Bolivia vs Paraguay Prediction 27 September 2026
📢 During this international break, South American sides are playing friendlies only, and Bolivia and Paraguay are no exception. The two teams already know each other well from Copa América and World Cup qualifying, and now they meet again in an unofficial fixture in Washington. Neither side is anywhere near the top level in South America, so a win against opposition of roughly the same standard would certainly be welcome for both.
Recent encounters between Bolivia and Paraguay have been tightly contested.
📊 Bolivia and Paraguay meet fairly regularly. Over recent years the two sides have played eight matches: Paraguay have won four, Bolivia two, and two have ended in draws. Their most recent encounter came in 2026 World Cup qualifying in 2024. That match was played on Bolivian soil and finished 2-2, with the hosts close to victory before Paraguay equalised late on.
Head-to-head statistics Bolivia - Paraguay
Bolivia look like two completely different sides when playing at home and away.
Bolivia are traditionally very strong at home. Their players are accustomed to the conditions, while opponents frequently struggle with the altitude and tire more quickly. It is largely this advantage that allows the side to regularly pick up points at home in official matches, whereas their away results are far more modest - without those familiar conditions, Bolivia rarely achieve anything significant.
Home matches played a major part in keeping the team in contention for a place at the 2026 World Cup. In South American qualifying, Bolivia accumulated 20 points from 18 rounds, finished seventh and earned a place in the intercontinental play-offs. They were one step away from the tournament itself, but could not take it. In the play-off final, Bolivia lost to Iraq 1-2. The match was played on neutral ground, where the familiar high-altitude advantage was absent, and that once again underlined just how heavily the team's results depend on where the game is played.
Match Results: Bolivia
Paraguay are comfortable going up against top-tier opponents.
Unlike Bolivia, Paraguay managed to qualify for the 2026 World Cup, finishing sixth in South American qualifying. They made their mark at the tournament itself too, picking up four points in a group with the USA, Turkey and Australia to advance to the knockout stage. The run did not end there. In the Round of 32, Paraguay produced one of the tournament's upsets by eliminating Germany. The match finished 1-1 after extra time, and the South Americans came out on top in the penalty shootout, 4-3.
The fairytale could have continued, but Paraguay came unstuck in the next round against France. They conceded a single penalty on 70 minutes and lost 0-1. The match was also notable for the Paraguayans' extremely physical approach: they went in hard throughout, broke up attacks and showed France no quarter. All the more surprising, then, that despite playing in that manner, they somehow finished the game without a single yellow card.
Match Results: Paraguay
⚽️ Goals Prediction
As we have already noted, Bolivia are heavily dependent on their home advantage. In the 2026 World Cup qualifiers, the team scored 17 goals across 18 rounds, and only 4 of those came in away matches. The upcoming match is being played in the USA, so they will not have their usual high-altitude advantage. We are therefore backing Bolivia to Score: No at odds of 2.21*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Without their usual high-altitude advantage, Bolivia tend to cede the initiative to the opposition and spend a lot of time in their own half. As a result, they do not get forward to the corner flag as often. On that basis, Paraguay to Win Corners at 1.48* is worth considering.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
South American sides often play with intensity and are not shy of physical challenges, but the friendly nature of this fixture is an important factor. There is no competitive motivation, so neither team has much reason to turn the match into a battle. The referee is also unlikely to hand out bookings freely without good cause. We are therefore going with Total Yellow Cards - Under 1.5.
* Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
In the bookmakers' view, Paraguay are clear favourites, which reflects their higher quality of players and the absence of Bolivia's usual high-altitude advantage. But this is not a home match for Paraguay either, so there is no reason to expect total dominance over the full 90 minutes. On top of that, Paraguay will need to break down a compact defence, and that is something the team have periodically struggled with. Given that 4 of Paraguay's 5 matches at the 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign have ended with fewer than three goals, we are backing Total Goals - Under 2.5. The expected score is 0-0.
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Betting Tips: Bolivia - Paraguay
in 7 of last 8 games (Int. Friendly Games).
in 7 of last 8 Bolivia games (Int. Friendly Games).in 6 of last 7 Paraguay games (Int. Friendly Games).in last 5 Bolivia home games (Int. Friendly Games).in 6 of last 7 Paraguay away games (Int. Friendly Games).in 22 of last 23 games (Int. Friendly Games).in last 14 away games (Int. Friendly Games).Comparison of Teams Stats
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