Guimaraes vs Maritimo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 23 October 2026
🔊 Eight rounds into the Primeira Liga season, Vitória Guimarães have scored five goals, with each of those five coming from a different player. Only Casa Pia and Estoril have a less productive attack. On Friday, newly promoted Marítimo come to town - a side that have conceded in seven consecutive league matches. Which will prove more telling: the hosts' lack of firepower or the visitors' defensive generosity?
Head-to-Head
Vitória Guimarães beat Marítimo 2-1 away in their most recent Primeira Liga head-to-head meeting. Marítimo had the better of the statistics in that game, registering 20 shots to Vitória's 11 and holding 57% possession to their opponents' 43%.
Across 34 official meetings, Vitória Guimarães have won 19 and Marítimo 10, with five draws. Vitória Guimarães's home advantage is particularly pronounced: 12 wins from 17 home matches against three for Marítimo.
Head-to-head statistics Guimaraes - Maritimo
Vitoria SC Guimaraes Team Overview
Vitória Guimarães beat Recreativo de Lamelas away from home in the Portuguese Cup, winning 1-0. The decisive goal came after the break, with 20 shots in total, 12 of which were on target.
Vitoria are winless in their last five Primeira outings and currently sit 15th with just five points. Their only three-point haul came back on August 23rd against Nacional (1-0). Thiago Margarido, who spent three seasons at Nacional, made the switch to Vitoria this summer. The home crowd has already voiced its frustration with the team’s form, but Margarido remains confident. After the two-goal defeat to Benfica, the manager insisted: “We’re on the right track, absolutely.” According to him, the match was still up for grabs until Benfica’s second goal, and Vitoria even struck the woodwork. The hosts did manage a recent win, albeit a nervy one: on October 17th, they edged out Lamelas by a single goal in the Portuguese Cup.
Match Results: Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Maritimo Madeira Team Overview
In their last match, Marítimo beat Alcochete away in the Portuguese Cup 2-1, despite being outshot on target 3-5 by the hosts.
Maritimo returned to the Primeira Liga after three years away with modest ambitions - to secure their top-flight status as quickly as possible. Their start was encouraging: they won their first two matches. But the following six brought only two draws, and Mitchell van der Gaag's side dropped to 12th place with eight points. In the most recent round, Maritimo came within minutes of taking a point. Defender Gabor Salai gave them the lead against league leaders Porto with a long-range strike, but Porto equalised before half-time and scored again late on. That goal was initially ruled out for offside, but a VAR review overturned the decision, and Maritimo lost 1-2.
Match Results: Maritimo Madeira
Corners Prediction
Corner kicks tend to be scarce when Vitória Guimarães and Marítimo go head-to-head: in just one of their last seven meetings have there been nine or more corners combined. The pick: under 8.5 total corners.
Safer Bet
Vitória Guimarães have suffered just one home defeat to Marítimo in their last 13 head-to-head clashes. This season, the hosts have also lost only once at home. The pick: Vitória Guimarães double chance (win or draw).
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the three most likely scorelines for this match are 1-0 (15.3%), 1-1 (11.35%), and 0-1 (10.13%). A narrow win for Vitória Guimarães emerges as the most probable scenario, but the margins between these outcomes remain relatively slim.
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Maritimo always keep things interesting: van der Gaag’s side have both scored and conceded in each of their last five away matches. Over their last ten games, the newly promoted club have only failed to score once-against Benfica. Vitória also have a real chance here, despite their modest attacking record, as Maritimo have conceded in 13 of their last 14 outings. In head-to-head Primeira meetings at home, Vitória have found the net in 15 of the last 16 encounters. On Friday, it’s hard to see either side keeping a clean sheet. The pick: both teams to score. Predicted scoreline: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Vitoria SC Guimaraes - Maritimo Madeira
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