Australia vs Brazil Prediction 25 September 2026
🔊 Brazil are heading to Australia for two friendly matches against the Socceroos, looking to get back to winning ways after their elimination by Norway at the World Cup - this being the first international break since the tournament ended. The five-time world champions have the chance to build combinations and develop cohesion, while Australia have the opportunity to show their home supporters a couple of matches against one of the biggest footballing nations in the world.
🔁 This prediction will be updated as important news emerges. Check back closer to kick-off.
It’s been a long time since these teams last met in an official head-to-head.
📊 Throughout their history, the two sides have met almost exclusively in international friendlies. The most recent of those meetings took place in 2017 and ended in a predictable heavy win for the yellow-greens (4-0).
Head-to-head statistics Australia - Brazil
Australia: Heartbreaking World Cup Exit on Penalties
Australia repeated their performance from the previous World Cup by reaching the knockout stage of the tournament once again. Their group stage campaign began with a surprise 2-0 win over Turkey, a side many had high hopes for. They then lost to the host nation, the United States, 0-2. The decisive group stage match came against Paraguay, where Australia secured second place in the group by drawing 0-0.
Finishing second in the group, they were drawn against Egypt. It was an eventful match. Egypt took the lead in the first half, but an own goal early in the second half allowed Australia to equalise, taking the game to extra time and then a penalty shootout, where the African side prevailed and Australia were eliminated from the tournament.
Match Results: Australia
Brazil: World Cup Playoff Collapse
Brazil last came together at the World Cup. The most decorated side in World Cup history went out after five matches at the tournament. The group stage was reasonably comfortable - they opened against a strong Morocco side, who can now confidently be called a top international team, and that match ended in a draw (1-1). Their other two group games brought heavy wins over Haiti and Scotland (3-0 in both).
Carlo Ancelotti's side were knocked out in the knockout stage by Norway, allowing Erling Haaland to score twice in the final ten minutes of the match. Problems in the team had already been visible a round earlier against Japan, when the Brazilians were losing at half-time, levelled, and then went ahead in the last minute of added time. Ancelotti apparently drew no conclusions from that, and paid the price against Norway.
Match Results: Brazil
Latest news
Australia
❌ Unavailable to the coaching staff: Cristian Volpato, Jordan Bos, Kai Trewin.
Brazil
❌ Joao Pedro and Wesley are both recovering from injury.
🔁 Update, 25 September, 6:02 UTC:
- Carlo Ancelotti has already named his starting XI for the first match against the Australians. At centre-back, the expected pairing of Marquinhos and Gabriel has been replaced by Marquinhos and Vitor Reis. According to Ge Globo, the Arsenal defender missed part of training after arriving in Australia, so the coaching staff decided to assess his condition later.
Predicted Lineups
📋 Australia predicted starting XI: Beach - Herrington, Suttar, Circati - Italiano, Irvine, O'Neill, Behich - Metcalfe, Irankunda, Yengi.
📋 Brazil predicted starting XI: Hugo Souza - Matheuzinho, Marquinhos, Vitor Reis, Douglas Santos - Rayan, Danilo, Bruno Guimaraes, Estevao - Vinicius Junior, Raphinha.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Carlo Ancelotti has brought an experimental squad - only 9 players from the 2026 World Cup roster remain in the group. Neymar has retired from international football, and key figures such as Alisson and Casemiro are absent. The rebuilt attacking line will need time to gel, so high scoring against the hosts' defensive setup is unlikely. Our preferred prediction is Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.55*.
🚩 Corner Kick Prediction
The South Americans' long flight and Australia's defensive style are unlikely to make this friendly particularly open. Statistics show that Brazil have won at least 4-5 corners per match in 8 of their last 10 games. Even with an experimental line-up, Brazil will dominate on the flanks, which should lead to Australia's defenders regularly clearing the ball behind their own goal line. The prediction is corners - winner: team 2, at odds of 1.35*.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
This is an exhibition commercial tournament in Australia. The coaches' main priority is to test fringe players and new tactical setups rather than engage in a physical battle. Players will look to avoid unnecessary aggression and rough challenges so as not to pick up injuries before returning to their clubs. Under Ancelotti, the team tends to play in a measured, controlled style in friendly matches, focusing on ball retention, which reduces the overall number of hard challenges. Our prediction is Total Yellow Cards - Under 3.5.
*Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
The head-to-head record suggests that Australia have historically found it extremely difficult to score against Brazil. Their last two meetings, both friendlies, ended with a combined score of 10-0 in favour of the South Americans. Australia rarely feature in Both Teams to Score - Yes outcomes in general; it is worth noting that none of their three group stage matches at the World Cup saw both teams get on the scoresheet. The main prediction is Both Teams to Score - No. Predicted score: 0-2.
1 comment
Betting Tips: Australia - Brazil
in 14 of last 16 away games (Int. Friendly Games).
in last 20 games (Int. Friendly Games).in last 14 away games (Int. Friendly Games).in 10 of last 11 Australia games (Int. Friendly Games)..svg)
in last 10 Australia home games (Int. Friendly Games).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
