Gremio vs Atl. Mineiro Prediction 26 February 2026
🔊 Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro are gearing up for a clash that promises to be intriguing. Both teams find themselves in the lower half of the standings, yet they display contrasting trends in their recent outings. Grêmio have been in impressive form, boasting an unbeaten streak of five matches at home. Meanwhile, Atlético Mineiro have established themselves as a tough opponent, known for their ability to adapt to their rivals' style of play.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official clash between the teams took place on 17 August 2025 and ended in a 1-3 result. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Atlético Mineiro as the home side):
- possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corners: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 19 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro:
- 38 matches played;
- home victories - 20, away wins - 11, draws - 7;
- goals scored - 63 against 44;
- average total in the first half - 1.34, in the second half - 1.47;
- average total goals per match - 2.82.
Head-to-head statistics Gremio - Atl. Mineiro
Gremio Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Gaúcho League, with Juventude hosting Grêmio. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here's a breakdown of the match statistics (Grêmio vs Juventude):
- possession: 62% vs 38%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 16 vs 28;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 6;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
🔵 Gremio are currently in 13th place in the standings and are eager to climb higher. The team has not shown a particularly strong attack in recent games, averaging less than 1.5 goals per match. In their last five matches, they have secured three wins, one draw, and suffered one defeat. Despite these results, their defense remains a weak spot, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Match Results: Gremio
Atletico Mineiro Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Campeonato Mineiro, with Atlético Mineiro hosting América Mineiro. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Atlético Mineiro vs América Mineiro):
- possession: 65% vs 35%;
- corners: 1 vs 1;
- fouls: 9 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
⚫ Atlético Mineiro are currently sitting in 15th place, striving to climb higher up the table. "Galo" boast an impressive run, with 12 matches unbeaten out of their last 13, thanks to a solid defense and a well-balanced attack. Over the past ten games, the team has averaged two goals per match and demonstrated an ability to dictate the pace even against formidable opponents.
Match Results: Atletico Mineiro
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- played - 38;
- home wins - 20, away wins - 11, draws - 7.
Statistics: Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro
- matches in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- wins: 1 vs 0;
- win percentage: 33% vs 0%;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 0 vs 2.
Last 10 Matches:
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 1;
- draws: 2 vs 6.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (average total):
- home team - 1.66, away team - 1.16;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.82;
- both teams scored: overall - 21 times; at home ground - 12 times.
Average Total Statistics: Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro
- in the tournament: 4.33 vs 3.67;
- goals scored: 2 vs 1.67;
- 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.67;
- 2nd half: 1.67 vs 1;
- Gremio: at home in the tournament - 5;
- Atletico Mineiro: away in the tournament - 0;
- last 10 matches: 1.9 (home - 2.6) vs 2 (away - 2.75).
- Atletico Mineiro have scored in 8 of their last 9 matches.
Corners Prediction
Gremio: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 4.33; at home - 4;
- last 10 matches: average total - 3.7; at home - 3.6.
Atletico Mineiro: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 7.67, away - 12;
- last 10 matches: average total - 7.6; away - 8.25.
- Total under 9.5 corners has occurred in Gremio's last 13 matches consecutively.
- Total under 9.5 corners has been seen in 7 of Gremio's last 8 Serie A matches.
- Total under 9.5 corners has happened in Gremio's last six home matches consecutively.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- played - 38;
- both teams scored overall - 21 times;
- at home ground - 12 times.
Statistics: Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro
- played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 2;
- Gremio: BTTS at home - 1 (100%);
- Atletico Mineiro: BTTS away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 Matches:
- matches with BTTS: 6 vs 8;
- Gremio: BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Atletico Mineiro: BTTS away - 3 (75%).
Correct Score Prediction
Frequent Results Statistics (current season):
- most common scorelines in the tournament: 0-1 (4/30, 13.3%), 1-1 (4/30, 13.3%), 2-1 (4/30, 13.3%);
- Gremio's most frequent home result: 5-3 (1/1, 100%);
- Atletico Mineiro's most frequent away result: 1-0 (1/1, 100%).
The algorithm predicts the top three outcomes based on statistics and probability distribution:
1-1 - 8.44% (odds: 6.5)
2-2 - 8.25% (odds: 13)
2-1 - 7.09% (odds: 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams, a high-scoring encounter is expected. Trends indicate a strong likelihood of both teams finding the net - Atletico Mineiro consistently scores and concedes in most of their games. However, the hosts have not impressed with their attacking play in recent matches. Taking all factors into account, a bet on Gremio's individual total under 1.5 goals appears to be the most well-founded for this match, as the hosts have scored less than 1.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 games.
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Betting Tips: Gremio - Atletico Mineiro
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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