Toluca vs Leon Prediction 3 September 2026

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Both Toluca and León come into this match in good form: the hosts have won four of their last five games, while the visitors have gone eight matches without defeat. In terms of average goals scored, both sides have been solid in attack - Toluca are averaging 1.9 goals per game over their last ten matches, while León's figure stands at 1.7. The last meeting between the two ended in a convincing 4-1 win for Toluca, but both teams are showing consistency at the moment and are rarely being beaten.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Statistical preview based on official meetings between Toluca and León:

    • 31 matches played;
    • home wins: 11, away wins: 11, draws: 9;
    • goals: 53-58;
    • average first-half total: 1.55, second-half: 2.03;
    • average total goals per match: 3.58.

    Head-to-head statistics Toluca - Leon

    35%
    11 Wins
    29%
    9 Draws
    35%
    11 Wins
    Total games
    31
    Total Goals Avg
    3.58
    Both teams scored
    74%
    1.71
    Total average
    1.87
    2.03
    Yellow cards
    1.68
    Last matches
    26.04.26
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1
    Leon
    Leon
    1.04
    1.15
    2
    7
    14
    14
    3
    3
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    0
    1.04
    1.15
    2
    7
    14
    14
    3
    3
    05.10.25
    Primera Division
    Leon
    Leon
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1.8
    2.53
    5
    2
    6
    12
    2
    2
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    1.8
    2.53
    5
    2
    6
    12
    2
    2
    09.02.25
    Primera Division
    Leon
    Leon
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1.04
    1.79
    1
    5
    9
    9
    3
    2
    3
    3
    2
    0
    1
    3
    1.04
    1.79
    1
    5
    9
    9
    3
    2
    02.11.24
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1
    Leon
    Leon
    1.69
    1.02
    4
    6
    10
    6
    5
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1.69
    1.02
    4
    6
    10
    6
    5
    2
    03.02.24
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Leon
    Leon
    -
    -
    6
    3
    7
    5
    3
    0
    4
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    7
    5
    3
    0
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    Toluca Team Overview

    Toluca are in strong form, having won four of their last five matches while averaging 2 goals per game. Over the previous ten matches, they showed high attacking output - nearly two goals per game - alongside reasonable defensive solidity, conceding fewer than one per match. That record reflects Toluca's attacking potential, particularly at home. The hosts can also draw confidence from winning the last head-to-head meeting 4-1. Even so, that kind of form is no guarantee of an easy game against a side with a solid unbeaten run.

    Match Results: Toluca

    Last matches
    31.08.26
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Juarez
    Juarez
    3.01
    0.24
    5
    3
    11
    8
    1
    1
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    3.01
    0.24
    5
    3
    11
    8
    1
    1
    W
    27.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Austin
    Austin
    2
    -
    -
    6
    8
    16
    12
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    6
    8
    16
    12
    3
    1
    W
    22.08.26
    Primera Division
    Queretaro
    Queretaro
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1
    1.81
    1.56
    7
    6
    15
    8
    3
    3
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.81
    1.56
    7
    6
    15
    8
    3
    3
    W
    15.08.26
    Primera Division
    Atlante
    Atlante
    Toluca
    Toluca
    0.78
    1.02
    8
    7
    9
    7
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.78
    1.02
    8
    7
    9
    7
    2
    0
    D
    13.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Dallas
    Dallas
    -
    -
    5
    4
    11
    20
    1
    4
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    5
    4
    11
    20
    1
    4
    W
    Empty
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    Leon Team Overview

    León are going through a strong run, having won four of their last five matches and gone eight games without defeat. Over their last ten matches, they have won seven and lost two, which points to a high level of consistency. León are also impressing in attack - their average stands at 1.7 goals per game over the longer term and is even higher this season. Defensively they look solid too, conceding fewer than one goal per game on average, which strengthens the balance across the team. That level of performance allows them to feel confident against opponents of varying quality and to compete for their targets regardless of where the match is played.

