Dallas vs Earthquakes Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 25 October 2026
🔉Heading into the final stretch of the season, Dallas sit third and are still in the title race, four points off the MLS lead. San Jose Earthquakes are one place below them but have little to play for in terms of the table - they can no longer challenge for top spot and face no threat of dropping out of the upper reaches either. The two sides come into this match under very different levels of pressure: the hosts are still chasing the title, while the visitors can afford to play without worrying about the result.
The teams tend to deliver high-scoring matches.
17 May 2026 Dallas beat San Jose Earthquakes away in MLS, 3-2. Both sides had 16 shots each, but the hosts had more corners - 12 to 4 - while the visitors were more accurate with their shots on target - 9 to 7.
📊 Across 36 official meetings, the two sides have drawn 16 times. San Jose Earthquakes have won more often - 12 times to Dallas's 8 - and both teams scored in 25 of those matches. In the last four meetings, the two sides combined for at least four goals, with each team scoring more than once in every one of those games.
Head-to-head statistics Dallas - Earthquakes
Dallas Team Overview
In their last MLS match on 18 October 2026, Dallas drew 2-2 away at Houston Dynamo, despite leading 1-0 at half-time. Dallas had more shots - 15 to 11 - and significantly outperformed their opponents in xG: 2.73 to 1.44.
Dallas have put up solid numbers across the season, averaging 1.83 goals scored per game alongside a relatively high 1.57 conceded. Over their last ten matches they have won five and lost two, with an average of 1.7 goals scored per game showing consistent attacking output. In their last five matches Dallas have won two, drawn one and lost two, which points to some inconsistency in results as the season approaches its end. Their league position keeps the pressure on - the club are still chasing top spot.
Match Results: Dallas
San-Jose Earthquakes Team Overview
San Jose Earthquakes 18 October 2026 drew 1-1 at home with Nashville, equalising after the break. In that MLS match, the hosts had 14 shots to Nashville's 6, but only two were on target.
San Jose Earthquakes sit fourth with a comfortable gap over the teams below them and are no longer in contention for the lead or a higher position. Over their last ten matches, the visitors have won just three times, with six draws, and their averages for both goals scored and goals conceded stand at 1.4. In their last five fixtures, they have won only once, drawing the other four in a row - a run that underlines the team's tendency towards cautious football without any clear dominance in attack.
Match Results: San-Jose Earthquakes
Total Goals Prediction
In the last five head-to-head meetings between these two sides, Total Goals - Over 2.5 has landed every time, which is backed up by the current trend. On top of that, Dallas average 1.83 goals per match this season and San Jose Earthquakes average 1.73, which also supports a scenario of three or more goals. There are no significant contradictions in the recent statistics - both teams are reasonably prolific. The pick, then, is Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 1.44*.
Corners Prediction
In 9 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these two sides, Dallas took fewer than 5.5 corners. Despite the absence of additional recent corner statistics, this trend over a large sample looks solid enough to back Dallas Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at 1.81*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings between these two sides, both teams have scored in every single one. The average scoring and conceding figures for both sides this season and over their recent matches also point to a high likelihood of goals at both ends. Given this consistent trend, Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.44* looks a reasonable bet.
High-Risk Bet
Dallas have recorded 7 home wins this season and lost at home just twice, which points to a solid home advantage. The team have also covered the +1.5 handicap in 29 of their last 30 matches, suggesting they tend to win with something to spare. However, San Jose Earthquakes' away draw and win record, along with a run of draws in head-to-head meetings, tempers confidence in a straightforward, comfortable victory. Even so, Dallas - Handicap -1 at 2.75* is an option for those willing to take on some risk.
Safer Bet
In 13 consecutive head-to-head matches, San Jose Earthquakes have scored against Dallas every time, which points to a strong trend. On top of that, Dallas have conceded an average of 1.57 goals per match this season. On that basis, San Jose Earthquakes Team Total - Over 0.5 at 1.33* looks a reliable bet.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the top three correct score options are: 1-1 (10.19%), 2-1 (9.65%), 1-0 (8.52%). The 1-1 draw has the highest probability, though the other options have similar values.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.*
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Both clubs have had a busy season in the upper half of the table, but tournament motivation remains a key factor for Dallas alone - the hosts are the ones genuinely fighting for the title in the final stage of the season. Both sides show fairly consistent scoring statistics: Dallas have maintained a high average goals-per-game at home throughout the season, while San Jose Earthquakes have been conceding roughly as many as they score, even in the second half of the campaign. With the visitors facing no competitive pressure, our selection is Dallas Team Total - Over 1.5, backed by the fact that Dallas's attack has regularly produced at least two goals in all of their recent home meetings between these two sides.
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Betting Tips: Dallas - San-Jose Earthquakes
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