Toluca vs Leon Prediction

    🔥 Toluca host Leon in a clash that promises to be eventful. The two teams find themselves on different ends of the standings, reflecting their current form and results. Toluca sit in fifth place, showcasing consistent performances, while Leon are striving to climb out of mid-table. Read the prediction for their duel below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams ended with a score of 2-4. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (León were the home side):

    • possession: 52% vs 48%;
    • corners: 5 vs 2;
    • fouls: 6 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 6.

    📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Toluca and Leon:

    • 30 matches played;
    • home team wins - 10, away team wins - 11, draws - 9;
    • goals scored - 49 by Toluca, 57 by Leon;
    • average total goals in the first half - 1.53, second half - 2;
    • average total goals per match - 3.53.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    35%
    11 Wins
    29%
    9 Draws
    35%
    11 Wins
    Total games
    31
    Total Goals Avg
    3.58
    Both teams scored
    74%
    1.71
    Total average
    1.87
    2.03
    Yellow cards
    1.68
    Last matches
    26.04.26
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1
    Leon
    Leon
    1.04
    1.15
    2
    7
    14
    14
    3
    3
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    0
    1.04
    1.15
    2
    7
    14
    14
    3
    3
    05.10.25
    Primera Division
    Leon
    Leon
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1.8
    2.53
    5
    2
    6
    12
    2
    2
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    1.8
    2.53
    5
    2
    6
    12
    2
    2
    09.02.25
    Primera Division
    Leon
    Leon
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1.04
    1.79
    1
    5
    9
    9
    3
    2
    3
    3
    2
    0
    1
    3
    1.04
    1.79
    1
    5
    9
    9
    3
    2
    02.11.24
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1
    Leon
    Leon
    1.69
    1.02
    4
    6
    10
    6
    5
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1.69
    1.02
    4
    6
    10
    6
    5
    2
    03.02.24
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Leon
    Leon
    -
    -
    6
    3
    7
    5
    3
    0
    4
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    7
    5
    3
    0
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Toluca Team Overview

    The last official match for the team took place in the Liga MX, with Mazatlán as the home side and Toluca as the visitors. The match concluded with a 4-3 scoreline.

    Here's the match statistics (Toluca vs Mazatlán):

    • possession: 59% vs 41%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 3;
    • fouls: 18 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 8 vs 6.

    Toluca are currently in fifth place. Over their last five matches, they have secured two wins, one draw, and suffered two losses. Despite this mixed form, they maintain a high scoring rate, averaging 1.9 goals per game while conceding an average of 1 goal. This indicates that the team is capable of creating dangerous opportunities in front of the opponent's goal, although they occasionally struggle defensively.

    Match Results: Toluca

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    -
    -
    4
    5
    20
    12
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    6
    5
    -
    -
    4
    5
    20
    12
    2
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1.83
    0.81
    1
    6
    9
    9
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.83
    0.81
    1
    6
    9
    9
    2
    0
    L
    07.05.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Los Angeles
    Los Angeles
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    9
    7
    1
    1
    4
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    -
    -
    3
    2
    9
    7
    1
    1
    W
    04.05.26
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    0.72
    1.45
    10
    4
    10
    14
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.72
    1.45
    10
    4
    10
    14
    1
    2
    L
    30.04.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Los Angeles
    Los Angeles
    Toluca
    Toluca
    -
    -
    1
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Leon Team Overview

    The visitors' last official match took place in the Liga MX, with León hosting Club América. The match ended 2-3 in favor of the visitors.

    Here are the match statistics (León vs Club América):

    • possession: 62% vs 38%;
    • corner kicks: 9 vs 3;
    • fouls: 13 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 4.

    León sit 10th in the standings and are eager to climb higher after securing four wins and one loss in their last five matches. The team adopts an attacking style with a focus on quick transitions from defense to offense, which enables them to consistently find ways to breach the opponent's goal - averaging 1.6 goals per match. However, their defense remains a concern, as they concede nearly two goals per game.

