Toluca vs Leon Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 26 April 2026
🔥 Toluca host Leon in a clash that promises to be eventful. The two teams find themselves on different ends of the standings, reflecting their current form and results. Toluca sit in fifth place, showcasing consistent performances, while Leon are striving to climb out of mid-table. Read the prediction for their duel below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a score of 2-4. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (León were the home side):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 5 vs 2;
- fouls: 6 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Toluca and Leon:
- 30 matches played;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 11, draws - 9;
- goals scored - 49 by Toluca, 57 by Leon;
- average total goals in the first half - 1.53, second half - 2;
- average total goals per match - 3.53.
Head-to-head statistics Toluca - Leon
Deportivo Toluca Team Overview
The last official match for the team took place in the Liga MX, with Mazatlán as the home side and Toluca as the visitors. The match concluded with a 4-3 scoreline.
Here's the match statistics (Toluca vs Mazatlán):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 3;
- fouls: 18 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 6.
Toluca are currently in fifth place. Over their last five matches, they have secured two wins, one draw, and suffered two losses. Despite this mixed form, they maintain a high scoring rate, averaging 1.9 goals per game while conceding an average of 1 goal. This indicates that the team is capable of creating dangerous opportunities in front of the opponent's goal, although they occasionally struggle defensively.
Match Results: Deportivo Toluca
Leon Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place in the Liga MX, with León hosting Club América. The match ended 2-3 in favor of the visitors.
Here are the match statistics (León vs Club América):
- possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 3;
- fouls: 13 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 6 vs 4.
León sit 10th in the standings and are eager to climb higher after securing four wins and one loss in their last five matches. The team adopts an attacking style with a focus on quick transitions from defense to offense, which enables them to consistently find ways to breach the opponent's goal - averaging 1.6 goals per match. However, their defense remains a concern, as they concede nearly two goals per game.
Match Results: Leon
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 30;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 11, draws - 9.
- Leon won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 14 away games against Toluca.
- Leon won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.63, the guests - 1.9;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.53;
- both teams scored: overall - 22; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Toluca vs Leon
- average total in the tournament: 2.9 vs 2.85;
- average total goals scored: 1.9 vs 1.06;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.82 vs 0.55;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.08 vs 0.52;
- Toluca: average total at home in the tournament - 2.32;
- Leon: average total away in the tournament - 0.56;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2.5) vs 1.6 (away - 1.25).
- Toluca have conceded in last 8 games (Liga MX).
Yellow Cards Bet
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.94 (1.97 for home team and 1.97 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.64 (1.93 for home team and 1.71 for away team).
Toluca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.26; at home - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.1; at home - 2.25.
Leon: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.18, away - 2.13;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; away - 1.75.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 30;
- both teams scored all-time - 22 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
- Toluca have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games (Liga MX).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (37/314, 11.8%);
- Toluca at home most often finish matches: 3:1 (5/19, 26.3%);
- Leon away most often play: 2:0 (5/16, 31.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 9.81% (odds 7.5)
2:0 - 8.9% (odds 9.5)
1:1 - 8.63% (odds 9.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The clash between Toluca and Leon promises to be a thrilling spectacle, given both teams' scoring stats. Considering Toluca's recent trend of both scoring and conceding (in 7 of their last 8 matches), along with a similar pattern from Leon, a bet on both teams to score - yes appears to be the most logical choice for this encounter. A 2-1 scoreline is possible.
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Betting Tips: Deportivo Toluca - Leon
in 7 of last 8 home games against Leon (Liga MX).in 6 of last 7 home games against Leon.
in 4 of last 5 away games against Toluca (Liga MX).in last 6 games (Liga MX).in 9 of last 10 games against Leon (Liga MX).in 8 of last 9 home games against Leon.in 7 of last 8 home games against Leon (Liga MX).in last 23 home games.in last 17 home games (Liga MX).
Comparison of Teams Stats
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