Monza vs Napoli Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 28 October 2026
📢 A Serie A newcomer against the Italian runners-up - it's one of the more intriguing fixtures of matchday nine. Monza host Napoli at the U-Power Stadium, though despite the gap in status between the two clubs, both sides go into the match sitting in mid-table. Napoli have noticeably dropped off compared to previous seasons, regularly dropping points and so far failing to meet their supporters' expectations. Monza will look to take advantage of their more illustrious opponents' difficulties, with the added benefit of playing in front of their own fans.
Monza rarely manage to beat Napoli
📊 The head-to-head record between Monza and Napoli over recent years spans just six matches, and the Neapolitans hold a clear advantage. Napoli have won four times, while Monza have managed just one victory, with one match ending in a draw. The two sides last met in the 2024/25 season, which proved extremely difficult for Monza. Napoli won both fixtures as expected and kept a clean sheet in each: first winning 2-0 at home, then taking a narrow 1-0 victory away.
Head-to-head statistics Monza - Napoli
Monza are still struggling to find consistency
Monza have struggled for consistency at the start of the new season. The Brianzoli have been alternating defeats with matches in which they pick up points, and have so far been unable to put together any kind of sustained run. That said, for a newly promoted side these results are not catastrophic - the club's main objective is simply to stay in the top flight. After eight rounds, Monza have seven points and sit 15th in the table, not far above the relegation zone.
In the previous round, the Brianzoli came close to taking something from their away fixture against Torino. It was a high-scoring match that ended in a 3-2 defeat for Monza. The narrow margin, however, does not fully reflect what happened on the pitch. Despite scoring twice, the visitors were clearly second best in terms of quality and spent most of the game defending. The statistics back up Torino's dominance: the hosts had 17 shots to Monza's 7, and led 3-1 in clear-cut chances.
Match Results: Monza
Napoli remain well off the pace set by the league leaders
Napoli cannot look back on the start of the new season with any satisfaction either. Tenth place after eight rounds is a plainly disappointing return for the Italian runners-up, with the Partenopei managing just 11 points in that period and falling well behind the league leaders. Things have not been going well for them not only in Serie A but in the Champions League as well.
In the previous round, Napoli missed a fine opportunity to improve their position in the table, drawing 3-3 at home to Roma. Roma have been playing excellent football this season and are genuine title contenders, but the hosts had every chance of winning the match. Napoli led by two goals at one stage, then went ahead again at 2-2, yet they could not hold on: their opponents equalised in the 89th minute.
The poor start has also been getting to Napoli head coach Massimiliano Allegri. After Leonardo Balerdi's equaliser was confirmed by VAR, the 59-year-old reacted furiously to the officials' decision and was shown a red card. According to the Serie A disciplinary committee's ruling, he used offensive language towards the referees, continued the confrontation in the tunnel and behaved aggressively towards a Roma representative. He will miss the match against Monza.
Match Results: Napoli
Latest news
Monza
❌ Monza have two confirmed absentees ahead of the match. Jan Ziółkowski and Matteo Pessina remain sidelined with injuries, while Yvan Maye is doubtful due to fitness concerns.
Napoli
❌ Napoli have significant injury concerns. Alessandro Buongiorno, Benoît Badiashile, Alisson Santos, Costantino Favasuli, David Neres and Leonardo Spinazzola remain sidelined, while Amir Rrahmani is doubtful.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Monza are a real gift for fans of high-scoring football. Across eight rounds, their matches have produced 33 goals - more than any other Serie A side. The newly promoted club not only concede freely but also score regularly themselves, with a goals record of 15:18. It is no surprise that both teams have scored in 6 of Monza's last 7 matches. Given Napoli's defensive problems, we expect that trend to continue. Our bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes at odds of 1.67*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Napoli earn a high number of corners even away from home. In 8 of their last 9 away Serie A matches, they have won at least five corners. Against Monza, the Partenopei will likely look to take the initiative and attack more frequently. We are therefore backing Napoli Team Total Corners - Over 4.5 at odds of 1.68*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Napoli are clearly superior to Monza in terms of individual quality, particularly in attack. Their technically gifted players are capable of causing the home defence regular problems, forcing the opposition into tactical fouls. Given the visitors' expected dominance in possession and attacking activity, we anticipate that the Biancorossi will commit more fouls and pick up more bookings. Our bet is Monza to receive more yellow cards than Napoli.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The bookmakers make Napoli clear favourites for this match, and that assessment is hard to argue with. However, the team are currently in a state where they are unlikely to avoid difficulties in the upcoming game, especially away from home. Monza, for their part, are not afraid of open football and are regularly involved in high-scoring matches, which is why we are going with Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 2-3.
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Betting Tips: Monza - Napoli
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in 21 of last 22 home games.in 19 of last 20 games.in last 7 games (Serie A).
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