Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 22 October 2026
🔉 Jagiellonia are playing in the Europa League league phase for the first time in their history and have already picked up their first win, beating Ararat-Armenia 3-1. Anderlecht, by contrast, are yet to open their account: defeats to Lyon (1-2) and Dinamo Zagreb (0-1) have left the Belgian side in the relegation zone. But the table doesn't tell the full story - Anderlecht have performed better than their zero points suggest, while Jagiellonia are struggling in the Polish Ekstraklasa and come into this match on the back of four consecutive league defeats. The question isn't who has the stronger squad on paper, but whose psychological hole is deeper.
Head-to-Head
📊 The two sides have never met before - not in European competition, not in friendlies. This is their first ever head-to-head match.
Jagiellonia: A Glimmer of European Hope Amidst the Champions’ Struggles
Jagiellonia come into the third matchday with a paradoxical set of statistics. In the Europa League they have three points, with a defeat against Olympiacos (1-2) and a win over Ararat (3-1). In the Polish league, however, things have been dire: four consecutive defeats, 13th place, and just four points above the relegation zone. Domestically, the team have failed to score more than one goal in four successive matches, and across all competitions they are conceding an average of 1.53 goals per game. The European success looks more like an exception than a new pattern.
At home in attack, Jagiellonia do carry a threat: they have scored in each of their last five home matches across all competitions, though they have also conceded in four of those five. High pressing and sustained pressure in the opposition half is the hosts' trademark, but the downside is defensive vulnerability. Against Anderlecht, who like to operate on the counter-attack, that could cause problems.
Match Results: Jagiellonia Bialystok
Anderlecht: Zero Points, But Far From Zero Performance
Anderlecht lost both of their opening Europa League matches, but they did not look like pushovers in either game. Against Lyon, the Belgians were almost level on expected goals (1.35 vs 1.67), and against Dynamo they lost by a single goal despite generating enough chances for more than one, with an xG of 1.14. In the Belgian league, things look better: three wins from their last three fixtures, including a 3-0 thrashing of Zulte Waregem. The gap between their results and performances in Europe is the main argument for the idea that Anderlecht will eventually convert that into points.
Away from home, the team tends to rely on counter-attacks and quick transitions, but their defensive line is going through a personnel crisis. In their last eight away Europa League matches, Anderlecht won more than four corners only once and won the corners battle only once. The attacking potential is there - they scored in six of their last eight matches - but their finishing in Europe has been lacking.
Match Results: RSC Anderlecht
Latest news
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Nik Prelec suffered a ligament injury to his ankle in the match against Górnik (1:3) and will miss several weeks. First-choice right back Norbert Wojtuszek has had an operation for a hernia and will not return until at least the next international break. Usman Sow is also unavailable.
RSC Anderlecht
Anderlecht are facing a defensive crisis, with four defenders ruled out. Julien Biancone is still recovering from a thigh muscle injury and has not been included in the squad. Killian Sardella has suffered a muscle fibre tear, Eli Camara a broken foot, and Lucas Haye a fracture. The coaching staff will have to reorganise the centre and right side of the defence using rotation players, which has already contributed to instability in recent matches.
Predicted Lineups
Predicted starting XI - Jagiellonia: Abramowicz - Conceição, Vital, Kobayashi, Wdowik - Klünge, Romańczuk, Imaz - Józwiak, Rallis, Szymyt.
Predicted starting XI - Anderlecht: Coosemans - Barry, Petro, Omobamidele, Ryabchuk - De Greef, Asghar, Ambrose - Stroeykens, Cvetković, Winkler.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Recent matches involving both sides have featured plenty of bookings: at least four cards were shown in two of Jagiellonia's last three matches and in two consecutive Anderlecht games. The match in Poland looks set to be a tense affair, with the hosts needing points to consolidate their play-off position and the visitors needing them to climb out of the relegation zone. The pick here is Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5 at 1.55*.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Anderlecht have scored more than one goal in just one of their last seven away Europa League matches. Jagiellonia have conceded more than one goal in just two of their last ten home games in the competition. The hosts' defence is far from perfect, but Anderlecht, without four defenders, are unlikely to commit to an open game and will probably look to control things through midfield possession. The pick is Anderlecht Team Total - Under 1.5 at 1.67*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Anderlecht have won no more than four corners in six of their last eight away Europa League matches and have won the corners count just once during that run. Jagiellonia tend to dominate at home and press forward, which usually gives them the edge in set-piece situations. The prediction is Anderlecht Team Total Corners - Under 4.5 at 2.19*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Jagiellonia are aggressive at home and score regularly, but their defence leaves space. Anderlecht have lost a number of defensive players, which has not helped their stability at the back. That said, the match may not produce a high number of goals, though both sides have a chance to score. The main bet for this game is Both Teams to Score - Yes. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Jagiellonia Bialystok - RSC Anderlecht
in 7 of last 8 games.
in 16 of last 17 away games.in 7 of last 8 games.in 14 of last 15 Jagiellonia Bialystok games.in last 6 Jagiellonia Bialystok games (Europa League).in last 11 RSC Anderlecht games.in last 9 RSC Anderlecht away games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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