Alverca vs Arouca Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
π Alverca have won three consecutive Primeira Liga matches, and another victory would see them draw level with Arouca. There are currently three points between the sides: the visitors sit fifth with 14, while the hosts are ninth with 11. But Arouca arrive with a run of their own. The club changed manager in October, and under VΓtor Severino they are yet to lose. Whose run survives Saturday?
Head-to-Head
Alverca beat Arouca 2-1 in their most recent Primeira Liga meeting, despite having just 36% possession and being outshot 14-7. Shots on target were level at 3-3.
The two sides have taken turns winning at home in their two head-to-head meetings. On aggregate goals, Alverca and Aroca are level at 2-2.
Head-to-head statistics Alverca - Arouca

Alverca Team Overview
Alverca lost their last match away to Tondela in the Portuguese Cup, going down 2-0. Despite having 59% possession and launching 154 attacks to their opponents' 110, they managed only six shots to Tondela's ten.
Alverca boast a potent attack but remain vulnerable at the back. After eight rounds, SΓ©rgio Ferreiraβs side have scored 13 goals while conceding 12. Their only clean sheet came at home against Rio Ave (1-0). Their attack has been the key to their winning run: Alverca have netted seven times in their last two away fixtures in the Primeira. Against FamalicΓ£o, the match was level at halftime, but Ferreiraβs men struck three times after the break to secure victory. However, Alverca crashed out of the Portuguese Cup. Their tie in Tondela finished goalless in regular time, but Alverca conceded twice in extra time and fell to a 0-2 defeat.
Match Results: Alverca

Arouca Team Overview
During the week, Arouca beat Belenenses in the Portuguese Cup (4-3). They led 1-0 at half-time. Both sides had an equal number of shots - ten each - though Arouca created more dangerous attacks: 86 to 52.
In early October, Aroca lost their manager: Vasco Seabra left for Rio Ave, who paid a million euros in compensation to secure his services. The club appointed 43-year-old VΓtor Severino as his replacement. It is his first job as a head coach in his own right - until now, Severino had spent many years working as an assistant. The start has been a positive one. In his first match in charge, Aroca beat Estrela at home, with forward Ivan Barbero heading in the only goal on the fifth minute from a cross by NaΓ―s Djouahra. A week later in the TaΓ§a de Portugal, the team beat Belenenses 4-3, though they needed extra time to do it. The Barbero-Djouahra combination is Aroca's main weapon: the forward has five goals in the Primeira Liga, the third-highest tally in the league, while his partner has five assists - more than anyone else in the division.
Match Results: Arouca
Corners Prediction
Corner counts in Aroka's away matches tend to be low: 11 or more combined was recorded in only one of their last seven. Aroka themselves have taken more than five corners in just one of their last 24 matches. We don't expect the total in this game to exceed ten. The bet is Total Corners - Under 10.5.
Safer Bet
Alverca have failed to score at home just once in their last 13 matches. We expect them to find the net again here. The bet is Alverca Team Total - Over 0.5.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (13.06%), 1-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (8.78%). A 1-1 draw is considered the most probable outcome, though the margins between the options are small.
β Editor's Prediction
Alverca have scored in 12 of their last 13 Primeira Liga home matches, so Arouca can't count on keeping a clean sheet. Alverca's defence is the problem, though: the hosts have conceded in 15 of their last 16 league games. That suits the visitors' attack - Arouca have scored in six of their eight Primeira Liga matches this season. Both teams have scored in 7 of the last 8 league matches played at Alverca's ground. The hosts will concede again on Saturday, and Arouca's unbeaten run under new manager VΓtor Severino will continue. The pick is Both Teams to Score - Yes.