    Match Results: Leon

    Last matches
    26.04.26
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1
    Leon
    Leon
    1.04
    1.15
    2
    7
    14
    14
    3
    3
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    0
    1.04
    1.15
    2
    7
    14
    14
    3
    3
    L
    22.04.26
    Primera Division
    Leon
    Leon
    CF America
    CF America
    1.73
    1.52
    9
    3
    13
    12
    2
    0
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    1.73
    1.52
    9
    3
    13
    12
    2
    0
    L
    19.04.26
    Primera Division
    Leon
    Leon
    Juarez
    Juarez
    1.36
    2.05
    3
    8
    20
    4
    1
    0
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1.36
    2.05
    3
    8
    20
    4
    1
    0
    W
    11.04.26
    Primera Division
    Puebla
    Puebla
    1
    Leon
    Leon
    0.66
    1.06
    7
    8
    12
    16
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.66
    1.06
    7
    8
    12
    16
    3
    1
    W
    05.04.26
    Primera Division
    Leon
    Leon
    Atlas
    Atlas
    1
    1.86
    0.51
    10
    3
    11
    9
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.86
    0.51
    10
    3
    11
    9
    2
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 30;
    • home team wins - 10, away team wins - 11, draws - 9.
    Trends
    • Leon won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 14 away games against Toluca.
    • Leon won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 games (Liga MX).
    👉Prediction: Leon Handicap (+1.5) (odds: 1.55)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.63, the guests - 1.9;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.53;
    • both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 11.

    Statistics: Toluca vs Leon

    • average total in the tournament: 2.9 vs 2.85;
    • average total goals scored: 1.9 vs 1.06;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.82 vs 0.55;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.08 vs 0.52;
    • Toluca: average total at home in the tournament -  2.32;
    • Leon: average total away in the tournament - 0.56;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2.5) vs 1.6 (away - 1.25).
    Trends
    • Toluca have conceded in last 8 games (Liga MX).
    👉Prediction: Leon will score goal (odds: 1.45)

    Yellow Cards Bet

    H2H

    • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.94 (1.97 for home team and 1.97 for away team);
    • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.64 (1.93 for home team and 1.71 for away team).

    Toluca: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.26; at home - 2;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.1; at home - 2.25.

    Leon: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.18, away - 2.13;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; away - 1.75.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (4.5) (odds: 1.83)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 30;
    • both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 11 times.
    Trends
    • Toluca have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games (Liga MX).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.58)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (37/314, 11.8%);
    • Toluca at home most often finish matches: 3:1 (5/19, 26.3%);
    • Leon away most often play: 2:0 (5/16, 31.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    2:1 - 9.81% (odds 7.5)
    2:0 - 8.9% (odds 9.5)
    1:1 - 8.63% (odds 9.5)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (2:1) (odds: 7.5)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The clash between Toluca and Leon promises to be a thrilling spectacle, given both teams' scoring stats. Considering Toluca's recent trend of both scoring and conceding (in 7 of their last 8 matches), along with a similar pattern from Leon, a bet on both teams to score - yes appears to be the most logical choice for this encounter. A 2-1 scoreline is possible.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -179*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (24 April 2026, 17:06)

    Betting Tips: Toluca - Leon

    Toluca have drawn in the 2nd half
    deportivo-toluca-1leon-1in 7 of last 8 home games against Leon (Liga MX).
    deportivo-toluca-1leon-1in 6 of last 7 home games against Leon.
    2nd Half Draw
    MyBookie
    +185
    Leon have drawn
    deportivo-toluca-1leon-1in 4 of last 5 away games against Toluca (Liga MX).
    Draw
    MyBookie
    +345
    Toluca have not won
    deportivo-toluca-1in last 6 games (Liga MX).
    Leon will not lose
    MyBookie
    +175
    Toluca have not lost
    deportivo-toluca-1leon-1in 9 of last 10 games against Leon (Liga MX).
    deportivo-toluca-1leon-1in 8 of last 9 home games against Leon.
    deportivo-toluca-1leon-1in 7 of last 8 home games against Leon (Liga MX).
    deportivo-toluca-1in last 23 home games.
    deportivo-toluca-1in last 17 home games (Liga MX).
    Toluca will not lose
    Everygame
    -400
    View more facts

    Toluca - Leon Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Toluca
    Toluca
    17114243-1837
    2.
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    17106135-1636
    3.
    Cruz Azul
    Cruz Azul
    17105232-2035
    16.
    Mazatlan
    Mazatlan
    1728720-2914
    17.
    Leon
    Leon
    17341014-3113
    18.
    Puebla
    Puebla
    17331121-4212

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draws - 0
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 14
    +4
    -7
    15 - Scored
    22 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    5
    1
    Draws
    0
    5
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    15
    14
    Conceded
    22
    3.2
    Match goals average
    3.7
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    1.4
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2.2
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    52'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats