Cajamarca vs Melgar Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 23 October 2026
🔊 UTC de Cajamarca continue to slide and sit bottom of the Clausura table with two points from 12 rounds. The hosts have not won a single match, losing 10 of them. Melgar, by contrast, are fifth with 22 points, just three behind the leaders. Having already beaten UTC in the first half of the season, the visitors are looking to repeat that result and keep up their challenge at the top of the Primera División.
Melgar have the upper hand in head-to-head encounters.
Melgar beat UTC de Cajamarca 2-0 in their last meeting in the Primera on 03 May 2026. After a goalless first half, the hosts scored twice. Their dominance was reflected in the shot count - 20 to 7 - and corners - 11 to 1.
📊 Across 30 official meetings, Melgar have won 12, UTC de Cajamarca 6, with 12 draws. On UTC de Cajamarca's ground the record is closer: 5 home wins to 4 for Melgar, with 6 draws.
Head-to-head statistics Cajamarca - Melgar
UTC de Cajamarca: winless in their last 10 matches
UTC de Cajamarca lost their previous Primera División match away to Cienciano, going down 1-0. The visitors managed 12 shots to their opponents' 25 and were reduced to ten men following a red card.
UTC de Cajamarca are in the middle of a prolonged slump: nine defeats and one draw in their last 10 matches. During that run they have averaged one goal scored and two conceded per game. Home losses to Universitario (2-4) and Comerciantes Unidos (1-3) have been particularly painful. In the previous round they lost to Cienciano and remain rooted to the bottom of the table.
Match Results: UTC de Cajamarca
Melgar are unbeaten in their last five matches
Melgar's most recent Primera match ended in a 4-2 home win over Deportivo Garcilaso. The score was level at 1-1 at half-time, but Melgar then scored three more times. The hosts finished with 10 shots on target compared to four for the visitors.
Melgar have improved noticeably and are unbeaten in their last five rounds, winning three and drawing two. In the ten matches before that, they won four, drew four and lost two. Over that ten-match spell, they averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Match Results: FBC Melgar
Match Result Prediction
Melgar hold a solid advantage over their opponents both in this season's results and in head-to-head meetings. The visitors have won 14 league matches, while UTC have won just four and suffered 17 defeats. On top of that, the last five meetings between the two sides have all ended in victory for the Arequipa club. Bet: Melgar to Win at 1.55*.
Total Goals Prediction
In 7 of their last 8 head-to-head meetings, UTC and Melgar have seen no more than three goals. The average total goals per match for both sides this season is almost identical - 2.89 for the hosts and 2.90 for the visitors. On top of that, UTC have serious problems in attack, averaging just 1 goal per game. Our pick: Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.44*.
Corners Prediction
Melgar regularly earn corners in matches against UTC. In 11 of their last 12 head-to-head meetings, they have had at least 5 corners. In their previous match against Deportivo Garcilaso, the away side also reached that mark, earning 6 corners. We're backing Melgar Over 4.5 Corners at 1.51*.
Safer Bet
UTC have gone eight consecutive head-to-head matches without beating Melgar. In the last five of those meetings, the Arequipa side have won every time. Over the course of the season, the visitors have lost just seven times in 29 rounds, while the hosts have managed only four wins. We're backing Melgar not to lose at 1.14*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely exact scores are 0-1 (11.61%), 1-1 (10.71%) and 0-2 (10.27%). The 0-1 result comes out marginally more often among these, though the differences are minimal. All three outcomes point to a low-scoring match with a slight edge to Melgar.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Melgar have an excellent opportunity to close the gap on the Clausura leaders and are unlikely to pass it up against the tournament's bottom side. UTC continue to lose even to teams in the lower half of the table, and their defensive problems make it hard to fancy them against a side as prolific as this. The visitors have been in confident form over the last few rounds and have enough quality to take all three points away from home. Predicted score: 0-2. Main bet: Melgar to win.
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Betting Tips: UTC de Cajamarca - FBC Melgar
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