Dunkerque vs Metz Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 23 October 2026
🔊 League 2 leaders Saint-Étienne have lost just once in nine matches - away at Dunkirk in September. But their defence has been breached by every opponent since last season. Metz arrive with the same problem. Will either defence hold firm on Friday?
Head-to-Head
Metz won the most recent head-to-head meeting in Ligue 2, 1-0. Dunkerque had the same number of shots on target - four - but Metz had the advantage in possession (62% to 38%) and expected goals (1.43 to 0.56).
Metz have won all four official meetings between the sides, including both matches played at Dunkerque. The aggregate score across those four games is 10-4. In their two home matches, Metz have not conceded a single goal.
Head-to-head statistics Dunkerque - Metz
Dunkerque Team Overview
Dunkerque beat Nantes 3-2 away in their most recent Ligue 2 match. Nantes significantly outperformed their opponents in shots (19-12) and dangerous attacks (65-23), while expected goals were almost level at 1.54 to 1.50.
Albert Sanchez's side know how to respond after conceding. Away at Nantes, Dunkerque were already a goal down by the half-hour mark, but then scored three in a row - Gaëtan Robail netting twice. Nantes pulled one back in the dying minutes, but the match ended 3-2. That win lifted Dunkerque to tenth place, three points off sixth. At home, though, Sanchez's side have been inconsistent: two wins from five, with Montpellier and Annecy both taking three points away. Both defeats followed the same pattern - no goals scored and a one-goal loss.
Match Results: Dunkerque
Metz Team Overview
In the previous round, Metz beat Sochaux 3-2. Sochaux had more shots on target (18-13) and a higher expected goals figure (1.71 vs 1.55), but Metz scored one more goal.
Grégory Proment took charge of Metz at the end of September, and the start was an anxious one. His debut ended in a 2-4 defeat to Dijon. Reflecting on that game, the manager said of his players: "It's my fault, not theirs." Five days later came the first win - at home to Sochaux. But even that was hard-earned: the opponents pulled back two goals, the last in stoppage time. Metz currently sit seventh, two points above Dunkerque. The problem is that Proment's side have gone 13 away matches without a win, and on Friday they face exactly that - a trip away from home.
Match Results: Metz
Match Result Prediction
Metz have gone 13 away matches in a row without a win. This season is no different - they are yet to pick up three points on the road. Dunkerque at home have two wins and one draw from five matches, conceding six. The bet also wins in the event of a draw. The pick is Dunkerque not to lose.
Total Goals Prediction
In Dunkerque's last 12 home matches, there have been more than three goals on just one occasion. Metz also tend to score sparingly away from home. The pick is Total Goals - Under 3.5.
Correct Score Prediction
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12.59%), 0-1 (9.23%) and 1-2 (8.58%). A 1-1 draw has the highest probability, though the margin between all three options is small.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Dunkerque have conceded in 21 consecutive Ligue 2 matches, which is an encouraging sign for the visitors' attack. Metz's defence looks no more reliable: seven opponents in a row have scored against them at least once. Goals at both ends have been the norm for this side - it happened in 6 of their last 7 matches. A clean sheet on Friday would be an exception for both Dunkerque and Metz. We expect both teams to find the net. The pick is Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Dunkerque - Metz
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