    • ball possession: 65% vs 35%;
    • corner kicks: 0 vs 0;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 1.

    Estudiantes La Plata head into their upcoming match riding an impressive five-game winning streak. Their attacking prowess sees them averaging 1.4 goals per match, while their defense remains solid, conceding just 0.7 goals on average. Notably, Estudiantes La Plata clinched the Argentine championship in December.

    Match Results: Estudiantes de La Plata

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    Football Cup
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    Club Atletico Rosario Central
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    9
    15
    2
    2
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    4
    9
    15
    2
    2
    W
    27.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Independiente Medellin
    Independiente Medellin
    2.19
    0.28
    9
    5
    11
    12
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    2.19
    0.28
    9
    5
    11
    12
    2
    2
    W
    21.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Flamengo
    Flamengo
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    0.94
    0.66
    3
    5
    9
    13
    2
    5
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.94
    0.66
    3
    5
    9
    13
    2
    5
    L
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Racing Club Avellaneda
    Racing Club Avellaneda
    -
    -
    1
    4
    1
    18
    2
    5
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    1
    18
    2
    5
    L
    06.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Cusco
    Cusco
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    1.72
    0.59
    3
    3
    8
    5
    1
    3
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1.72
    0.59
    3
    3
    8
    5
    1
    3
    D
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    Latest news

    Independiente

    The hosts enter the match without any squad issues.

    Estudiantes de La Plata

    The visitors have a significant absence: Santiago Arzamendia is still recovering from a torn cruciate ligament, with his return anticipated towards the end of August.

    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-head matches:

    • Total encounters - 36;
    • First-half wins for the home side (at home) - 2; for the visitors (away) - 4; number of draws - 9;
    • Average first-half total: 0.89;
    • Today's home team averages 0.36 goals in the first half, while the away team scores 0.53.
    Trends
    • Independiente have drawn in the 1st half in last 8 home games against Estudiantes de La Plata.
    • Independiente have drawn in the 1st half in last 7 home games against Estudiantes de La Plata (Primera Division).
    • Estudiantes de La Plata have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 games.
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw(odds: 1.73)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 36;
    • home team wins - 10, away team wins - 16, draws - 10.

    Statistics: Independiente vs Estudiantes de La Plata

    • matches played in the tournament: 0 vs 0;
    • wins: 0 vs 0;
    • win percentage: 0% vs 0%;
    • losses: 0 vs 0;
    • draws: 0 vs 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 4 vs 7;
    • losses: 3 vs 3;
    • draws: 3 vs 0.
    Trends
    • Independiente have not won in 6 of last 7 home games against Estudiantes de La Plata.
    • Estudiantes de La Plata have not lost in last 6 games.
    👉Prediction: Estudiantes de La Plata will not lose(odds: 1.59)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • the home team scores on average - 1.11, the guests - 1.44;
    • average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.56;
    • both teams scored: overall - 21; at the home team's field - 11.
    Trends
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Independiente games against Estudiantes de La Plata (Primera Division).
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 6 Independiente home games against Estudiantes de La Plata.
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 Independiente games against Estudiantes de La Plata.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1.5)(odds: 1.58)

    Prediction on corners

    Trends
    • Independiente have taken under 4.5 corners in last 5 home games against Estudiantes de La Plata.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Independiente Total Under (4.5)(odds: 2.1)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 36;
    • both teams scored all-time - 21 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 11 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.6)

    Correct score prediction

    Trends
    • Estudiantes de La Plata won 1:0 in 3 of last 4 games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Correct Score (0:1)(odds: 7)

    Editorial Prediction

    Independiente are considered the favorites for this clash, yet they face a particularly tricky opponent. The hosts have failed to win at home in six of their last seven head-to-head encounters against Estudiantes La Plata. The visitors are adept at containing Independiente and imposing a tactically challenging game. Given their status as the reigning Clausura champions, Estudiantes are once again poised to present significant challenges for the hosts. Therefore, we predict that the visitors will not lose.

    Our choice
    Estudiantes de La Plata will not lose at odds of -169*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (21 January 2026, 23:24)

    Betting Tips: Independiente - Estudiantes de La Plata

    Independiente have drawn in the 1st half
    ca-independienteestudiantes-de-la-platain last 8 home games against Estudiantes de La Plata.
    ca-independienteestudiantes-de-la-platain last 7 home games against Estudiantes de La Plata (Primera Division).
    Estudiantes de La Plata have drawn in the 1st half
    estudiantes-de-la-platain last 5 games.
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    -120
    Estudiantes de La Plata have won
    estudiantes-de-la-platain last 4 away games.
    Estudiantes de La Plata Win
    Everygame
    +235
    Independiente have not won
    ca-independienteestudiantes-de-la-platain 6 of last 7 home games against Estudiantes de La Plata.
    Estudiantes de La Plata have not lost
    estudiantes-de-la-platain last 6 games.
    Estudiantes de La Plata will not lose
    Everygame
    -200
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    ca-independienteestudiantes-de-la-platain 9 of last 10 Independiente games against Estudiantes de La Plata (Primera Division).
    ca-independienteestudiantes-de-la-platain last 6 Independiente home games against Estudiantes de La Plata.
    ca-independienteestudiantes-de-la-platain last 5 Independiente games against Estudiantes de La Plata.
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -154
    View more facts

    Independiente - Est. La Plata Table position

    Apertura Group A
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    Estudiantes de La Plata
    1694319-731
    2.
    Boca Juniors
    Boca Juniors
    1686222-930
    3.
    Velez Sarsfield
    Velez Sarsfield
    1677218-1228
    4.
    Talleres de Cordoba
    Talleres de Cordoba
    1675417-1326
    5.
    Independiente
    Independiente
    1666424-2024
    6.
    Atletico Lanus
    Atletico Lanus
    1666418-1524

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 14
    +2
    +6
    11 - Scored
    5 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    5
    1
    Draws
    3
    4
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    11
    14
    Conceded
    5
    3
    Match goals average
    1.6
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.5
    7
    Both teams scored
    3
    56'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats