Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 26 April 2026
📢 What can we expect from the Fiorentina vs. Sassuolo clash at the "Stadio Artemio Franchi" in the 34th round of Serie A? Since mid-February, La Viola have noticeably stepped up their game, collecting points more consistently and gradually distancing themselves from the relegation zone. The team appears more organized and confident than at the start of the season, yet the issue of inconsistency remains. The match against the Neroverdi is certainly set to be a challenging encounter.
Head-to-Head
📊 The head-to-head history between Fiorentina and Sassuolo in recent years shows a fairly balanced rivalry: out of 23 encounters, the Viola have secured nine victories, six matches ended in a draw, and the Neroverdi claimed victory eight times. In the first round of the current season, Sassuolo convincingly defeated their opponents at home with a deserved 3-1 win.
Head-to-head statistics Fiorentina - Sassuolo
Fiorentina Team Overview
🟣 Fiorentina have been consistently delighting their fans in recent months. Yes, the team exited the Conference League after losing to Crystal Palace with an aggregate score of 2-4, but they have been losing significantly less often. Since the start of February, the "Viola" have suffered only three defeats, which has allowed them to notably improve their standing in the league. They have climbed to 15th place in the table and increased their cushion from the relegation zone to 8 points, almost securing their spot in the top flight.
⚪ However, issues with inconsistency continue to surface. In the previous round, Fiorentina dropped points against Lecce (1-1), a team hovering near the relegation zone. Despite being favorites, the "Viola" looked unconvincing and were outplayed, managing only 5 shots in 90 minutes. They were fortunate to come away with a draw.
Match Results: Fiorentina
Sassuolo Calcio Team Overview
🟢 Sassuolo made their return to Serie A last summer with a straightforward goal: to maintain their top-flight status. Not only did they achieve this, but they exceeded expectations. After 33 rounds, the "Neroverdi" sit in tenth place with 45 points, enjoying a comfortable 17-point cushion above the relegation zone. Their place in the league is now secure.
⚫ The hallmark of Sassuolo this season has been their complete unpredictability. They can deliver a strong performance against any opponent, only to falter in the next game. For instance, on April 12th, the "Neroverdi" fell to Genoa (1-2), but a week later they defeated Como (2-1), who are in contention for a Champions League spot. This result was far from a fluke-despite playing on the back foot, Sassuolo looked sharper and more effective in attack.
Match Results: Sassuolo Calcio
Latest news
Fiorentina
📣 After a 1-1 draw with Lecce, Fiorentina's head coach Paolo Vanoli stated, "I'm pleased with the team's right mindset. The opponent fought for their lives, and in the past, we might have lost such a match. Now we keep our composure and take a point that could still prove crucial."
🚫 The hosts are facing significant squad issues: Niccolò Fortini is doubtful due to a muscle strain, and Moise Kean is dealing with physical discomfort. Marin Pongračić will miss the match due to suspension. Additionally, Fabiano Parisi (impact injury), Robin Gosens (thigh injury), and Tariq Lamptey (knee injury) will not be available.
Sassuolo Calcio
📣 After their 2-1 victory over Como, Sassuolo's head coach Fabio Grosso remarked, "I told the guys they moved me: they delivered a truly masterful performance. We chose the right moments, played with courage, and deserved the win. I'm proud of what the team has already accomplished and what's still ahead."
🚫 The visitors face their own lineup challenges: Edoardo Pieragnolo (muscle injury), Fali Candé (muscle injury), and Derry Bakkola (physical ailment) are all doubtful, while Domenico Berardi will miss the match due to suspension. Additionally, Filippo Romagna (knee injury) and Daniel Boloca (meniscus injury) will not be playing.
⚽️ Goal Prediction
Meetings between Fiorentina and Sassuolo are usually entertaining affairs: the over 2.5 goals bet has come through in 7 of their last 8 Serie A clashes. The only exception was a match in January 2024 (1-0), but even then, we could have seen more goals-three were disallowed after VAR reviews, and the "Viola" missed a penalty. We believe such misfortunes are unlikely to repeat in the upcoming encounter.
🚩 Corner Prediction
The "Viola" aren't known for earning a high number of corners. On average, the team takes about 4.5 corners per match, which is around the league average. Furthermore, Fiorentina have earned fewer than 6.5 corners in eight consecutive games. There is every reason to expect this trend to continue in their upcoming match.
Editorial Prediction
According to the bookmakers, Fiorentina are favored in this matchup, and that makes sense considering their home advantage and greater motivation in the standings. However, both teams have shown inconsistency throughout the season, making a bet on the outcome rather risky. Nonetheless, the match could very well be high-scoring. Head-to-head encounters between these two often feature plenty of goals and rarely end one-sidedly. In fact, Fiorentina and Sassuolo have exchanged goals in 10 of their last 11 Serie A meetings. Additionally, Sassuolo have both scored and conceded in six of their last seven league matches, so betting on both teams to score (yes) seems like a reasonable choice. It's quite possible the hosts could edge out a 2-1 victory.
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Betting Tips: Fiorentina - Sassuolo Calcio
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