Atl. Mineiro vs Gremio Prediction 17 August 2025
🔊 On August 17, Atlético Mineiro and Grêmio face off at the Arena MRV in Belo Horizonte as part of the 20th round of Brazil's Série A. For both sides, this clash provides an opportunity to solidify their standings in the league: the hosts have been showcasing consistent form at home, while the visitors aim to distance themselves from the relegation zone by picking up points on the road. An intense and high-scoring encounter is anticipated, with both teams likely to take the offensive initiative.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between these teams took place on 29 March 2025 and ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the statistics from that encounter (Grêmio were the home side):
- possession: 32% vs 68%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 11;
- fouls: 19 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 7.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Atlético Mineiro and Grêmio:
- A total of 37 matches played;
- Home team victories: 11, away team victories: 19, draws: 7;
- Goals scored: 43 for Atlético Mineiro, 60 for Grêmio;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.32, in the second half: 1.46;
- Average total goals per match: 2.78.
Head-to-head statistics Atl. Mineiro - Gremio
Atletico Mineiro Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the South American Cup - Round of 16, first leg (with Atlético Mineiro as the home team and Godoy Cruz as the visitors). The match concluded with a 2-1 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Atlético Mineiro vs Godoy Cruz):
- possession percentage: 65% vs 35%;
- corners: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 15 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 2.
⚫ Atlético Mineiro head into their upcoming match after a packed week of action. On August 7, in the second leg of the Copa do Brasil Round of 16, they faced Flamengo at home and narrowly lost. However, in the first leg, the "Roosters" edged the "Red and Blacks" with a narrow victory, leading to a penalty shootout at the MRV Arena. Atlético were more precise in the shootout and advanced to the quarterfinals, where they will face Cruzeiro.
⚪ Then, on August 10, Atlético traveled to Rio and played to a 1-1 draw with Vasco da Gama in the 19th round of Serie A. Just a few days later, on August 15, Atlético delighted their fans with a home victory over Argentina's Godoy Cruz in the first leg of the Copa Sudamericana Round of 16 (2-1). These results highlight the team's resilience in crucial matches.
Match Results: Atletico Mineiro
Gremio Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in Serie A - Round 19, with Gremio hosting Sport Recife. The match ended with a scoreline of 0-1.
Here are the match statistics (Gremio vs Sport Recife):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corners: 3 vs 2;
- fouls: 10 vs 19;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
🔵 Gremio head into their away fixture against Atletico following a string of inconsistent results in the league. The team currently sit in 15th place in Serie A, having secured just one win in their last five outings. In their recent league matches, they suffered a 1-0 defeat away to Fluminense and then lost 1-0 at home to Sport Recife, who had not won a game this season until then. These results have increased the pressure on the team, complicating their task in the upcoming round. A victory for Gremio could lift them into a safer position on the table, while a loss might edge them closer to the relegation zone.
Match Results: Gremio
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head Matches:
- Total encounters - 37;
- Home wins - 11, Away wins - 19, Draws - 7.
Statistics: Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio
- Matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 18;
- Wins: 6 vs 5;
- Win percentage: 35% vs 28%;
- Losses: 5 vs 8;
- Draws: 6 vs 5.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 6 vs 2;
- Losses: 3 vs 5;
- Draws: 1 vs 3.
- Grêmio have covered the +1.5 spread in 13 of their last 14 matches (Serie A).
- Grêmio have covered the +1.5 spread in six consecutive matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head Matches:
- The home team averages - 1.16 goals, the away team - 1.62;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.78;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 20 times; at the home team's ground - 8 times.
Statistics: Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio
- Average total in the tournament: 2.18 vs 2.22;
- Average goals scored: 1.12 vs 0.89;
- Average first-half total: 0.29 vs 0.56;
- Average second-half total: 0.82 vs 0.33;
- Atlético Mineiro: average total at home in the tournament - 1.43;
- Grêmio: average total away in the tournament - 0.78;
- Last 10 matches (average total): home - 1 vs away - 0.8.
- Grêmio have conceded in 12 of their last 13 away matches (Serie A).
- Grêmio have conceded in eight consecutive matches.
- Grêmio have conceded in seven consecutive Serie A matches.
Corners Prediction
Atlético Mineiro: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 7.29; at home - 8.86;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.1; at home - 6.
Grêmio: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3.89, away - 4.56;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.9; away - 3.2.
- Total under 10.5 corners occurred in six of Grêmio's last seven matches (Serie A).
Cards Prediction
Head-to-head Matches
- Average total yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4 (2 for the home team and 2 for the away team);
- Average total yellow cards at the home team's ground - 4.22 (2.28 for the home team and 1.94 for the away team).
Atlético Mineiro: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 2.47; at home - 2.29;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.8; at home - 3.
Grêmio: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 3.06, away - 3;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 2.6; away - 2.6.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head Matches:
- Total encounters - 37;
- Both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
- At the home team's ground - 8 times.
Statistics: Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio
- Total matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 18;
- Total matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 10;
- BTTS for Atlético Mineiro at home - 3 (43%);
- BTTS for Grêmio away - 5 (56%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Total BTTS matches: 5 vs 5;
- BTTS for Atlético Mineiro at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS for Grêmio away - 2 (40%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of the teams, Atlético Mineiro appear to be clear favorites: the hosts consistently earn points, while Grêmio have lost their last two matches, including a home defeat to the underdog Sport Recife. Atlético sit higher in the standings, and their head-to-head history also favors them-Grêmio have lost three of their last five encounters. Our prediction: Atlético Mineiro win.
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Betting Tips: Atletico Mineiro - Gremio
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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