Leon vs Toluca Prediction

    ❓ León and Toluca are gearing up for an electrifying showdown that promises to be a true test for both sides. León, struggling to pick up points in recent matches, will host the league leaders, Toluca. Toluca are on an impressive winning streak, with their attack hitting a great stride. How will this clash conclude? Find out in the prediction below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between these teams ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw. Here's a comparison of the stats from that encounter (with León as the home side):

    • possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
    • corners: 1 vs 5;
    • fouls: 9 vs 9;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 0 vs 2.

    📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between León and Toluca:

    • 29 matches played;
    • home victories - 11, away victories - 9, draws - 9;
    • goals scored - 55 for León, 45 for Toluca;
    • average goals in the first half - 1.52, in the second half - 1.93;
    • average total goals per match - 3.45.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    35%
    11 Wins
    29%
    9 Draws
    35%
    11 Wins
    Total games
    31
    Total Goals Avg
    3.58
    Both teams scored
    74%
    1.87
    Total average
    1.71
    1.68
    Yellow cards
    2.03
    Last matches
    26.04.26
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1
    Leon
    Leon
    1.04
    1.15
    2
    7
    14
    14
    3
    3
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    0
    1.04
    1.15
    2
    7
    14
    14
    3
    3
    05.10.25
    Primera Division
    Leon
    Leon
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1.8
    2.53
    5
    2
    6
    12
    2
    2
    2
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    1.8
    2.53
    5
    2
    6
    12
    2
    2
    09.02.25
    Primera Division
    Leon
    Leon
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1.04
    1.79
    1
    5
    9
    9
    3
    2
    3
    3
    2
    0
    1
    3
    1.04
    1.79
    1
    5
    9
    9
    3
    2
    02.11.24
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1
    Leon
    Leon
    1.69
    1.02
    4
    6
    10
    6
    5
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1.69
    1.02
    4
    6
    10
    6
    5
    2
    03.02.24
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Leon
    Leon
    -
    -
    6
    3
    7
    5
    3
    0
    4
    1
    3
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    7
    5
    3
    0
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    Leon Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place in the Liga MX, with Juárez as the home side and León as the visitors. The match concluded with a 2-0 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (León vs Juárez):

    • possession: 44% vs 56%;
    • corners: 6 vs 3;
    • fouls: 13 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 4.

    León are currently sitting in 11th place and are navigating a challenging stretch this season. Over their last five matches, they have managed just one victory, with two draws and two losses. Their recent win offers a glimmer of hope for a turnaround in form, yet overall inconsistency remains an issue: only two wins against five defeats in their last ten outings highlight their struggles with performance. León typically aim to dominate possession, but their low average of goals scored (less than one per game) underscores their attacking woes.

    Match Results: Leon

    Last matches
    26.04.26
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1
    Leon
    Leon
    1.04
    1.15
    2
    7
    14
    14
    3
    3
    4
    1
    1
    1
    3
    0
    1.04
    1.15
    2
    7
    14
    14
    3
    3
    L
    22.04.26
    Primera Division
    Leon
    Leon
    CF America
    CF America
    1.73
    1.52
    9
    3
    13
    12
    2
    0
    2
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    1.73
    1.52
    9
    3
    13
    12
    2
    0
    L
    19.04.26
    Primera Division
    Leon
    Leon
    Juarez
    Juarez
    1.36
    2.05
    3
    8
    20
    4
    1
    0
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1.36
    2.05
    3
    8
    20
    4
    1
    0
    W
    11.04.26
    Primera Division
    Puebla
    Puebla
    1
    Leon
    Leon
    0.66
    1.06
    7
    8
    12
    16
    3
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.66
    1.06
    7
    8
    12
    16
    3
    1
    W
    05.04.26
    Primera Division
    Leon
    Leon
    Atlas
    Atlas
    1
    1.86
    0.51
    10
    3
    11
    9
    2
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.86
    0.51
    10
    3
    11
    9
    2
    2
    W
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    Toluca Team Overview

    The last official match for the current visitors took place in the Campeones Cup, with Los Angeles Galaxy as the home team and Toluca as the visitors. The match ended with a scoreline of 2-3.

    Here are the game statistics (Toluca vs Los Angeles Galaxy):

    • Possession percentage: 56% vs 44%;
    • Corners: 11 vs 1;
    • Fouls: 10 vs 14;
    • Yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
    • Shots on target: 7 vs 4.

    Toluca are topping the league, showcasing impressive form with seven wins in their last ten matches across all competitions. Their high scoring rate, averaging more than two goals per game, highlights a potent attack, while a solid defense concedes just one goal per match on average. Toluca are also performing confidently on the road, securing six consecutive away victories.

    Match Results: Toluca

    Last matches
    31.05.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    -
    -
    4
    5
    20
    12
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1
    6
    5
    -
    -
    4
    5
    20
    12
    2
    1
    W
    10.05.26
    Primera Division
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    Toluca
    Toluca
    1.83
    0.81
    1
    6
    9
    9
    2
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.83
    0.81
    1
    6
    9
    9
    2
    0
    L
    07.05.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Los Angeles
    Los Angeles
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    9
    7
    1
    1
    4
    0
    0
    0
    4
    0
    -
    -
    3
    2
    9
    7
    1
    1
    W
    04.05.26
    Primera Division
    Toluca
    Toluca
    Pachuca
    Pachuca
    0.72
    1.45
    10
    4
    10
    14
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0.72
    1.45
    10
    4
    10
    14
    1
    2
    L
    30.04.26
    CONCACAF CL
    Los Angeles
    Los Angeles
    Toluca
    Toluca
    -
    -
    1
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    1
    -
    -
    1
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    L
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Leon

    For the hosts, Daniel Arscila and Jane Barreiro will miss the match.

