Melgar vs Cajamarca Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 3 May 2026
🔊 An exciting game is anticipated in the upcoming match. Both teams have shown similar performances in recent outings, but their strategies differ. UTC de Cajamarca often relies on counterattacks, which could pose challenges for Melgar's defense, especially given the hosts' record of conceding goals. However, the visitors themselves are not always reliable at the back.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 19 July 2025 and ended with a score of 1-2. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (home team - UTC de Cajamarca):
- possession: 44% vs 56%;
- corners: 8 vs 7;
- fouls: 8 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 9.
📊 Analytical review of past official encounters between Melgar and UTC Cajamarca:
- 29 matches played;
- home victories - 11, away victories - 6, draws - 12;
- goals scored (home/away) - 39 to 29;
- average total goals per match - 2.34.
Head-to-head statistics Melgar - Cajamarca

FBC Melgar Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in the Primera Division, with Deportivo Garcilaso hosting Melgar. The game concluded with a 1-0 victory.
Here are the match statistics (Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso):
- possession percentage: 58% vs 42%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
- fouls: 12 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 2.
Melgar are currently sitting in seventh place on the table and have shown inconsistent form in recent matches. The team has managed to win just two of their last ten games, with their attack scoring slightly more than one goal per game. Their defense also needs improvement, as they consistently concede, averaging 1.33 goals against. The last five games highlight their fluctuating form: one draw and two wins are paired with two losses.
Match Results: FBC Melgar

UTC de Cajamarca Team Overview
The visitors' last official match took place on in the Primera Division, where they faced off against UTC de Cajamarca. The match ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the match statistics (UTC de Cajamarca vs Cienciano):
- possession percentage: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 10;
- fouls: 17 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 4 vs 7.
UTC de Cajamarca sit in eighth place on the league table, with a similar pattern in their results-four wins and four losses in their last twelve matches. Their attack performs above the league average, yet their defense falters almost every game, conceding an average of 1.5 goals. In their last five encounters, the team has drawn three times, indicating a push for stability even against stronger opponents.
Match Results: UTC de Cajamarca
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: FBC Melgar (Home) vs UTC de Cajamarca (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- Number of wins: 4 (66.67%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 1 (16.67%) vs 3 (50%);
- Number of draws: 1 (16.67%) vs 3 (50%);
- Average total goals scored: 1.67 vs 1.33;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.5 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 4 vs 2;
- Number of losses: 2 vs 3;
- Number of draws: 4 vs 5;
- Average first half total: 1.4 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.5) vs 1 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.6).
- FBC Melgar scored in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 home games (Primera Division).
- UTC de Cajamarca conceded in the 1st half in 8 of last 9 away games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 29;
- home team wins - 11, away team wins - 6, draws - 12.
Statistics: FBC Melgar vs UTC de Cajamarca
- matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- wins: 5 vs 4;
- win percentage: 42% vs 33%;
- losses: 5 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 2;
- losses: 6 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 4.
- UTC de Cajamarca won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games against FBC Melgar (Primera Division).
- UTC de Cajamarca won with a +1.5 handicap in 11 of last 12 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.34, the guests - 1;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.34;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 5.
Statistics: FBC Melgar vs UTC de Cajamarca
- average total in the tournament: 2.83 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 1 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.5 vs 1;
- FBC Melgar: average total at home in the tournament - 1.67;
- UTC de Cajamarca: average total away in the tournament - 1.67;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1) vs 1.3 (away - 1.4).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 10 of last 11 FBC Melgar home games against UTC de Cajamarca (Primera Division).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 FBC Melgar games against UTC de Cajamarca (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
FBC Melgar: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.5; at home field - 4.83;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4; at home field - 4.25.
UTC de Cajamarca: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.33, away - 5.17;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.3; away - 4.8.
- FBC Melgar have taken under 6.5 corners in 6 of last 7 home games against UTC de Cajamarca (Primera Division).
- FBC Melgar have taken under 6.5 corners in last 9 games.
- FBC Melgar have taken under 6.5 corners in last 8 games (Primera Division).
- FBC Melgar have taken under 6.5 corners in last 5 home games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 29;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 5 times.
Statistics: FBC Melgar vs UTC de Cajamarca
- number of matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 8 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for FBC Melgar at home - 3 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for UTC de Cajamarca away - 5 (83%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for FBC Melgar at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for UTC de Cajamarca away - 4 (80%).
- UTC de Cajamarca have scored and conceded in last 5 games (Primera Division).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (18/108, 16.7%);
- FBC Melgar at home most often finish matches: 0:0 , 1:2 , 1:3 , 2:0 , 2:1 , 4:0 (1/6, 16.7%);
- UTC de Cajamarca away most often play: 1:2 , 2:0 , 2:1 , 2:2 , 2:3 , 3:2 (1/6, 16.7%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 10.04% (odds 7)
1:1 - 9.95% (odds 8)
2:1 - 9.71% (odds 8.5)