Derby vs Burnley Prediction 8 April 2025
πThe upcoming clash between Derby County and Burnley promises to be an intriguing Championship encounter. Fans are focused on the visitors, who sit atop the table and have been in outstanding form with seven wins in their last ten matches. Despite this, the hosts, who find themselves in the lower part of the standings, are motivated to maintain their league status and will fight for every point. Both teams are prepared to surprise with their tactical approaches: Burnley favor an attacking style, while Derby County rely on the solidity of their defense.
Head-to-Head
πOfficially, Derby County and Burnley have faced off just once. The match took place on 10 December 2024 at Burnley's ground and ended in a 0-0 draw.
Head-to-head statistics Derby - Burnley

Derby Team Overview
Derby County are facing challenges this season. The team sits 21st in the table, fighting for survival. Their strengths include the ability to adapt under pressure from opponents and a commitment to maintaining a solid defense at home. However, recent poor results leave the squad feeling less confident ahead of their clash with the league leaders. In their last ten matches, Derby have secured four wins, with an equal number of losses. Their average scoring rate is just over one goal per game, which falls short against stronger teams. Ahead of the game against Burnley, they are dealing with numerous squad issues: several starters and substitutes are unavailable. Securing points will be tough, given the strength of their opponent. Patience and the right mindset will be crucial.
Match Results: Derby

Burnley Team Overview
Burnley are delivering consistently high-level football in this season's Championship. They currently top the table, thanks to a potent attacking lineup and a solid defense, as evidenced by their impressive form: seven wins out of their last ten matches speak volumes. However, their automatic promotion to the Premier League is still uncertain, with rivals close on their heels. The team averages nearly two goals per match and rarely allows opponents to disrupt their plans, reflected in their low concession rate-just 0.6 goals per game over the last 10 matches highlight their defensive superiority over opposing attacks. Burnley approach this match following a goalless draw with their current opponent a few months back. They face no significant injury concerns, with the entire starting lineup available, including their key player, Josh Brownhill.
Match Results: Burnley
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- home team wins - 0, away team wins - 0, draws - 1.
Statistics: Derby vs Burnley
- number of matches played in the tournament: 40 vs 40;
- number of wins: 11 vs 24;
- win percentage: 28% vs 59%;
- number of losses: 21 vs 2;
- number of draws: 8 vs 15.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 4 vs 7;
- number of losses: 4 vs 1;
- number of draws: 2 vs 2.
- Burnley has won in 6 of the last 7 Championship games.
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Derby vs Burnley
- average total in the tournament: 2.35 vs 1.66;
- average total goals scored: 1.05 vs 1.37;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.43 vs 0.73;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.63 vs 0.63;
- Derby : average total at home in the tournament - 1.25;
- Burnley: average total away in the tournament - 1.33;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.2) vs 1.8 (away - 1.2).
- Burnley has not conceded in 7 of the last 9 Championship away games.
Prediction on corners
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.75; at home field - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.3; at home field - 3.4.
Burnley: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.88, away - 4.1;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.7; away - 5.2.
Prediction on cards
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.75; at home - 1.45;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; at home - 1.4.
Burnley: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.68, away - 1.95;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; away - 2.4.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 1;
- both teams scored all-time - 0 times;
- on the home teamβs field - 0 times.
Statistics: Derby vs Burnley
- number of matches played in the tournament: 40 vs 40;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 19 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Derby at home - 7 (35%);
- number of BTTS matches for Burnley away - 5 (24%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Derby at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS matches for Burnley away - 2 (40%).
Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams and their standings, an intriguing clash of styles is expected: Burnley's relentless pressing against Derby County's resilience. The prevailing trend points to the visitors' strong performance, yet it's worth noting the under 2.5 goals market. Given that both clubs rarely engage in high-scoring games, this bet appears optimal.