    Toluca

    The visitors will be without Luan, Hector Herrera, Osvaldo Virgen, and Everardo Lopez for the match.

    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 29;
    • home wins - 11, away wins - 9, draws - 9.

    Stats: León vs Toluca

    • matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
    • wins: 3 vs 8;
    • win percentage: 27% vs 73%;
    • losses: 5 vs 2;
    • draws: 3 vs 1.

    Last 10 Matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 7;
    • losses: 5 vs 2;
    • draws: 3 vs 1.
    Trends
    • León have won with a +1.5 handicap at home in 15 consecutive head-to-head matches (Liga MX).
    • León have won with a +1.5 handicap in 14 of the last 15 head-to-head meetings (Liga MX).
    • León have won with a +1.5 handicap at home in 6 of the last 7 matches (Liga MX).
    👉Prediction: Leon Handicap (+1.5)(odds: 1.35)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • today's home team average goals - 1.9, away team - 1.55;
    • average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3.45;
    • both teams scored: overall - 21 times; at home team's ground - 10 times.

    Stats: León vs Toluca

    • average tournament total: 2.55 vs 4.09;
    • average goals scored: 0.91 vs 2.82;
    • average first-half total: 0.45 vs 1.36;
    • average second-half total: 0.45 vs 1.45;
    • León: average home total in the tournament - 1.33;
    • Toluca: average away total in the tournament - 2.4;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 1.75) vs 2.4 (away - 2.2).
    Trends
    • León score less than 1.5 goals in 13 of their last 15 matches.
    👉Prediction: Leon Total goals Under (1.5)(odds: 1.46)

    Corners Prediction

    León: Stats

    • season: average tournament total - 4; at home - 4.5;
    • last 10 matches: average total - 4.5; at home - 4.5.

    Toluca: Stats

    • season: average tournament total - 5.36, away - 4.8;
    • last 10 matches: average total - 6.2; away - 6.2.
    Trends
    • León take more than 3.5 corners at home in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head encounters (Liga MX).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Leon Total Over (3.5)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches

    • average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.24 (1.62 for the home team and 1.62 for the away team);
    • average total yellow cards at the home ground - 3.53 (1.53 for the home team and 2 for the guests).

    León: Stats

    • season: average tournament total - 2.36; at home - 2.33;
    • last 10 matches: average total - 2.7; at home - 2.5.

    Toluca: Stats

    • season: average tournament total - 2.55, away - 3.2;
    • last 10 matches: average total - 2.1; away - 3.2.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (5.5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 29;
    • both teams scored overall - 21 times;
    • at home team's ground - 10 times.

    Stats: León vs Toluca

    • matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
    • matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 8;
    • BTTS for León at home - 3 (50%);
    • BTTS for Toluca away - 2 (40%).

    Last 10 Matches:

    • BTTS matches: 3 vs 6;
    • BTTS for León at home - 3 (75%);
    • BTTS for Toluca away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.51)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    The clash between León and Toluca promises intrigue due to the contrasting form and ambitions of the teams. León are struggling with their scoring, while Toluca are in peak form, showcasing impressive attacking prowess. Considering Toluca's track record of scoring more than 1.5 goals in many matches and León's shaky defense, betting on the over 1.5 individual total for the visitors seems like a well-founded prediction. A 1-2 scoreline is possible.

    Our choice
    Leon Total goals Under (1.5) at odds of -204*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (3 October 2025, 18:05)

    Betting Tips: Leon - Toluca

    Toluca have won
    deportivo-toluca-1in last 6 games.
    deportivo-toluca-1in 5 of last 6 away games.
    Toluca Win
    MyBookie
    -169
    Leon have not lost
    leon-1deportivo-toluca-1in 8 of last 9 home games against Toluca (Liga MX).
    Leon will not lose
    Everygame
    +131
    Leon have not won
    leon-1deportivo-toluca-1in 8 of last 9 games against Toluca (Liga MX).
    Toluca have not lost
    deportivo-toluca-1in 12 of last 13 games.
    deportivo-toluca-1in 7 of last 8 games (Liga MX).
    deportivo-toluca-1in 6 of last 7 away games (Liga MX).
    Toluca will not lose
    Everygame
    -556
    Leon have scored
    leon-1deportivo-toluca-1in 14 of last 15 home games against Toluca (Liga MX).
    Leon will score goal
    MyBookie
    -323
    View more facts

    Leon - Toluca Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Toluca
    Toluca
    17114243-1837
    2.
    Tigres UANL
    Tigres UANL
    17106135-1636
    3.
    Cruz Azul
    Cruz Azul
    17105232-2035
    16.
    Mazatlan
    Mazatlan
    1728720-2914
    17.
    Leon
    Leon
    17341014-3113
    18.
    Puebla
    Puebla
    17331121-4212

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    0 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 15
    Conceded - 22
    -7
    +4
    18 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    0
    Draws
    1
    5
    Loses
    5
    Goal difference
    15
    Scored
    18
    22
    Conceded
    14
    3.7
    Match goals average
    3.2
    1.5
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.8
    2.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    6
    Both teams scored
    6
    60'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    52'
    View all stats