    Match Results: Leon

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    Primera Division
    Atlante
    Atlante
    Leon
    Leon
    0.9
    1.5
    3
    3
    19
    10
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0.9
    1.5
    3
    3
    19
    10
    2
    1
    D
    26.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    Leon
    Leon
    Real Salt-Lake
    Real Salt-Lake
    -
    -
    8
    3
    9
    13
    1
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    8
    3
    9
    13
    1
    2
    W
    22.08.26
    Primera Division
    Leon
    Leon
    1
    CF Monterrey
    CF Monterrey
    1.92
    1.49
    3
    10
    11
    12
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.92
    1.49
    3
    10
    11
    12
    1
    2
    W
    18.08.26
    Primera Division
    Necaxa
    Necaxa
    Leon
    Leon
    1
    1.44
    0.88
    7
    3
    15
    14
    2
    1
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.44
    0.88
    7
    3
    15
    14
    2
    1
    W
    12.08.26
    Leagues Cup
    Inter Miami
    Inter Miami
    Leon
    Leon
    -
    -
    11
    4
    2
    3
    3
    2
    2
    3
    1
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    11
    4
    2
    3
    3
    2
    W
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    Total Goals Prediction

    In the last five head-to-head meetings between Toluca and León, Total Goals - Over 2.5 has come in every time, pointing to a pattern of high-scoring encounters between these two sides. On top of that, Toluca average 3 goals per game at home, while León average 2 goals per game away. These figures support a high-scoring match and make the bet on Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 1.66* a reasonable one.

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Both teams have regularly scored in their last five head-to-head meetings, which supports the relevant trend. León have been highly prolific, scoring in 15 of their last 16 matches, while Toluca average 3 goals per home game. This increases the likelihood that both sides will get on the scoresheet. Both Teams to Score - Yes is priced at 1.61*.

    Reliable Bet

    Total Goals - Over 1.5 has landed in 12 of Toluca's last 14 matches, reflecting the team's high scoring rate. Both sides also have strong average goals-per-game figures this season. This bet looks reliable. Total Goals - Over 1.5 is priced at 1.18*.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are 1-1 (10.87%), 2-1 (10.29%) and 1-0 (9.68%). All three outcomes have similar probabilities, with a 1-1 draw the most likely result.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Both teams come into this match in good form, but León have the longer unbeaten run and have looked assured over their recent fixtures. Eight matches without defeat speaks to a high level of consistency. Toluca have kept scoring, but León's defence has been conceding fewer than one goal per game even against strong opposition. Head-to-head meetings have tended to produce goals, but the main focus here should be on defensive solidity. We think León's run will continue - the bet is: Double Chance - León.
    Leon will not lose
    MyBookie
    Place a bet-147
    Published: 01/09/2026, 10:07
    Yaroslav Saplenkov
    Yaroslav Saplenkov
    Snooker and football expert
    7
    0
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    Statistics for September 2026

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    Betting Tips: Toluca - Leon

    Leon have won:
    leon-1in 7 of last 8 games.
    Leon Win
    MyBookie
    +260
    Leon have not lost:
    leon-1in last 8 games.
    Leon will not lose
    MyBookie
    -159
    Toluca have not lost:
    deportivo-toluca-1leon-1in 10 of last 11 games against Leon.
    deportivo-toluca-1in 7 of last 8 games.
    Toluca will not lose
    MyBookie
    -455
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    deportivo-toluca-1in 12 of last 14 Toluca games.
    leon-1in last 6 Leon games.
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    -526
    View more facts

    Toluca - Leon Table position

    Stage 1 Group A
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Leon
    Leon
    33006-39
    2.
    CF America
    CF America
    32107-37
    3.
    Toluca
    Toluca
    32016-26
    4.
    CF Monterrey
    CF Monterrey
    32015-46
    5.
    Cruz Azul
    Cruz Azul
    32014-36
    6.
    Juarez
    Juarez
    32015-56

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 19
    Conceded - 9
    +10
    +8
    17 - Scored
    9 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    7
    1
    Draw
    1
    3
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    19
    Scored
    17
    9
    Conceded
    9
    2.8
    Match goals average
    2.6
    1.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    0.9
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.9
    5
    Both teams scored
    5
    47'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats