Bahia Ba vs Santos Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 August 2025
π On Sunday, Bahia will host Santos in the 21st round of Brazil's Serie A. The hosts are riding high in the upper part of the table and enter the match on the back of a victory over Corinthians and a successful outing in the Copa do Nordeste semifinals against CearΓ‘. In contrast, Santos are going through a rough patch, sitting in 15th place after a heavy defeat to Vasco da Gama and a recent managerial change. Given their current form and home advantage, Bahia are clear favorites. The match is expected to be dominated by the home side.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 06 April 2025 and ended in a 2-2 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Santos were the home side):
- possession: 55% vs 45%;
- corners: 9 vs 3;
- fouls: 13 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
π Statistical preview of official encounters between Bahia and Santos:
- 24 matches played;
- home victories - 5, away victories - 12, draws - 7;
- goals scored - 23 for Bahia, 36 for Santos;
- average goals in the 1st half - 1.04, in the 2nd half - 1.42;
- average total goals per match - 2.46.
Head-to-head statistics Bahia Ba - Santos
Bahia Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Copa do Nordeste semifinals, where Bahia hosted CearΓ‘. The match ended with a 1-0 victory.
Here are the game statistics (Bahia vs CearΓ‘):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corners: 5 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
β Recently, Bahia have been showcasing strong form. In the league, they secured an away victory against Corinthians (2-1), and midweek, they defeated CearΓ‘ (1-0) in the Copa do Nordeste semifinals, booking their place in the tournament final. Currently, Bahia sit 4th in Serie A with 33 points and are on a 7-match unbeaten run across all competitions, with 4 wins and 3 draws. The upcoming match against Santos is crucial for the team: a victory will keep them in contention for third place, while a loss could set them back from that goal.
Match Results: Bahia
Santos Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in Serie A - Round 20 (Santos were the hosts, Vasco da Gama were the visitors). The match ended with a scoreline of 0-6.
Here are the match statistics (Santos vs Vasco da Gama):
- possession: 41% vs 59%;
- corners: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 2 vs 9.
β« Santos have shown inconsistent form in recent matches. Following a draw with Sport Recife (2-2) and victories over Juventude (2-1) and Cruzeiro (2-0), the team began to climb out of the lower reaches of the table. However, they suffered a crushing home defeat to Vasco da Gama (0-6) in their most recent outing. Currently sitting in 15th place, just two points clear of the relegation zone, Santos face a crucial match against Bahia. A win would edge them closer to mid-table security, while another loss could severely complicate their fight to remain in Serie A.
Match Results: Santos
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 24;
- First-half wins for the home team - 1; for the away team - 0; draws - 11;
- Average first-half total: 1.04;
- Today's home team averages 0.38 goals, while the away team nets 0.67.
First-Half Statistics: Bahia (home) vs Santos (away)
- Matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 10;
- Wins: 5 (55.56%) vs 3 (30%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 3 (30%);
- Draws: 4 (44.44%) vs 4 (40%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 0.9;
- Average goals conceded: 0.22 vs 0.4.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 4 vs 3;
- Losses: 2 vs 4;
- Draws: 4 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.5) vs 1 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.5).
- Santos have conceded in the first half for five consecutive matches (Serie A).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 24;
- Home wins - 5, Away wins - 12, Draws - 7.
Statistics: Bahia vs Santos
- Matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 19;
- Wins: 9 vs 6;
- Win percentage: 50% vs 32%;
- Losses: 3 vs 10;
- Draws: 6 vs 3.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 5;
- Losses: 1 vs 4;
- Draws: 5 vs 1.
- Santos have won with a +1.5 handicap in the last 6 head-to-head meetings.
- Santos have won with a +1.5 handicap in 28 of their last 30 matches.
- Santos have won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of their last 19 Serie A matches.
- Santos have won with a +1.5 handicap away in 14 of their last 15 matches.
- Santos have won with a +1.5 handicap away in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's home team average goals - 0.96, away team - 1.5;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.46;
- Both teams scored: overall - 9 times; at the home field - 5 times.
Statistics: Bahia vs Santos
- Average total in the tournament: 2.33 vs 2.58;
- Average goals scored: 1.39 vs 1.05;
- Average first-half total: 0.67 vs 0.47;
- Average second-half total: 0.72 vs 0.58;
- Bahia: average home total in the tournament - 1.78;
- Santos: average away total in the tournament - 1;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 2) vs 1.3 (away - 1.6).
- Total over 2.5 goals has hit in Bahia's last 5 home Serie A matches.
- Total over 2.5 goals has hit in Santos' last 6 Serie A matches.
Corner Prediction
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.5; at home - 4.33;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.8; at home - 5.
Santos: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.32, away - 3.3;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.5; away - 2.6.
- Santos have delivered more than 3.5 corners in 9 of the last 10 head-to-head encounters.
Card Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.92 (1.96 for the home team and 1.96 for the visitors);
- Average total yellow cards at the home field - 3.25 (1.83 for the home team and 1.42 for the visitors).
Bahia: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.22; at home - 2.22;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.1; at home - 1.8.
Santos: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.63, away - 2.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.3; away - 1.8.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 24;
- Both teams scored overall - 9 times;
- At the home field - 5 times.
Statistics: Bahia vs Santos
- Total matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 19;
- Total matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 9;
- BTTS for Bahia at home - 6 (67%);
- BTTS for Santos away - 5 (50%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 4 vs 5;
- BTTS for Bahia at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS for Santos away - 3 (60%).
β Editorial Prediction
Bahia enter the match with a clear edge. The team is on a 7-game unbeaten streak, consistently picking up points and playing at home, while Santos are in a deep crisis following a heavy defeat and sit just two points above the relegation zone. The hosts appear to be the clear favorites for this clash. We predict a Bahia victory. Likely scoreline - 2-0.
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Betting Tips: Bahia - Santos
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