Canada vs Chile Prediction 26 September 2026
🔊 Canada will host Chile at BMO Field in their first home match since the historic World Cup. The game takes place on 26 September and marks the start of a new cycle for both sides: the hosts are looking to build on their home World Cup campaign, while Chile continue their rebuild after failing to qualify for the 2026 tournament. Canada reached the knockout stage of the World Cup before losing 0-3 to Morocco, while Chile last played in June, when they beat DR Congo 2-1.
The only head-to-head ended in a draw.
📊 The two sides have played just one official match in the 21st century - in the Copa América 2024 group stage, where Canada and Chile drew 0-0. Canada had 57% possession, had 10 shots to Chile's 8, and earned eight corners to Chile's four. It was a fairly feisty affair: Canada picked up five yellow cards, while Chile had Gabriel Suazo sent off in the first half.
🔗 However, almost all of that statistical context now relates to a different Chile squad and a completely different tournament situation. It is therefore far more useful to look at where both teams currently stand and how they have changed since the World Cup.
Head-to-head statistics Canada - Chile
Canada head back home
Canada had a strong World Cup by their standards: they opened the tournament with a 1-1 draw against Bosnia and Herzegovina, thrashed Qatar 6-0, then lost 1-2 to Switzerland but still progressed to the knockout stage. In the Round of 32, Jesse Marsch's side beat South Africa 1-0, before losing 0-3 to Morocco in the next round. Canada were particularly impressive in attack against Qatar, scoring six goals and allowing Jonathan David to complete a hat-trick.
Since the World Cup, the team have kept their familiar direct style of play with quick ball progression. David remains the main reference point up front, while Stephen Eustáquio is responsible for tempo and driving forward from deep. The absence of Alphonso Davies does deprive Canada of one of their primary sources of pace on the left flank, so much will depend on how well the hosts can create width through other players.
Match Results: Canada
Chile embark on a rebuilding phase
Chile come into this match on the back of a 2-1 win over DR Congo, having previously lost 1-2 to Portugal, 1-4 to New Zealand, and beaten Cabo Verde 4-2. It has been a mixed run, but the key trend is an attacking one: Chile have scored 10 goals in their last five matches while regularly conceding at the other end.
Nicolás Córdova has had the opportunity to build a largely new squad following a disappointing qualifying cycle. The call-up includes Darío Osorio, Lucas Cepeda, Ben Brereton, Marcelino Núñez and Gabriel Suazo, alongside younger players for whom this camp represents an important chance to establish themselves in the national team. The coaching staff have also called up three young players - Thomás Coulombe, Jetzen López and Zidane Yáñez.
Match Results: Chile
Latest news
Canada
❌ Canada's squad situation changed significantly after the initial announcement. Davies is missing the home series due to his honeymoon, and Maxime Crépeau is also absent for personal reasons. On top of that, injuries rule out Ali Ahmed, Moïse Bombito, Alistair Johnston and Ismaël Koné; injured centre-back Alfie Jones has been replaced by Jamie Knight-Lebel.
Chile
❌ Chile's squad situation also needs to be taken into account: Thomás Güillier is missing the camp through injury, while Ian Garguez and Alexander Aravena are both unavailable. Paulo Díaz has returned to the squad, and Benjamín Kuscevic, who plays for Toronto, is well acquainted with Canadian football and the conditions of the upcoming match. Erick Pulgar has also been left out of the squad.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Canada picked up 11 yellow cards across five matches at the World Cup, while Chile have received four bookings in their last four games. This is a friendly, so there is little reason to expect the same level of aggression as in a Copa América meeting between the two sides. Canada will likely see more of the ball, and Chile will have to do plenty of work without it, but the motivation here is different from an official tournament. The most suitable option appears to be Total Yellow Cards - Under 4.5.
⚽ Goals Prediction
Canada have shown good attacking potential in recent matches, and returning home after a successful World Cup should give the team an emotional boost. Chile, meanwhile, have scored in each of their last five matches, netting 10 goals across that run. On top of that, both sides have defensive injury concerns, so a completely closed game seems unlikely. My pick is Total Goals - Over 2.5 at odds of 1.95*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
At home, Canada regularly build pressure down the flanks and frequently work attacks into crossing positions. Across five World Cup matches the team earned 60 corners, and against Chile in their most recent head-to-head meeting they won eight. On that basis, Canada Team Total Corners - Over 4.5 at 1.53* is worth considering.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Canada come into their first home match after the World Cup with a clear style of play and a strong attacking partnership led by Jonathan David. Chile are in the middle of a rebuild, but their recent results show the team are capable of creating chances and scoring even when they have defensive problems. So rather than a cautious friendly, a fairly open game seems the more logical expectation here. The final bet is Both Teams to Score - Yes. My predicted scoreline is 2-1 to the hosts.
Will this prediction come true?
No comments
Betting Tips: Canada - Chile
in 16 of last 17 games (Int. Friendly Games).in 10 of last 11 home games (Int. Friendly Games).in 8 of last 9 away games (Int. Friendly Games).
in 12 of last 13 Chile away games (Int. Friendly Games).in last 6 Chile games (Int. Friendly Games).in last 10 games (Int. Friendly Games).in 9 of last 10 home games (Int. Friendly Games).in 9 of last 10 Canada games (Int. Friendly Games)..svg)
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
