Montreal vs Nashville Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 24 October 2026
🔉 Montreal Impact are finishing the season in last place with nothing meaningful to play for. Nashville, meanwhile, are at the top of the table and still in contention for the MLS title heading into the final stretch. The contrast between the two sides is clear from recent results: the hosts have lost more often than any other team in the league, while the visitors are on a winning run and scoring freely. This match is a test for Montreal against the most consistent side of the season.
Nashville have suffered just one defeat
Nashville beat CF Montréal 1-0 in their MLS match on 23 July 2026. The winning goal came after a goalless first half: the hosts had 63% possession and generated 2.04 xG, though they managed just one shot on target compared to two for the visitors.
📊 Nashville have won seven of their 12 official meetings with CF Montréal, with four draws and one defeat. The goal difference stands at 18-7, and Montréal's only win in the series came at home.
Head-to-head statistics Montreal - Nashville

Montreal Impact: the weakest side in the East
CF Montréal drew 1-1 at home with Forge in a Championship match 21 October 2026. Trailing at half-time, the hosts levelled: they had 14 shots to Forge's eight and put eight on target, but could not find more than one goal.
CF Montréal are going through a poor run: just one win and four defeats in their last five matches. Over their last ten games, the club have picked up only two points, with an average of 0.9 goals scored per match and 1.6 conceded. Across the season as a whole, their defence remains one of the most vulnerable - they concede an average of 2 goals per game while averaging just 1.2 at the other end. Having nothing left to play for is affecting their concentration and the quality of their performances.
Match Results: Montreal Impact

Nashville: have already secured top spot
Nashville's most recent MLS match, on 18 October 2026, ended in a 1-1 away draw with San Jose Earthquakes, with Nashville leading at half-time. The visitors had more possession and registered four shots on target to San Jose's two, though they were outshot overall - 6-14.
Nashville lead the standings and head into the final stretch having already secured top spot in the Eastern Conference table. They have won four of their last five matches, and over their last ten games they have recorded six wins, one defeat and three draws - the best consistency record of any side in the league over that period. Their average of 2.4 goals scored per match is impressive, and their defence has been solid, conceding just 0.8 per game. Throughout the season Nashville have shown a balanced, consistent style of play.
Match Results: Nashville
Match Result Prediction
Nashville look clear favourites: they have won 20 matches this season and have a road record of six wins from nine away games. CF Montréal, meanwhile, have lost 17 times this season, including seven defeats in their last eight matches, and have gone without a win in 11 of their last 12 head-to-head meetings. All of this points towards a Nashville win at 1.63*.
Total Goals Prediction
In 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between Montreal Impact and Nashville, the total has gone under 3.5 goals. Montreal Impact also average just 1.2 goals per match, while Nashville have a solid defensive record of 0.77 goals conceded per game. This makes Total Goals - Under 3.5 at 1.50* a logical bet for this match.
Corners Prediction
In five consecutive head-to-head matches at Montreal Impact's ground, the home side have not had more than 4.5 corners. Over a longer home run, though, Montreal Impact have more often exceeded that mark (11 of their last 12 home matches). Even so, the head-to-head record clearly supports Montreal Impact Corners - Under 4.5 at 1.58*.
Yellow Cards Prediction
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3.66 (1.83 - for home team and 1.83 - for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at home team's field - 3.6 (2 - for home team and 1.6 - for away team).
- Over 2.5 yellow cards in last 8 Montreal Impact games (MLS).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
H2H:
- number of encounters - 12;
- both teams scored all-time - 5 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Montreal Impact vs Nashville
- number of matches played in the tournament: 30 vs 30;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 16 vs 14;
- number of BTTS matches for Montreal Impact at home - 8 (53%);
- number of BTTS matches for Nashville away - 6 (40%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Montreal Impact at home - 4 (67%);
- BTTS matches for Nashville away - 4 (80%).
High-Risk Bet
Given Nashville's solid form, their high scoring rate (2.13 goals per game on average) and Montreal's large number of defeats this season (17), a Nashville win with a handicap (-1) at 2.60* is worth considering. That said, their head-to-head meetings have not always produced a big margin, so the bet carries additional risk.
Safer Bet
In 15 consecutive home matches, the total goals line of over 4.5 has not been reached for CF Montréal. Given the hosts' low scoring and Nashville's solid defence, the bet on Total Goals - Under 4.5 at 1.20* looks very reliable.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the three most probable scorelines are 0-1 (14.83%), 1-1 (10.04%) and 0-2 (9.54%). A narrow Nashville win looks the most likely outcome. The gap between first and second place is not particularly large, which reflects the possibility of a close contest.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The two sides are at opposite ends of the table: CF Montréal have nothing to play for and are struggling at both ends of the pitch, while Nashville are fighting for the title and maintaining a high level of intensity right to the end of the season. The visitors' winning run is backed by a clear trend - they regularly beat teams of Montréal's level even away from home, which is supported by the fact that the hosts have lost seven of their last eight MLS matches in a row. The main prediction is a Nashville win.
