Burnley vs Derby Prediction 26 August 2025
📢 What to expect from the EFL Cup Round of 32 clash between Burnley and Derby County? Both teams are in decent form, but the home side holds a clear advantage due to their consistent performances at Turf Moor. Burnley have won 9 out of their last 10 home matches, showcasing impressive scoring abilities with an average of nearly two goals per game. Derby County also perform well on the road, often avoiding defeats thanks to their solid defensive setup.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 08 April 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Derby ):
- ball possession percentage: 30% vs 70%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 4;
- fouls: 14 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 1 vs 2.
📊 Burnley and Derby County have officially faced off in only two matches over the last 9 years.
Head-to-head statistics Burnley - Derby
Burnley Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Burnley, away team - Sunderland). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.
Here's the game statistics (Burnley vs Sunderland):
- ball possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 9 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 1.
Burnley are in excellent form, having secured victories in eight of their last ten official matches, showcasing a strong performance both in attack and defense. They average 1.9 goals per game while conceding just 0.8. The Clarets stand out with their aggressive style of play, characterized by total ball control and swift flank attacks.
Match Results: Burnley
Derby Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Derby , away - Bristol City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Derby vs Bristol City):
- ball possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 15 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
Derby County continue to showcase consistency, relying on disciplined defense and the ability to capitalize on counter-attacks. However, their scoring remains modest, averaging only one goal per match. This shortcoming is offset by their solid defensive play, conceding around 1.4 goals per game, which allows them to remain competitive even against stronger opponents.
Match Results: Derby
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head matches:
- Total encounters - 2;
- First-half wins for the home side (at home) - 0; for the visitors (away) - 0; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 0;
- Today's home team averages 0 goals in the first half, while the away team scores 0.
- Burnley scored in the 1st half in 9 of last 10 home games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 0, draws - 2.
- Burnley have won in 9 of last 10 home games.
- Burnley have won in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on the over/under
- Burnley have scored over 1.5 goals in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on corners
H2H- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 10 (5 - for home team and 5 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 8 (6 - for home team and 2 - for away team).
- Under 10.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Burnley home games.
- Under 10.5 corners in last 10 Derby away games.
- Under 10.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Derby games.
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 1 (0.5 - for home team and 0.5 - for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at home team's field - 3 (1 - for home team and 2 - for away team).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 2;
- both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
- on the home team’s field - 0 times.
Editorial Prediction
Burnley enter this clash as clear favorites, playing in the Premier League with a higher quality squad. Adding to their advantage is their impressive home form, having celebrated victory in 9 of their last 10 home games. For Derby County, representing the Championship, this match poses a significant challenge, making it extremely difficult to overcome. Given these factors, betting on a Burnley win seems like a well-founded prediction.
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Betting Tips: Burnley - Derby
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
